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Oh sweet summerchild….If it's late 2023 to 2024 as I expect, I think we're allowed to expect a bit better.
Oh sweet summerchild….If it's late 2023 to 2024 as I expect, I think we're allowed to expect a bit better.
Strictly speaking, Arm also listed 6 cores as an example for the A78C.If it's A78C it's locked to 8Cores max due to the DSU. Newer nodes benefits would be either for better energy-efficiency or higher clocks.
Ehh, deadlock probably isn't the right word, but Orin using a A78 variant does put (some variant of) A78 in the spotlight as the main suspect. Outside of that, I think that we only have positive confirmation of Nvidia having already acquired licenses for A57 and A72. Beyond those three, the other options are in 'lack of positives/unable to prove negative' territory.We've been talking alot about GPU nodes, but what about CPUs? Are we deadlocked to one flavour of ARM Cortex-A78? Wouldn't die shrinks also apply to the CPU?
8 nm and A78 was the case in late 2020 so you are right to take anything as a bonus. …oups i forgot…I’m just setting my expectations at 8nm with ultra low clocks. And anything else is a bonus.
That depends on when Nintendo and Nvidia made a decision with respect to which process node to use for the fabrication of Drake, which I imagine is a decision made well in advance (probably a minimum of around a year in advance).If it's releasing this year or early next year, that's a safe but likely outcome.
If it's late 2023 to 2024 as I expect, I think we're allowed to expect a bit better.
There's the Dimensity 8000 family (Dimensity 8000 and the Dimensity 8100), which was fabricated using TSMC's N5 process node. And there's also the Dimensity 1050, Dimensity 1100, Dimensity 1200, and Dimensity 1300, which were fabricated using TSMC's N6 process node. (The Dimensity 1200 and Dimensity 1300 have one Cortex-A78 core running at a frequency of 3 GHz!)As for whether node implies choice of CPU, wikichip lists three process nodes for the A78; 10 nm/7 nm/5 nm. The 10 nm can be confirmed through Orin being on a Samsung 8 nm node, which is a refinement within the 10 nm generation. 5 nm can be confirmed through Arm's announcement of the A78 (its claims are based on a '5 nm' node; I'm assuming TSMC's N5). Hmm, wonder what's an example of A78 on 7 nm... probably Qualcomm's Snapdragon 888. That has A78-based cores on Samsung 5LPE, which is really a refinement within the 7 nm generation. Or the Snapdragon 695; it has A78-based cores on TSMC N6, perfect.
I was thinking a bit about this, and I think that's a promising idea. At least, what they'd need to do to make it work should make things more flexible than the Switch status quo. For some time I thought there'd eventually be a portable model that played the dock mode, but since that also affects how the system uses things like touch screen and attached Joy-Cons, it's an imperfect solution. But if graphics and interface changes were toggled separately within game code, it would be possible to do docked graphics + undocked interface, or as you've suggested here undocked graphics + docked interface when used with one of the ~hundred million older docks.Hm. That would be a bigger question. It was my impression Raccoon was talking about the Dock with LAN Port, but I could well be wrong about that. Still, the Nintendo Switch Dock and Nintendo Switch Dock with LAN Port are physically compatible with V1/2/OLED. I could see the Drake model supporting the original dock (with the appropriate capped output), perhaps running at "Handheld Mode" clocks and flashing up a warning, but working.
This is something I've become less worried about recently. I've been surprised that Steam Deck load times don't seem very different between SSD and microSD.This new hardware could have some kind of SSD, because 2-3 minutes of loading would bury all graphics and fps improvement.
This would be a factor if they thought supply would be bigger than demand in the first couple quarters, which is very unlikely.I wonder, if it's as costy as it's shaping up to be maybe they'll want to reveal it early to let people do some saving.
OverconfidenceI don't get why people do that thing where they want someone else to make a point for them. Lol
On the other hand, many western games skip Switch due to hardware limitations.
There's nothing stopping the publishers like Activision, Ubisoft and Take Two to release ALL of their lineup other than weak hardware.
Once the more powerful hardware arrives, they'll dump the games they couldn't on Switch.
Mario alone does not make the console an attractive purchase there needs to be more than that. Wii U is the sole evidence of that, it had neither a real Pokémon or AC game.
Nintendo fully admitted that they weren’t prepared AT ALL with HD games in almost every aspect. It was pretty difficult for them and to add some vinegar on the injury ; the CPU of the console was utter garbage and when your 3rd party partners openly mock your console and its rig before its official release (hello 4A Games), you know you’re in trouble.Yep. The Wii U was held back by not having Nintendo’s full, consistent 1st party support and having much of their output exclusive to another console that wasn’t the Wii U
Nothing to do with 3rd party support or having U in its name
You seem to speak about a lot things as if you know them for sure when you couldn't possibly. Your opinions aren't necessarily uneducated ones, but I think it would be beneficial for you to frame them as they are... opinions.No.
