• Hey everyone, staff have documented a list of banned content and subject matter that we feel are not consistent with site values, and don't make sense to host discussion of on Famiboards. This list (and the relevant reasoning per item) is viewable here.

StarTopic Future Nintendo Hardware & Technology Speculation & Discussion |ST| (Read the staff posts before commenting!)

If so,
We will still playing a 8nm 1280 CUDA (reduced from T239’s 1536 to make 8nm possible?) in 2032?

Not doomposting. This is my biggest concern now because some nvda insiders are actually saying this (reduced SM/CDUA, a.k.a. “t239 cancelled”, to make 8nm possible).
To be frank, I doubt those Nvidia insiders know what they're talking about(funny I'm saying this bc I'm not that big into tech), as we would have definitely heard by now that Nintendo is overhauling it's SOC. And 8nm still hasn't been proven yet(neither has 4N but it has a stronger case).
 
You mean the ones that are mega pissed right now because they counted on switch 2 to help them through the shitty fiscal year incoming ? 😅
To be realistic if any third party was looking at a shit year, having an additional userbase of several million to sell to while competing against Nintendo's own launch games isn't going to move the needle that much.
 
To be honest i could see a scenario where its not only the 3D Mario game that is taking longer time to be ready, but pretty much all titles from Nintendo EPD and the likes of HAL, Intelligent systems etc etc. They are all knew to the Switch 2 dev kits and the new features of the Switch 2. And if Nintendo is having problems with their own games due to the greater scope of it all i'd imagine Monolith Soft is having some trouble with their next RPG game as well even if it isn't aiming to be a launch title.
No. John had thoughts on this in the Nate episode. This is not like going from the wii to wii u. Switch to switch 2 is not going to be this drastically different architecture. The tools should scale pretty well from a development point of view. Some of the engines will be probably the same with access to output at a higher Fidelity.

Same goes for uses for unreal, which the switch as is already supports at a modern level. If anything having less restraints might make development easier. If there is anything that will be a challenge, which is a challenge for any developer it's just gonna be about making bigger games. But I personally don't believe its going to be anything to do with development learning curves.

They have hired a lot of people in the last few years to fill in the knowledge gaps of higher fidelity gaming. And people who have worked on games during the last gen maybe current gen era. Nintendo is not working in a bubble.

Unless their added gimmick is something crazy like vr.
 
i'm just waiting for the first, non-ironic #Team2026 posters to appear. one thing is for sure is if a delay is real more delays are very possible ie into later 2025 maybe even Fall/Holidays.
2023 was once stupid, 2024 once both stupid and trolling, and until very recently 2025 was outlandishly stupid trolling

I see no reason why 2026 can't join their ranks
 
To be frank, I doubt those Nvidia insiders know what they're talking about(funny I'm saying this bc I'm not that big into tech), as we would have definitely heard by now that Nintendo is overhauling it's SOC. And 8nm still hasn't been proven yet(neither has 4N but it has a stronger case).
the nature of the project is why Nvidia insiders wouldn't know. being a customer project, it gets sectioned off from the usual products. if it wasn't for the data theft, we'd be so in the dark
 
2023 was once stupid, 2024 once both stupid and trolling, and until very recently 2025 was outlandishly stupid trolling

I see no reason why 2026 can't join their ranks
maybe they're still in the process of deciding whether it will even launch in the coming FY.

if this stuff is true there is every chance projections for the next FY include nothing about a new console. it will simply be the final year of Switch with further remakes and smaller titles etc. unthinkable not really.
 
the nature of the project is why Nvidia insiders wouldn't know. being a customer project, it gets sectioned off from the usual products. if it wasn't for the data theft, we'd be so in the dark
That's true, but I feel like a complete change from T239 would've made it out to the public somehow, since it's been taped since 2022, and the delay being pushed to 2025 doesn't indicate a change in the SOC.
 
