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StarTopic Future Nintendo Hardware & Technology Speculation & Discussion |ST| (Read the staff posts before commenting!)

So here's the deal with the codename. Right now, a sizable number of people have access to SDK files that look like this, but with "NX" replaced by the new codename.

Capture.png


It doesn't matter whether NG is or was a codename used for some other purpose, internal, early external communication, whatever. There is a codename that replaces "NX" and anybody with third party access or internal knowledge (SKU prices and release date (lmao)) would know it. And that's not NG.
I know this has been stated in some terms before, but to reiterate:

The development environment is extremely similar, if not largely identical?
 
I was born in '78, so I don't quite get to have that title.
It works for you. 75-85 works as Xennial. I remember as a teenager thinking that Gen X were those old people in their 20s. I'm amongst the oldest Xennials.
I also think of it about how into computers/electronics you were. If you were paying attention to computers, then you pull the definition of "analog childhood and digital young adulthood" a bit older. I was fascinated with computers. I loved "The Computer Wore Tennis Shoes" and "Revenge of the Nerds" because of computers. Also the latter had boobs. It's now so cringey.
 
Even more fascinating is that given Goertek's expertise, these speakers could possibly have voice recognition features, similar to Siri.
Wouldn't that be a microphone?
If you don't mind me asking, why was the "NX" codename shared so freely in comparison? Nintendo basically said "Hey we've got this system by this codename" from minute one, so why would it be different here?
NX was Nintendo saying "Even though the Wii U is a turd sandwich and we're announcing phone stuff today, we're not leaving hardware! Look, we even have a name for the thing we're working on!"
 
NX was Nintendo saying "Even though the Wii U is a turd sandwich and we're announcing phone stuff today, we're not leaving hardware! Look, we even have a name for the thing we're working on!"
Oh... yeah right I forgot about those Mobile games.
Still, wouldn't it be the same if Nintendo showed it off to third-parties? What on earth did Nintendo say at Gamescom?

"Hello [Third-Party Dev]. This is the Sequel to the Nintendo Switch Video Game System from Nintendo."
Probably not even that because at least the Gamescom leaks would've said "That's what they called it, it was stupid" and we would've ran with it.

Idk this is a huge mess, and it's not like learning what the codename is benefits the world as a collective. I'll probably just drop this specific argument because it's probably happened around 80 different times on this forum already.
 
I know this has been stated in some terms before, but to reiterate:

The development environment is extremely similar, if not largely identical?
I have no direct knowledge of what the SDK/toolchain looks like with the addition of the new hardware. But yes, it would be the same. The SDK as a whole was undergoing a unification effort in the time from 3DS to Wii U to Switch, and as of the Switch's launch it had been generalized and set up to be extensible to future consoles. And I think the new things they developed for the Switch toolchain will also continue to be used from now on.
 
Wouldn't that be a microphone?
Goertek seem to specialise in smart audio products that use cloud for speech recognition and voice control/voice user interface if that's something to miniaturise, they also make surround sound speakers for cars... since the Switch 2 being a Volkswagen has been suggested before
 
It works for you. 75-85 works as Xennial. I remember as a teenager thinking that Gen X were those old people in their 20s. I'm amongst the oldest Xennials.
I also think of it about how into computers/electronics you were. If you were paying attention to computers, then you pull the definition of "analog childhood and digital young adulthood" a bit older. I was fascinated with computers. I loved "The Computer Wore Tennis Shoes" and "Revenge of the Nerds" because of computers. Also the latter had boobs. It's now so cringey.
'65 to '80 are apparently the official years, I was on the arse-end of the classification.

Only really heard 'xennial' recently, probably coined by people who don't want to be lumped in with the crusties lol 😅

We were the original slackers.
 
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Goertek seem to specialise in smart audio products that use cloud for speech recognition and voice control/voice user interface if that's something to miniaturise, they also make surround sound speakers for cars... since the Switch 2 being a Volkswagen has been suggested before
Also Carpa.
 
I'm sorry for this being the most cliché and repeated question ever, but i really have not had time to catch up the last weeks. What happened lately and why is there ~50 new pages? Saw some talk about an SDK here and there but i don't quite follow it.
 