Some publishers love to use it as the excuse, but it’s not the reason. It’s easier to say that than to just admit the game they aren’t porting can’t compete with Nintendo 1st party and just isn’t in demand on Nintendo systems.
The Switch could have had a port every Xbox One game (see Witcher 3). It certainly could have been dumped with every ps360 game.
It wasn’t, and had nothing to do with power.
Sure there is. Many things stopping it.
B) Doubt.
Yep. The Wii U was held back by not having Nintendo’s full, consistent 1st party support and having much of their output exclusive to another console that wasn’t the Wii U
Nothing to do with 3rd party support or having U in its name
If they're not caught off guard by its success, the extra effort shouldn't be as much. If this thing releases anytime before 2024, it should have a higher userbase relative to the competition than Switch ever had and harder to ignore.
Uh, not true.
Gabe has publicly talked about how painful it was for them to hit the price point, and they took that hit, because the profit for them comes from folks buying games on Steam, not purchasing the hardware. With Valve, it is always about Steam and increasing their market share.
With that said, I expect Drake to cost more than the OLED but not $500. Nintendo likes to make money on both their hardware and software, but they will get to a more consumer-friendly price without completely nuking their hardware profits thanks to their scale. Nintendo just buys parts and produces hardware at a scale magnitudes larger than Valve, and so, they can get better prices on everything from their suppliers.
Keep in mind, the new chip is gonna be the biggest expense for producing Drake, and that’s probably the only thing that’ll significantly drive up their per-unit production costs. Nintendo is going to repurpose as many parts from their existing Switch production lines as possible. The dock, for example, is probably gonna be the one they made for the OLED, and that’s already been in mass production for a year, so it is likely even cheaper to produce now. The same goes for the screen, joycons, etc.
That depends on when Nintendo and Nvidia made a decision with respect to which process node to use for the fabrication of Drake, which I imagine is a decision made well in advance (probably a minimum of around a year in advance).
except we don't know either of those. Nvidia could have made Drake to be on 5nm in 2022 if they wanted. they're releasing 5nm products this year anywayYes. And such decision would have to be made with the expected release date in mind. I would expect something releasing earlier to be using a less advanced process than something releasing later. I don't think there's much to debate here.
0 Drake exclusives from 1st party output isn't what I would expect I think we will get one or two exclusives during launch period like New 3DS didDrake september announcement + showcase -> mid november release with these titles as launch window (6 months until around mid spring)
- pokémon scarlet/violet
- metroid prime remaster
- zelda botw 2
- bayonetta 3
- new fire emblem
- red dead redemption 2
- cod warzone* + modern warfare trilogy
- mass effect legendary trilogy
- capcom re engine titles*
- borderlands 3
- destiny 2
- howarts legacy
- batman arkham collection
- bns internal ports*
- any Ubisoft title*
* denotes drake exclusive
It'd be easier to make these ports on a more powerful system, right? I understand the broad strokes of your argument here, but surely new hardware would manipulate the variables of said calculations.These are calculations that aren’t solved by “more power!!”
yes, thats truth but also is a little difficult to imagine what kind of exclusives can next switch get unless its a new 3d mario or mario kart but those games are probably late 2023/2024.0 Drake exclusives from 1st party output isn't what I would expect I think we will get one or two exclusives during launch period like New 3DS did
That only happened because they had more powerful consoles to downport from. I don't expect that to happen here.0 Drake exclusives from 1st party output isn't what I would expect I think we will get one or two exclusives during launch period like New 3DS did
0 Drake exclusives from 1st party output isn't what I would expect I think we will get one or two exclusives during launch period like New 3DS did
I don't know what it would release I expect something new to show the console power and as mentioned above NLG/Monolith Soft new 'smaller' games would be perfect for that, both studios are known for making impressive games on Nintendo hardware and the smaller expected smaller scope means that the 'lost sales' wouldn't be that important while still giving Nintendo something to show as unique to the new hardware. (I think NLG game will probably be the one with the recent rumors about the game being announced when we expected 1st party direct in June)That only happened because they had more powerful consoles to downport from. I don't expect that to happen here.
Unless they have something unique that requires tensor cores, like an AI accelerated Nintendogs.
Different casing? Different battery? Different storage? Different cooling mechanism?
Maybe you are right, and the SoC is the only difference between this new model and the OLED.
