The userbase of a pro update of a console is going to be a lot more engaged, higher software attach rate, than an original release console. That hypothetical 15 million could look pretty good.
AAA 3rd party gaming enthusiasts who will spend $500 on new hardware are the type who own multiple systems and/or invest in the 3rd party gaming system with the best fidelity/performance possible and the best online/services community as possible.
This will never be a Nintendo machine, not even the Switch.
I think people severely overestimate the appeal of playing a big AAA multiplat on a 7” 720p screen portable. Sure, there are gamers who who would love to play Red Dead Redemption 2 only portable and never play the Xbox/pc/ps version…but it isn’t that large. The majority market of that kind of game is elsewhere
I’m absolutely welcome to be proven wrong on this! But I haven’t been swayed yet. Only people theorizing about it.
If Red Dead Redemption 2 gets a Drake only port, I bet it wouldnt sell much more than 1 million tbh. Certainly nowhere near 3 million. And it really does seem if publishers of these big games don’t feel the promise of at least 3 million lifetime sales is there, they don’t put time/effort in a port for that platform. Pc/Xbox/ps has the promise of these minimums, no matter the userbase size. Even a Nintendo machine with 100 million userbase you are lucky if your multiplat port gets close to 3 million in sales.
I don’t think the power of Drake docked will change this much, tbh.
Nate said there will be third party exclusives and Stephen totilo revealed that one of them is Red Dead Revolver 2. There's a big chance this is gonna be another GBC.
I do believe there will be 3rd party Drake exclusives, of course there will be. I just question what type they are. The genre, how many other platforms it’s on already, what Drake will offer that all the other platforms it’s on doesn’t…etc
As for RDR2 being on Switch and only playable on the Drake? I have to see it to believe it. Supposedly Rockstar doesn’t think the effort to remaster GTA4 and RDR for the big 3rd party platforms is worth the return. If that’s true, porting a major game to just the low userbase Drake platform has to be the very LAST of their dev porting priorities lol
And the thing about "1st party drives Nintendo hardware sales" thing is wrong, multiple excellent Mario games couldn't save Wii U.
Multiple excellent Mario games were on the portable option at the time.
The problem with the Wii U was that it didn’t get enough 1st party gaming and 3rd party exclusive gaming support at all. Nintendo and other were divided in supporting multiple different Nintendo systems at the same time.
No amount of COD or AC or FIFA releases on the Wii U would have pushed hardware sales.
Making the Wii U the only place to play Zelda and Mario and Pokémon games? Not 3ds? I think you’d be surprised how much the Wii U would have sold. Even with the U in its name lol
Certain games sell Nintendo consoles and they're both first and third party alike: Animal Crossing, Pokémon, Monster Hunter, Dragon Quest etc.
You mentioned 3rd party games that are console exclusive to Nintendo machines lol…of course they help drive sales, I said as much.
We are talking about big multiplats that sell very well on pc/Xbox/ps.
And you'll see some multiplat third party games pushing Nintendo systems as some are better suited for handheld gameplay. Like Stardew Valley.
Yes. Again, how well is Stardew Valley selling on Xbox and PlayStation?
There are absolutely 3rd party games that can compete against Nintendo 1st party games on Nintendo systems. Lego games will never miss a Nitnendo platform, for example.
We aren’t talking about those. We are talking about the “support” people always lament Nintendo machines never get enough of. We are talking about “support” people are saying Drake power is going to get Switch that the earlier models never got.
Also, I disagree that Stardew Valley pushed any Switch hardware. I would argue that Switch software pushed Stardew Valley sales on the Switch. Stardew Valley is a game that is very complimentary with the 1st party games that actually drive Switch sales. People pick up Switch for Animal Crossing and then get interested in trying Stardew Valley. Not the other way around.