Thread just exploded within the past couple of hours. I want to believe that the Switch 2 would release in H1 2024, but that recent Furukawa Interview about focusing on the Switch into 2024 has me a little wary. Hopefully @P4bl0 is doing more research to defend their conclusions rn
 
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I'm sorry for this being the most cliché and repeated question ever, but i really have not had time to catch up the last weeks. What happened lately and why is there ~50 new pages? Saw some talk about an SDK here and there but i don't quite follow it.
products are being shipped to places. most likely for switch, with few being test boards
 
I’m reasonably confident they could take an existing chip that’s at Samsung and move it to high volume production on a better node at TSMC in 18 months or less. Even if the decision was made in late 2022, you’ll be in mass production by mid 2024.

I think at this point you understand my perspective and I understand yours. I also think we did a good job clarifying the interim points. So before we start going in circles, here is one last pitch

  • Nintendo chooses Orin on 8N as the base for next Switch. This decision is likely made in 2018.
  • At that point they know what 8N will cost, it’s power/performance/etc… as you say.
  • Fast forward 3-4 years to the leak and T239 is still the only item on the roadmap
  • But the console gaming market has changed a lot between 2018 and 2022-ish!
  • One of Nintendo’s observations is the strong demand of its own hardware selling at $300 5-years after launch - no price cut! This never happened before. And the OLED at $350 is outselling the $300 Mariko.
  • Sony and Xbox are also selling better than expect despite their $500 price (for top model)
  • Also, in the 2018-2022 Nintendo has realized/admitted that Switch is underpowered
  • So in 2022-ish, they realized that the momentum of the Switch gives them time to move to a better node.
  • Maybe Nvidia pays for a portion of the cost too since they can sell a new version of Orin. Maybe not - but I think Nintendo can absorb the $100m-$200m in redesign cost through higher unit costs ($1-$2m), a lower cost per SOC through yield, etc…
  • Better node also helps with performance which will help with 3rd party development and unit sales, and Nintendo makes money through the royalty income

Data point for for guys @Skittzo

When HiSilicon left, Qualcomm moved to TSM on N6. It took them around 12 months to transition.
 
There's a storm of articles/YTs/tweets (some released, some "coming soon!") claiming "major leaks" and "September 2024", based on bad leak.

Le sigh, here we go.

At least I haven't seen anything pick up on the speaker shipments mention yet (which is a good thing, because those shipments being for Switch 1 has to be ruled out first).

I'm surprised I cannot find anything out there picking up on "Carpa X1" mention (I'm not talking about old article from a year ago, I'm talking about more recent) however because that one seems to be the more substantial thing to have emerged in the last 36 hours. I'm fine with that too.. if that was picked up, it's bound to be coupled with misinformation (Connor's mention of SEC8N for example. SEC8N might very well be a real thing, but nothing on websites Connor used would confirm SEC8N, so that connection is made in bad faith).
 
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I enter here and find dozens of new pages.
Can I know what is happening today? A summary or link to the posts where new information has been provided? In case it has happened.
 
There's a storm of articles/YTs/tweets (mostly saying "coming soon!") claiming "major leaks" and "September 2024", based on bad leak.

Le sigh, here we go.

At least I haven't seen anything pick up on the speaker shipments mention yet (which is a good thing, because those shipments being for Switch 1 has to be ruled out first).

I'm surprised I cannot find anything out there picking up on "Carpa X1" mention (I'm not talking about old article from a year ago, I'm talking about more recent) however because that one seems to be one of the most substantial thing to have emerged in the last 36 hours. I'm fine with that too.. if that was picked up, it's bound to be coupled with misinformation (Connor's mention of SEC8N for example).

The CARPA X1 report was the only one having legitimate sources, perhaps, in India. Quite interesting imo. Maybe he learned more things until today.
 
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I enter here and find dozens of new pages.
Can I know what is happening today? A summary or link to the posts where new information has been provided? In case it has happened.
When was the last time you were here?

If you haven't been here for roughly 36 hours. start with this

Then some more interesting things were found in the shipments website. Carpa X1 seems promising, the speakers shipments not yet (and probably not, considering those are probably Switch 1).

Then a bad leak from DIscord got shared everywhere and that has been conflated with the discussions about shipments data. Bringing us to present.
 
They're starting production early to avoid the holiday launch being so supply constrained
The reasoning behind this doesn't disprove an earlier than holiday launch, after all wouldn't launching earlier also help ease the supply constrains for holiday?



also someone please drop the codename
 
Ok well I'm sure someone here would be willing to pay too.