But I have a hard time believing the cost difference between Nintendo producing Drake and producing more Tx1+ is negligible
but dad, I can change him. I know it.Hey folks - let’s just not engage if you feel a conversational thread is going in a loop.
Wave Race Ultra... 4K with ray tracing...I mean it's exactly what I'm expecting.
What's a first party title you think Nintendo would be willing to put only the new system?
out of all their studios anyone who doesn't have anything until 2024 at the earliest. Zelda team, Monolith Soft, Retro, Next Level, etcI mean it's exactly what I'm expecting.
What's a first party title you think Nintendo would be willing to put only the new system?
Yep. We all get it by now. You have a backstage pass to Nintendo. Everything you think it right and everything that goes against what you think is wrong.
Yes, a stronger piece of kit reduces the amount of cost needed to optimize it which means reduced amount of time needed to do said port. If it’s harder to work with, and requires more time, and thus costs more then the level of compel that devs have is reduced.It'd be easier to make these ports on a more powerful system, right? I understand the broad strokes of your argument here, but surely new hardware would manipulate the variables of said calculations.
This doesn't make no sense. Why would they compete with Nintendo? None of the western publishers work on genres Nintendo excels in. They're not competing, in fact, some of the Nintendo-like games sell best on Switch, like Immortals or Crash Team Racing. That theory is nonsense. The whole "only Nintendo games sell on Nintendo consoles" thing needs to die. Everything sell well on Switch, it's the only widely available handheld in the market.No.
Some publishers love to use it as the excuse, but it’s not the reason. It’s easier to say that than to just admit the game they aren’t porting can’t compete with Nintendo 1st party and just isn’t in demand on Nintendo systems.
The Switch could have had a port every Xbox One game (see Witcher 3). It certainly could have been dumped with every ps360 game.
It wasn’t, and had nothing to do with power.
...there will be a massive launch hype for this Pro. A Pro version of a super successful console of the modern times and Nintendo is unlikely to bring any exclusives for it. This is literally a retelling of GBC. Profit motivated publishers won't miss this big opportunity, they'll all have some big guns for the launch. Maybe no "drop all the games instantly" thing but this could be a pretty stacked launch year. There still could be some "dumps", like Capcom did with Resident Evil on base Switch in 2019.B) Doubt.
Come on now. Wii U had a very good first party lineup, some of them were among the best in their series: NSMBU, Mario Maker, Super Mario 3D World, WW/TP, Donkey Kong 2, StarFox, Bayo 2, Splatoon, Pikmin 3, Xeno X... Only thing missing was Animal Crossing, but I doubt absence of it was the only thing kept the console below 20m sales, as AC shines better on handhelds. Do not blame the first party lineup please.Yep. The Wii U was held back by not having Nintendo’s full, consistent 1st party support and having much of their output exclusive to another console that wasn’t the Wii U
I don't know what it would release I expect something new to show the console power and as mentioned above NLG/Monolith Soft new 'smaller' games would be perfect for that, both studios are known for making impressive games on Nintendo hardware and the smaller expected smaller scope means that the 'lost sales' wouldn't be that important while still giving Nintendo something to show as unique to the new hardware. (I think NLG game will probably be the one with the recent rumors about the game being announced when we expected 1st party direct in June)
This doesn't make no sense. Why would they compete with Nintendo? None of the western publishers work on genres Nintendo excels in. They're not competing, in fact, some of the Nintendo-like games sell best on Switch, like Immortals or Crash Team Racing. That theory is nonsense. The whole "only Nintendo games sell on Nintendo consoles" thing needs to die. Everything sell well on Switch, it's the only widely available handheld in the market.
Nintendo software and hardware sales data from 1983 to present
I'm going to keep this thread updated with new, more up to date info whenever is possible. UPDATED WITH DATA UNTIL DECEMBER 2023 独創 What does the following data represent? The data here presented is either financial data or shipment data provided by Nintendo itself directly from Nintendo's...www.installbaseforum.com
Needed.
So? Those lists are only have first party games. DS had more than 110 "million seller" third party games.Nintendo software and hardware sales data from 1983 to present
I'm going to keep this thread updated with new, more up to date info whenever is possible. UPDATED WITH DATA UNTIL DECEMBER 2023 独創 What does the following data represent? The data here presented is either financial data or shipment data provided by Nintendo itself directly from Nintendo's...www.installbaseforum.com
Needed.