No. John had thoughts on this in the Nate episode. This is not like going from the wii to wii u. Switch to switch 2 is not going to be this drastically different architecture. The tools should scale pretty well from a development point of view. Some of the engines will be probably the same with access to output at a higher Fidelity.

Same goes for uses for unreal, which the switch as is already supports at a modern level. If anything having less restraints might make development easier. If there is anything that will be a challenge, which is a challenge for any developer it's just gonna be about making bigger games. But I personally don't believe its going to be anything to do with development learning curves.

They have hired a lot of people in the last few years to fill in the knowledge gaps of higher fidelity gaming. And people who have worked on games during the last gen maybe current gen era. Nintendo is not working in a bubble.

Unless their added gimmick is something crazy like vr.

A bigger issue might just be the scope and polish creep that is really common among new games.

Nintendo needs to make a sequel to Mario Kart 8 that manages to really impress the 70m people who bought the game and can enjoy its 96 tracks. They need new features that make the game fresh (after people played it for 10 years) but still feels like Mario Kart and need a ton of content so it doesn't feel sparse compared to Mario Kart 8. That will take a lot of prototyping and rebooting and a ton of asset creation.

3D Mario might be moving to full open world which would take probably require 2-3x as much content as Mario Odyssey and a huge amount of prototyping and playtesting. Metroid Prime 4 is probably a dramatic change for the franchise from a studio that is basically a new studio with how much hiring they've had since 2019. It's also been so long announced that it needs to kill it and be an all-time great game to live up to expectations and that takes a lot of time.
 
That's true, but I feel like a complete change from T239 would've made it out to the public somehow, since it's been taped since 2022, and the delay being pushed to 2025 doesn't indicate a change in the SOC.
we'd probably learn of that from third parties. "our dev kits were taken away" kinda deal
 
That's it, ill be the first 2026 doomposter. Nintendo's strategy from keeping the switch successor from being a failure is by making every wait so long and get so tired of switch that they'll want to upgrade to switch 2 ASAP/s
 
If we play with the idea that software related delays is the root cause of the Switch 2 delay, what internal ramifications if any will that have for Nintendo? Changes in the management structure? Will Furukawa himself be in trouble from the board members and shareholders? I don't see shareholders looking kindly at Furukawa possibly butchering the Switch 2 transition period.
 
At this point I'm expecting a full Switch 1 do over in terms of announcement, details, and release. They're going to deny this exists for as long as possible and then drop a trailer in October, then do a full event for details in January with a March reveal.
 
That's it, ill be the first 2026 doomposter. Nintendo's strategy from keeping the switch successor from being a failure is by making every wait so long and get so tired of switch that they'll want to upgrade to switch 2 ASAP/s
it's all about that smooth transition. it's so smooth you won't even feel it.
 
If we play with the idea that software related delays is the root cause of the Switch 2 delay, what internal ramifications if any will that have for Nintendo? Changes in the management structure? Will Furukawa himself be in trouble from the board members and shareholders? I don't see shareholders looking kindly at Furukawa possibly butchering the Switch 2 transition period.
If it is a pure software delay, Shinya Takahashi will be in trouble.
 
If we play with the idea that software related delays is the root cause of the Switch 2 delay, what internal ramifications if any will that have for Nintendo? Changes in the management structure? Will Furukawa himself be in trouble from the board members and shareholders? I don't see shareholders looking kindly at Furukawa possibly butchering the Switch 2 transition period.
Nothing. The answer will most likely be nothing. This is especially true if the transition turns out to be fine. Considering the board didn’t oust Iwata or his board during their WiiU tenure, I very much doubt they do it here due to an internal delay for a product that was never announced. At worst their approval goes down slightly.
 
If it is a pure software delay, Shinya Takahashi will be in trouble.

This is Nintendo, no one is getting in big trouble for this.

"Delayed" was Nintendo's favorite word in the 1990s, lol.