So either all of us are broke and unwilling to pay for a leak, or the information is just outright wrong.
This is really funny if I read this right.
I have no idea what website he's using but for specialized industry things like this I'd assume the subscription price is in the hundreds if not thousands of USD.
 
the info is interesting thanks to all detectives.

but i don't see anything that's particularly insightful re release timing or gives a better idea of the million dollar question - T239's process. Dev kits/boards being shipped around internally for testing and to third parties are things we would assume. as for parts being procured still doesn't give a clear timeline as to when mass production may begin.
 
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I have no idea what website he's using but for specialized industry things like this I'd assume the subscription price is in the hundreds if not thousands of USD.
I'll take back my comments, I get why people aren't paying for it.

That being said, I want to raise my concerns about this information being publicly available, regardless of it being at a fee. Wouldn't Nintendo be a bit cautious and try their damnedest to avoid anything like this leaking? It might just be unavoidable, in which that's fine, but Nintendo seems like the type of company to avoid it even if it's a bigger expense.
 
Full text: "ADAPTOR PEDESTAL T239 PEDESTAL 21 OR 23 MM X 21 OR 23MM SUBZ A01-001941", HSN code 85437099 (electrical equipment).
No idea what an adaptor pedestal is, but I doubt it's very interesting in practice, unless the area (between 21 mm² and 23 mm²) tells us something. But unless someone with the right background actually knows what that is, speculating about that could tip us into bad conclusions pretty easily.
I don't think there is any industry standard "adapter pedestal." LiC rightly warns away from from wild speculation while the thread is hot, but I will stoke the fire slightly.

This could be a random breadboard purely for hardware development. This could be like the FPGA in the back of existing Switch devkits, that allow access to all the debugging tools that devs need. However, I will just note that the existing Switch has a piece of hardware that could be clinically described as an adapter pedestal - namely the dock.

If it is any of those three, at the moment, you can't really infer anything useful from the existence of the thing.

Okay, while there's not been a lot of pages since yesterday evening, i still need some short summary from someone who's in the know about all this tech stuff what the recent findings mean. ^^

I get it definitely means that any talk or thought about ReDraketed's SoC being shelved should be left behind (not that they weren't already unrealistic before).

Oh and also ... about some posts from a few pages back ... all i say is: Respect the elderly! ;_; ;D
I'm still sorting through P4bl0's info as well. As best as I can tell, right now we have a few pieces of confirmation:
  • Recent confirmation of T239 development
  • A shipping timeline that matches the prior, speculative tape-out/sampling timeline
  • A public statement of the size of T239's memory bus, which matches Thraktor's finds
    • Incidentally, there is a very early pre-finalized design comment in the Linux driver that also hints at the size of T239's memory bus
There has been a "April sampling, September chip wrap up" timeline inferred from some Linux commits and LinkedIn profiles. If that timeline is correct, then the design in the Nvidia hack would have to be close to final, with only last minute bug-fixes remaining. The above bullet points essentially doubles down on all of that being correct.

Not only does it confirm that T239 is still the chip, but it heavily reinforces the timeline. The memory bus wasn't directly listed in either the Linux or Nvidia dumps. By hard confirming that memory bus, not only does it lend credence to the idea that the chip hasn't changed, but that some of our more indirect detective work holds up.

We've seen smoke, and we've seen a gun, and we've spent 18 months connecting the two together with 90% confidence, and along comes a picture of the gun, smoking.

P4bl0's finds include other parts, but so far they all seem OG Switch related. Searching shipping records is an interesting source of data that might turn something up, but right now I believe we've not discovered anything fresh.


And I want to add that I don't think Nvidia would've asked Linux to add support for T239 on 5 September 2022, and I think Nvidia would've stopped updating the files associated with T239 much earlier than 8 April 2022 for L4T on GitHub, if T239's designed with Samsung's 8N process node in mind initially before Nintendo and Nvidia decided to switch to TSMC's 4N process node. (I could be remembering wrong, but I believe Nvidia did continue to update the files associated with T239 for L4T on GitHub beyond 8 April 2022. Please do correct me if I'm wrong, @oldpuck.)
Correct, I believe the last update was in September.

When did we first catch wind of the NG code name? It wasn't the T239 leak was it?
I do want to chase up on the NG point, but here's essentially my take on the information:
I'm a newer member around here (since shortly after Gamescomm leak) but to my understanding, only a few here supposedly know the real codename, and is not sharing it publicly for unknown reason. I never bother to ask why but I'm sure they have their reasons. However one of them did say it's how they know which leaks can be dismissed.