No, I mean yes, but that’s not why I posted this, reason is that the cases in which Nintendo overwhelmingly sells more than the third party games on their platforms are actually not that common.Not going to dig into that post/thread to hunt down the point you’re making. But I assume that while third parties are competing for dollars spend on the System, that Switch is still presenting a much better opportunity to third parties than historical consoles. Is that not true?
lol
What a bizarre thing to erupt about. Every post in a thread like this that doesn’t source a quote or link is inherently tagged “IMO”
Calling out people for speculating or stating things without constantly saying “imo” is weird.
imo
Ok that was not the point. The point is third party games not selling at all. They do and Mario & Pokémon breaking sales records is not an obstacle for third parties to sell good.No, that the cases in which Nintendo overwhelmingly sells more than the third party games on their platforms are actually not that common.
Right, so why would I link a post that supports the opposite of that claimThe point is third party games not selling at all.
The bolded is an excuse that 3rd parties have used on more then one occasion as to why their games skip Nintendo systems. Even on terrible selling devices like WiiU 3rd parties still sold depending on the software.Ok that was not the point. The point is third party games not selling at all. They do and Mario & Pokémon breaking sales records is not an obstacle for third parties to sell good.
Let's not forget Pokémon, Mario, Animal Crossing they're all mega franchises. Mario and pikachu alone are bigger today than Mickey Mouse, Spongebob and Shrek combined. They always sell very good. There's no competition between them and third party franchises, they don't "steal" customers from third parties.
There actually was a list going around some years ago on Gaf, a list of million seller third party games of GBA. There were awful lot of them and some interesting ones, like Driver 3 and Max Payne. I can't find it, could have proven the point better than anything.Right, so why would I link a post that supports the opposite of that claim
It supports that thirds do sell on the switch lol
Yeah, we got some pubs with that excuse during the Wii times but thankfully nothing since. Most famous one was Capcom blaming Mario Galaxy for the failure of Zak & Wiki. They shut up when Monster Hunter Tri sold better than their expectations.The bolded is an excuse that 3rd parties have used on more then one occasion as to why their games skip Nintendo systems. Even on terrible selling devices like WiiU 3rd parties still sold depending on the software.
However, the phrase Nintendo hardware is bought for Nintendo software rings true; as the vast majority of hardware selling potential lays with Nintendo.
No, I mean yes, but that’s not why I posted this, reason is that the cases in which Nintendo overwhelmingly sells more than the third party games on their platforms are actually not that common.
Switch is only about 50/50.
I’m fact it’s not common really.
Edit: guys, why would I put a post that links to a list of percentages that first party to third party ratio is on each Nintendo platform when the original quote was about how it’s wrong to say that third parties do not sell on the switch? And how would you assume that this is me saying that thirds do not sell on the switch if the post itself literally would refute my point?
Come on now. I posted “needed” because of the conversation going on.
I'd argue Forza Motorsport is the first. 2023 might be more full of them, Starfield not being one of themMicrosoft has yet to release an exclusive game (?) despite a clear difference between X|S and the One line. And it's hard to argue that Sony's own exclusives would be only possible on the new hardware as well, as much as they want customers to believe that's the case. Sony's decision to make these exclusives was to further the same messaging they'd been trying to peddle since the reveal - sell your PS4, it's obsolete; Get in line for PS5. This is something I just don't expect from Nintendo for quite some time.
I'd argue Forza Motorsport is the first. 2023 might be more full of them, Starfield not being one of them
note: this is pc footage, but they said they can run these settings on Series X
Just this gen alone we’ve had companies either use it for why their games aren’t coming or complain about it in their fiscal year results. It still very much is an active excuse on the bingo board.Yeah, we got some pubs with that excuse during the Wii times but thankfully nothing since. Most famous one was Capcom blaming Mario Galaxy for the failure of Zak & Wiki. They shut up when Monster Hunter Tri sold better than their expectations.
There is no “do have” it’s absolutely “do”. The other factors you speak of are other 1st party franchises contributing to that number. With 3rd parties chipping in every now & then. As Nintendo releases more software then more people are enticed to buy.Nintendo software do have power to sell consoles, especially Animal Crossing, Zelda and Pokémon but when the platform hits record numbers like 100m, there are other factors that help selling consoles. Everyone knows BotW as the biggest game on Switch but forgets the fact that less than 1/3 of all Switch owners have the game. MK8 might hit 50m but that still would be less than half of all Switch owners. Kind of mind blowing, because it's safe to assume there are no Switch owner on this site that doesn't own the both games. We might be in a bubble here.
It’s alright! I should have added more words other than needed in hindsight.
I’d only glanced at the exchange between 9-Volt and Tulpa and hadn’t see your position on things. You could have been trying to support or refute any of the posts for all I knew - sorry!
Flight Simulator is next-gen only btw