So here are my thoughts on the potential late 2020/early 2023 "4K DLSS enabled hardware launch. Random bunch of words lol:
First I want to say thanks to all of those in this thread who have worked for years keeping all of us up to date on any announcements, rumors and speculation. You know who you are, to many for me to list but I want to personally say thanks.
I think it's very very quiet in terms of any real evidence/news for new hardware. I'm not seeing the evidence at all. We obviously know Nintendo is making new hardware and Nvidia is making a new mobile chip that will likely be used in new Nintendo hardware. The NVN2 code is likely related for new hardware but I also don't think any of this evidence is enough to suggest a launch isn't far off.
I believe the Tegra X1 came out in 2015 and the Switch launched in 2017. Fast forward today the Nvidia chip isn't released at all yet with a possible launch in Q4 assuming no delays. So could we be looking at another couple of years pass that for new Switch hardware? Who knows at this point. It's all speculation.
So here is what I think, if we are getting any new hardware this year then I would imagine we will start getting big leaks by early summer. Maybe June or July. If the new hardware doesn't release until, let's say Spring 2023, maybe launch with Zelda then I think we would need some real evidence by late summer or early fall. Usually some kind of leaks ALWAYS happen in my experience.
I've covered a lot of console launches over the years and there is always evidence for new hardware many months and sometimes years before a major hardware launch and with this Switch "Pro" I'm not seeing that at all which is why I'm personally honestly thinking Nintendo really does intend to milk this old hardware for many years. Personally it's gross, it sucks but let's look at things from a business standpoint. Switch is still selling like crazy at full price. People are STILL hungry for the current Switch. Nintendo probably sees no need to launch new hardware which means spending lots of money, more expensive game development for games with higher visual fidelity, longer development times, etc. Why go for that if most gamers are happy with old hardware which is evident by sales figures.
I don't have much more to say on this subject. The evidence to support new hardware is slim at best. Switch momentum is as high as ever with the old hardware at full price 5+ years later and I think if new hardware really is coming, we would be getting more leaks if not right now then very soon. If we start moving into summer with no substantial leaks then I think we all need to take a step back and start asking if new hardware really is imminent or not. After all we've been talking about this 4K hardware for around 4 years now. New hardware will eventually come but Nintendo may very well wait until the Switch is no longer a big seller. Nintendo seems to be in no hurry to give us new hardware.
I hear that development kits have been out in the wild for at least two years and that seems extremely suspicious with the nature of how that stuff seemingly always leaks. After two years there has been no development kit leaks, developers claim to not even be aware of Switch Pro kits, and well no evidence of actual existence after two years? Call me cynical lol. None of this is a knock on Nate or other insiders. I don't know their sources or anything, I'm merely judging the news that I personally have access to which is well baron to say the least.
When Switch first came out, I thought the hardware was pretty dated from the perspective of a tv console player 5+ years ago. Portable was a lot better experience of course. Fast forward today and I find myself personally not all that excited to play my Switch. Playing more games on PS5 and XSX and now there are reports of a PS5 Pro and Xbox Series XX hardware coming late 2023 and I wouldn't be surprised if that is true. So yes for me, I really want new hardware. Seeing PS5 games on a 65 OLED tv really makes me imagine seeing Nintendo's colorful gorgeous worlds with better visuals. I imagine how lush a Zelda game could look or how alien a Metroid Prime world could look in terms of atmosphere on more modern hardware. We're all dreamers here!
The best piece of evidence I think we really have at this stage is the "NVN2" wording from the Nvidia leak which would suggest a codename for Nintendo's new hardware. Problem with chips are if they follow the trend set by the first Switch, then the Switch 4K may not drop until around 2 years after the Nvidia chip releases. It's possible the timetable could have sped up (or slowed down). Who knows. It's been a LONG time talking about new hardware and after 4 years we still have damn near nothing to go off of and no real hints. We got people analyzing and going crazy every time a new Switch trailer comes out and looks slightly better then last years Switch games. Analyzing graphical effects like potential volumetric cloud technology, improvements to anti aliasing, etc but with these game trailers being for games 1+ years away, I wouldn't even be surprised if they were "touched up" to make them look a little better. Either way this shows how hungry we all are on here for new hardware.
In my mind, I'm beginning to think Nintendo really does intend on making us wait more years. Maybe not 10 but perhaps 7 or 8 years. Maybe we will see new hardware in 2024 or 2025. Who knows, I would say if this year continues to play out with no evidence then that kind of moves the timetables. If Nintendo starts releasing big calibur games like the sequel to Zelda: Breath of the Wild on original Switch hardware then that honestly tells me personally that Switch 2 is like still years out. Otherwise I feel Zelda would absolutely be a crossgen title. Arguably it's Nintendo's BIGGEST game ever and the kind of game you would really want to push new hardware. Like how Majora's Mask supported the expansion pack, Twilight Princess launched both on GameCube and Wii, Twilight Princess on Wii U and Switch, etc. So if Nintendo does go on to release the new Zelda game on original Switch hardware I think that shows that we will be stuck with Switch for years to come whether we like it or not.
I hope I'm wrong, I hope the insiders and people who are still predicting a late 2022 or early 2023 launch are accurate but as every year passes, the timetable keeps changing to; The Next Year! Honestly I hope I don't want to be visiting this thread next year having these same conversations for a 5th year. I do of course appreciate all those people flipping over every rock they come across in search for answers, those looking to the stars for signs, those asking god in prayers for proof of Switch 4K, all of you, I thank you for keeping us all up to date on the latest signs of life. All this waiting for a beefier Switch has made me realized that perhaps I should go outside and touch the grass. The Legend of Zelda: Touch of the Wild! BOOM!