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StarTopic Nintendo Direct Speculation |ST3| Speculate Chronicles 3

WHEN


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Btw, will they start talking immediatly about splatoon3 updates if there's a direct the week after launch? That would be a great way to keep momentum for the game.
 
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Why there is going to be a Nintendo Direct on September 1st

Having Direct in September is not matter of if but rather when. In this post I will tell you why will team September 1st win.

There has been September Direct every single year since 2016, I am listing here every date when Direct happened and next to it when Tokyo Game Show was taking place in that year.
September 1st 2016​
TGS starting on September 15th
September 13th 2017TGS starting on September 21st
September 13th* 2018TGS starting on September 20th

*Direct was delayed due to earthquake in Japan, it was pushed back by one week to September 13th from September 6th.

September 4th 2019TGS starting on September 14th
September 17th 2020TGS starting on September 23st
September 23th 2021TGS starting on September 30th
September xx 2022TGS starting on September 15th



As you can all see, all of the Directs took place before the TGS started so that Nintendo could announce games from their partners that they can showcase at TGS. So we are looking for a Direct that takes place before September 15th. All the Directs took place around 1 or 2 weeks before TGS started.

But we can’t just look at past dates and figure out what will happen, that’s not how Nintendo works.

This week is empty, yes some might say that the Direct this week will interrupt Splatoon’s marketing and that might be true but am not really supporting this logic. Because if the Direct takes place on September 1st (2nd in Japan and EU) that is one whole week before Splatoon launches. Usually when Direct ends Nintendo will tweet about the games that were featured there for one or two days and that’s it. They don’t look back and say „Hey look, here is another reminder that you saw new BOTW2 trailer 4 days ago“ and so on.

I would say the Direct taking place in the Splatoon week this is also not a good spot, since you need to put out reviews for Splatoon. Going by last of their major releases the embargo for Strikers dropped on Wednesday while the Xenoblade Chronicles 3 was Tuesday so it will be either 6th Tuesday or 7th Wednesday for reviews. That leaves a very little possibility to announce or air Direct on these dates. There is also a Apple Event happening on 7th and rumored Sony showcase on 8th. I would guess that Nintendo don’t care since they held a Direct in September 2017/8 day after Apple event but am just posting this for full context. The Direct also can't take place on 8th since that would already be 9th in JP and EU and I think doing Direct on Splatoon 3 release date is literally out of the question that's for sure.

One last week that is possible is second week of September from Monday 12th to Wednesday 14th (TGS starts on the 15th but Direct imo can’t take place in JP the same date as TGS starts). Some people say it will happen since Splatoon 3 will be out by then. If we exclude all possible days that week we really come out with one single date and that is.

Announcement on Monday 12th.

Direct taking place on Tuesday 13th in US (14th midnight in most of Europe and 14th in the morning in Japan).

Sounds good.

But I have one big problem with this date.

Direct would take place just one single day before TGS starts. One day imo isn’t enough for a titles announced in the Direct to then showcase at TGS next day. If it would be 3 to 4 days I would be on team that week, but the one day window is just so small that this opporunity is basically non existent.

And that brings me to the actual date of the Direct.

September 1st.

Announcement taking place on August 31st at 23:00 JST for a show on September 1st in NA, 2nd midnight CEST and 2nd morning in Japan.

If you may be wondering if it's problem that the Direct announcement will be different month than the Direct itself. This isn't the problem. As shown in the past:
September 1st 2016 Direct announced last day of August, April 1st 2015 Direct announced last day in March, Smash Ultimate Direct on November 1st 2018 announced in last day of October and list goes on and on.

Also it will never be week of Splatoon because of reviews. If the reviews drop on Tuesday they can't announce Direct on Tuesday 6th. And if they try to announce Direct on Wednesday 7th that will already be air date 9th in Japan (fucking Splatoon's release date).

Last but not least shout out to all of the other 65 people who also voted for team this week. We got this. See you on Wednesday.
Nothing to Grubb about this, it's good stuff. 😆
 
Still, doesn't mean questions can't be asked. Even jokes can be criticised. 😰
It's not what you did, you are certainly allowed to question insiders.

It's how you did it. Your post read more like an "Aha! Gotcha! I caught you lying!" than a post legitimately asking for clarification.
 
TGS PATTERN IS DEAD
burn-elmo.gif


edit: i mean 1-2 weeks before TGS pattern you silly geese
 
colombo-2337203.jpg

"So you are an insider, huh? Well ain't that something. My wife, she has this insider friend, you know, and she tells me that insiders always have information that is 100% correct. Now, I mean no disrespect, sir, but I happened upon some rather peculiar tweets that put your claims in jeopardy. I'm sure it's nothing, just a coincidence."
 
colombo-2337203.jpg

"So you are an insider, huh? Well ain't that something. My wife, she has this insider friend, you know, and she tells me that insiders always have information that is 100% correct. Now, I mean no disrespect sir, but I happened upon some rather peculiar tweets that put your claims in jeopardy. I'm sure is nothing, just a coincidence."
He's just like me fr fr
 
Rehashing one of the Wii U Zelda ports is maybe possible, but I don't think the timing is really right for that until we have hardware that can run the games at >1080p. Doing both of them at the same time just seems completely out of the question. The only scenario I can think of where that kinda makes sense is if they're the originals, emulated, rather than ports of the Wii U versions, but even then I'd expect them to be spaced out a bit.
Both of the games are already 1080p native on Wii U. The only question is if they'll work on them aiming for 60FPS and maybe add a better lighting to TP or just make "ROM dumps".

I think 60FPS is likely because Skyward Sword is a generation above TP, needed more reworking (the controls) and still got its 60FPS fix.

Switch will have no problem in getting TP HD at 1080p60. WW HD would have a problem because apparently the physics are capped at 30 or something? Nothing that some work can't fix tho. They did it for SS, they can do for the other two.
 
The only thing less temporary than Direct speculation is a Starbuck Pumpkin Spice latte. Holy shit I didn't realize how much I missed it until that first sip.
 
I have a busy afternoon ahead of me at work, so if anyone can keep me in the loop about the Bombcast, that would be awesome. And welcome to our unhinged circus, Grubb! Hope you stay a while.
 
colombo-2337203.jpg

"So you are an insider, huh? Well ain't that something. My wife, she has this insider friend, you know, and she tells me that insiders always have information that is 100% correct. Now, I mean no disrespect, sir, but I happened upon some rather peculiar tweets that put your claims in jeopardy. I'm sure it's nothing, just a coincidence."

Goated post
 
To me having TP+WW would mean rather that Nintendo has a 2D Zelda for 2024 or spin offs coming the years following rather than a further delay of BotW 2.
 
Both of the games are already 1080p native on Wii U. The only question is if they'll work on them aiming for 60FPS and maybe add a better lighting to TP or just make "ROM dumps".

I think 60FPS is likely because Skyward Sword is a generation above TP, needed more reworking (the controls) and still got its 60FPS fix.

Switch will have no problem in getting TP HD at 1080p60. WW HD would have a problem because apparently the physics are capped at 30 or something? Nothing that some work can't fix tho. They did it for SS, they can do for the other two.
Boosting to 60fps would be something, but doesn't address the bigger issue that this just really isn't the time for this sort of release unless BotW 2 has been delayed again.
 
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