The Activision/Microsoft court documents is not going to have next-gen Switch codename in those. Activision/Microsoft was simply using "NG" to generically refer to "next gen Switch", nothing more.
On Codenames:

The Switch had multiple code names during development. There was "NX" which all of us know, and was essentially Nintendo's codename. In the case of the Switch this was weirdly retroactive. Nintendo had come up with the name "Switch" when they settled on the hybrid console, and seem to have decided that they'd use it for the actual product name and needed to come up with a code name they could use instead.

Inside Nvidia, the project was known as "Odin". This is because Nvidia reuses chips in different products - the obvious example is the Shield and the Switch both using TX1. Nvidia uses Norse influence code names for their Tegra based products, and in fact, there are parts of the Switch hardware that still bear the ODN identifier.

Right now, there are at least two similar names for Switch NG - an Nvidia code name and an internal Nintendo name. The Nvidia one has floated around for sometime. The Nintendo one came to light not long ago. I'm honestly surprised that neither have showed up in the press.

These names are very plain. It's fun to know them, because it's fun to know things, but they don't tell you anything. The only use they have to us, collectively, is that they are a shibboleth that can be used to identify fake leaks or games of telephone. Because of that, I have been reluctant to mention them myself, as their only use lies in their relative secrecy.

However if someone with search-fu and inside knowledge wanted to hit these shipping records with those code names, they should do so. I don't have the time at the moment to do that deep dive, but might be revealing. (@LiC?)

I'm wounded... you're also probably right.
Eh, it happens. As someone who got into the "insider game" kinda by accident, it took me a bit to figure out how to deal with it. Being up-front about the situation, as you have, is the best you can do. You can't control how things get spread.
 
I didn’t know about the September 24th release date as part of the rumor. That completely invalidates the whole rumor for me. That’s a Tuesday.
And the "fall-back" date of November 3rd is a Sunday and two days before the next Presidential Election.
 
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Hehe, with all this ruckus it dawned me and it was already known/ obvious but probably missed, but I think Kopite mentioned T239 having a 64b interface but this here lists a 128b interface.

Goes to show that even the most credible aren’t perfect. There’s a lot of guess work going on their part with not just T239, but Tegra in general (they got some parts of ORIN wrong). So as always, with Tegra comments, take it with at least a few grains of salt.
 
The reasoning behind this doesn't disprove an earlier than holiday launch, after all wouldn't launching earlier also help ease the supply constrains for holiday?



also someone please drop the codename
no please no because
The only use they have to us, collectively, is that they are a shibboleth that can be used to identify fake leaks or games of telephone. Because of that, I have been reluctant to mention them myself, as their only use lies in their relative secrecy.
 
I don't think a Japanese company would use "NG" as a code name because it means Not Good lol.

Also, the pricing of consoles usually gets determined 3 - 5 months before the launch not a year prior fyi.
 
Since people keep coming in and asking “what happened?” I wonder if threadmarks could be used to do a daily/periodical “report?”
 
I'll take back my comments, I get why people aren't paying for it.

That being said, I want to raise my concerns about this information being publicly available, regardless of it being at a fee. Wouldn't Nintendo be a bit cautious and try their damnedest to avoid anything like this leaking? It might just be unavoidable, in which that's fine, but Nintendo seems like the type of company to avoid it even if it's a bigger expense.
It's probably possible for them to pay for confidentiality for these records, yeah. All it means is that we can't assume that the records we can see are exhaustive, which I think was everyone's assumption anyway.
 
On Codenames:

The Switch had multiple code names during development. There was "NX" which all of us know, and was essentially Nintendo's codename. In the case of the Switch this was weirdly retroactive. Nintendo had come up with the name "Switch" when they settled on the hybrid console, and seem to have decided that they'd use it for the actual product name and needed to come up with a code name they could use instead.

Inside Nvidia, the project was known as "Odin". This is because Nvidia reuses chips in different products - the obvious example is the Shield and the Switch both using TX1. Nvidia uses Norse influence code names for their Tegra based products, and in fact, there are parts of the Switch hardware that still bear the ODN identifier.

Right now, there are at least two similar names for Switch NG - an Nvidia code name and an internal Nintendo name. The Nvidia one has floated around for sometime. The Nintendo one came to light not long ago. I'm honestly surprised that neither have showed up in the press.

