Just stating "2x improvement" here is hard for me to engage with when it's based on so much rough estimation. With how much uncertainty there is, starting with the wrong chip being used as the basis for all the numbers, to not knowing what changed in the design, there's more than enough to go from "the napkin math says this isn't possible" to "oh well it turned out to just barely be possible with OG Switch battery life."
Definitely not. I believe we could have gotten more info on Totk by now as well. I'm feeling confident Drake will release within 3 months/launch window of Totk release. Same week is most likely I think. Not betting on before though.
You have two switches? Wait. We'll likely get news by February if it's coming out with Zelda.
Golden Week would be an appropriate time to launch a Golden Triforce edition of the Drake, for sure
April has a bunch of other advantages. I went into more detail earlier, but the short version is:
One part of the leaked source shows SM versions 8.6, 8.7, and 8.8 all mapping to SPA version 8.6, with another code comment referring to SM version as the "hardware revision" of the SM block, and SPA version as the ISA version. So if that's true, then all three share the same instruction set.
Yeah, the new 3DS had less than a month and a half from announcement to release in Japan. And the big launch title, monster hunter 4G, was already revealed ahead of time with its release date (October 11, 2014). And majora’s mask 3D was revealed in a November direct in North America, while the new 3DS was officially announced in the following year in January.
Why would they put preference next to a game that's already launch window?
As I've said before. May for a console release just doesn't make sense. The only thing going for it is launching the same day as Zelda. Which gives it... Zero actual benefit compared to launching before it. In fact it's not as advantageous. Zelda will not be supply constrained. The Drake Switch will be. It makes sense to have more units out ahead of time because Zelda will do better with a larger install base.
FTFYGolden Week would be an appropriate time to launch a Golden Triforce edition of the OLED, for sure
But that's the thing, "the former" in this case is Nintendo Switch 2. Super Nintendo Switch. Nintendo Switch Pro.
I had meant to write a second paragraph saying this but clearly forgot to lmao
It's not an argument. However, May being less favourable market conditions than April, however, is what I'm arguing, and from what data I've seen it appears true. If this thing launches within the next 6-12 months and ISN'T a train wreck in some catastrophic capacity, it will not fail, at least not at launch. But similarly launching day and date with Zelda is no guarantor of success. Launching before or with Zelda have the exact same benefits for the console; the number 1 place to play the new, amazing Zelda game. If it launches a little earlier it has the benefit of improved market conditions AND Zelda. With Zelda, it only has Zelda. Is Zelda enough? Absolutely, yes, I think it is. But if they can have both, why not have both?
Launching with the game also saves heavily on shipping costs, same reason amiibos always launch with a game, even if it's unrelated to the amiibo.
that does make sense
If you're asking for real (can't tell) it's probably because that's when the games are actually physically shipped out, they just aren't released until a little later.
all that applies to Zelda as well, which shows that the dates are largely arbitrary. if launching with Zelda isn't a guarantee of success, neither is launching separate of zelda. market conditions don't improve in such a rapid time given the date of the hardware in conjunction with zelda are known quantities.
I think we agree there. They're going to be successful regardless.
2x is over Orin Nano. There isn’t really any fuzzy estimation there.
I don’t disagree with the notion that there is a wide range of possibilities but what do you mean by “wrong chip”? (I’m asking genuinely, zero snark here, I respect your analysis and knowledge a great deal)
I definitely think Nintendo's going to have the CPU frequency be less than 2 GHz, which is going to help to some degree in terms of power consumption (and possibly chip yields).
I believe that’s only really bad after 2.4-2.6GHz.
Absolutely. These power draw numbers have the CPU clocked down to 1.1Ghz.
I'm having trouble articulating my issues with it beyond what I've already said. These numbers all come from presets on a power estimation tool, and what's being estimated isn't the exact same as a different chip that's actually fabricated with that configuration running on a different board. For what gap does really exist (and I'm not disputing there is one), we don't know what Nvidia can or can't do when they're creating a custom version of the chip to suit a specific customer's needs, or how Nintendo is willing to compromise for it in battery life, or what tradeoffs they can make against it with size, weight, or a costlier battery. What we do know is that this is a decision made with quite a lot of weight behind 8nm as the default assumption, and that it was likely made a good long time ago, when some of the public information being used to analyze it now simply wasn't known.
Someone posted a video in the previous page. A Ryzen APU with 2 tflops GPU and with similar CPU speeds as current gen consoles (but Zen 3 instead of Zen 2) can run Fortnite at 1080p 98 fps with high settings, or 1080p 30 fps with Lumen/UE5 and some low settings for some effects.
This would be more of something that’s integrated into the SoC design, rather than a specific hardware block. As in, you wouldn’t find it if you looked for it, because it would be everywhere. I’m not sure if this is only for the GPU or for all components in the SoC in this case, as in did nvidia do it just for the GPU or everyone? If you catch my drift here (DualSense and Joycon not included).
There shouldn’t be a win or a loss here. It’s the same picture for this case….
Here’s my thing, it’s difficult to properly compare Drake and Errista that was in the original switch from 2017. Now, I think that even if both drew the exact same power it is possible that Drake would still offer you a slightly longer battery life on average than the 2017 model, who is rated for 2.5 to 6.5 hours.
People said a March launch for Switch was weird back in 2016, too. But I stand by the statement I made with Switch back in the day: it lets them take plenty of time to iron out launch quirks and any potential supply hiccups prior to the largest global shopping season. That it might be May specifically would probably come down to some internal corporate planning decision at Nintendo that we'll never be privy to but makes plenty of sense internally.
Technically, so does Switch, but when it comes to the features people talk about when they invoke "UE5", they're talking about Lumen and Nanite or feature-complete UE5. Lumen is 100% not supported on PS4 or Xbox One. Nanite is offered experimentally to PS4 and XBOne and, in Epic's own words, may not meet all needs to deliver a shippable product.
I agree. Holiday sales is all the motivation Nintendo needs to not promote TOTK until next year.
They may not have to, the games and exclusives should speak for themselves. If I see Elden Ring, RE4 remake, Street Fighter 6, Jedi Survivor, etc. running smoothly on the device, even if I know nothing about FLOPs, I'll assume it's a nice piece of kit. Like how they showed Skyrim in the first Switch reveal - or going further back - the Game Boy Advance showing off how much of a 'portable SNES' it was to illustrate that leap over the GB/C.
Exclusive games and better performance are all that are needed to market it. At the end of the day, software is king.
At the most we get a Nvidia blogpost saying something like “our state of the are reconstruction, using the same
In Zelda at launch possibly, among an exclusive, probably experimental game (like ARMS was).
Is it really like Ampere? if so, in what way?
March, 23, 2023 was actually the best date to release the Switch 2 before TotK received a release date.