These names are very plain. It's fun to know them, because it's fun to know things, but they don't tell you anything. The only use they have to us, collectively, is that they are a shibboleth that can be used to identify fake leaks or games of telephone. Because of that, I have been reluctant to mention them myself, as their only use lies in their relative secrecy.

However if someone with search-fu and inside knowledge wanted to hit these shipping records with those code names, they should do so. I don't have the time at the moment to do that deep dive, but might be revealing.

I'm very happy about how comprehensive yet simple you've explained this. Thank you so much. I'm mainly in the software side of the industry and so getting things wrong, even with something as pathetic as a codename, is gonna happen.

Eh, it happens. As someone who got into the "insider game" kinda by accident, it took me a bit to figure out how to deal with it. Being up-front about the situation, as you have, is the best you can do. You can't control how things get spread.

I'll fully admit that the first big leak I did, the one with those Ronin images, was mainly done just because I was and still am a moderator of a leaking discord. Having someone approach me and say "Hey do you mind sharing this" was bound to happen, and that's kinda how I got roped into this. It's a weird case, but I'm happy you're taking how I acted with this leak well, even if it's not a sentiment that everyone will share.

Just need to be careful about how my information spreads. I also need to double check in the future that WCCFTECH doesn't fucking crop the fact I said it's a rumour in the original post. I get why developers and leakers hate journalists now, them mfers just straight lie sometimes.
 
However if someone with search-fu and inside knowledge wanted to hit these shipping records with those code names, they should do so. I don't have the time at the moment to do that deep dive, but might be revealing. (@LiC?)
I did look. At least within the very limited dataset mostly revolving around Nvidia's India branch, it doesn't seem like codenames have been used at all (with the exception of Orin, which is also the actual product name). T210 and T239 model numbers made it in there, SDEV made it in there (not a codename), but no Odin, Mariko, NX, etc. And the same goes for the current versions of those codenames.
 
Well this turned out to be an interesting Friday morning. Seems like we're full on in on the wait for the next-gen reveal now. I don't see us getting any more Switch only software directs from this point forward.

I've seen Furukawa's statement thrown around about Switch software still being in development for FY2025, but that doesn't read to me like Switch is the only platform in development. Maybe this is my own hopes and dreams bias, but when I read the statement it felt a lot more like saying even though the next-gen system is imminent, we're still intent on supporting the Switch where it makes sense to and keeping the platform momentum alive as long as they can.
 
Inside Nvidia, the project was known as "Odin". This is because Nvidia reuses chips in different products - the obvious example is the Shield and the Switch both using TX1. Nvidia uses Norse influence code names for their Tegra based products, and in fact, there are parts of the Switch hardware that still bear the ODN identifier.
Note: I don’t think this is in reference to actual Norse mythology, but rather the Marvel Comics version, which would fit with the rest of the Tegra projects being named for comic book characters. For example, there’s Thor and Odin, but no Baldr.
 
we are so dry on leaks we have to make them ourselves now
My skill in creative writing isn't good enough to make a good enough leak. I still like to predict stuff though so give me a second.

sounds of flipping paper and pencils

Okay, so I've got a solid, groundbreaking leaks guys: Frogger is real
 
Hehe, with all this ruckus it dawned me and it was already known/ obvious but probably missed, but I think Kopite mentioned T239 having a 64b interface but this here lists a 128b interface.

Goes to show that even the most credible aren’t perfect. There’s a lot of guess work going on their part with not just T239, but Tegra in general (they got some parts of ORIN wrong). So as always, with Tegra comments, take it with at least a few grains of salt.
Oh, is that right? Kopite tweeted at a point saying T239 is 64-bit? If so, that's pretty damning, it adds to growing list of other bits he also got wrong about T239.

Really throws SEC8N into question too because of that.
 
This board has a bit of a reputation for finding and producing leaks, so it's not that surprising!
I'm technically happy to have contributed to it, even if the results are dubious.

That being said, I'm happy to have had a fun day with leaks considering the past month has been not very good in terms of gaming news as a whole. We got Dishonored 3 though, so I'll take this as a win.
 
Oh, is that right? Kopite tweeted at a point saying T239 is 64-bit? If so, that's pretty damning, it adds to growing list of other bits he also got wrong about T239.

Really throws SEC8N into question too because of that.
Apparently Kopite has been wrong about a lot of Tegra division things.
 
Please read this staff post before posting.

Furthermore, according to this follow-up post, all off-topic chat will be moderated.
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