Nintendo's own hardware head I believe before the GameCube launch even outright said "As always with Nintendo, the hardware is ready, the software is not".

If this Switch 2 delay is legit, it seems like this is now 3/4 last consoles that have had the same exact thing happened. 3DS was supposed to launch holiday 2010, it got delayed into early 2011. Switch was supposed to launch holiday 2016, it got delayed to March 2017. Switch 2 seems like it's happened again. Wii U is the only one that made its holiday release window ... though it also bombed, lol.

Fun fact: Even going before that, the only reason the Game Boy ever existed is because software delays caused the Super Nintendo/Super Famicom (supposed to launch in 1989) to be delayed. Yamauchi had actually full on cancelled the Game Boy, but the team working on it simply kept working on the project behind his back. When faced with the Super Famicom delay, only then did Yamauchi agree to allow the Game Boy to be released, lol.

If a company could get married, Nintendo would be late to its own wedding.
 
Nintendo needs to make a sequel to Mario Kart 8 that manages to really impress the 70m people who bought the game and can enjoy its 96 tracks. They need new features that make the game fresh (after people played it for 10 years) but still feels like Mario Kart and need a ton of content so it doesn't feel sparse compared to Mario Kart 8. That will take a lot of prototyping and rebooting and a ton of asset creation.

3D Mario might be moving to full open world which would take probably require 2-3x as much content as Mario Odyssey and a huge amount of prototyping and playtesting. Metroid Prime 4 is probably a dramatic change for the franchise from a studio that is basically a new studio with how much hiring they've had since 2019. It's also been so long announced that it needs to kill it and be an all-time great game to live up to expectations and that takes a lot of time.
Yes. I agree. Polish and scope, I guess which was mentioned in Op's post. And also based on how Nintendo goes about making games. Create compelling idea/mechanic, build game around it. So those kind of things I can see causing problems, especially now that they have to do it in a bigger splashier way, to convince people that switch 2 is the way.

The dev tools, should have been prototyped a a while ago. At least the base tools. There will always be work to refine, update, rework things in the pipelines. But the main engines that they have been using (If I am not mistaken on splatoon and arms etc...) should be scalable to next gen switch. Unless they had to build bespoke engines for the system for internal use. That I don't know.


But yeah Monolith seem to be really good at what they do and always seem to put out bangers. So I feel like them struggling would be strange.

What I would maybe agree as you both stated, is there is probably a crunch right now. And yes, making sure that mario Kart is gonna come out swinging is very important.


Also need to have their marketing on point. Thinking apple level gloss.

Edited: double quote error
 
Last edited:

Very disappointing news if true. As they were a year ago. And two years ago. And three years ago...
I wonder if the reveal in March is still happening. If they finally showed the thing and some games, at least there would be something tangible to hold onto as we wait. Now they could just release a statement that their next system will release next FY at the investors meeting in May.
due to Switch sucessor been delayed to 2025, only on next year, we gonna see Nintendo knowledge the console
 
0
so in this case, is it safe to start assuming 2026 release is a lock?
Who knows, we recently got the news that March 2025 is now the earliest launch date. Maybe a year from now we will hear that Switch 2 will come out fall 2025 and the cycle continues.
 
0
I will say that if 2026 starts to become an actually popular opinion, I am super omega fucking out of here until the console's revealed, lmao.
 
Imagine having 7 years to prepare for this and then fail. Not every company has that luxury of time.
I was listening to Nate’s podcast and didn’t think much of it (What MVG said). Now I’m starting to think there might be some sense to it. Furukawa is probably shaking in his boots to launch a new console. He knows that Nintendo has a history of flopping after a successful console generation. That’s why he‘s insistently dragging the switch life cycle as long as possible. Extending it as long as possible. He’s scared. The Switch was essentially handed to him. This man has not launched a new console. They’re trying to get everything right. And tbh, he’s just delaying the inevitable.

It would be hilarious if all the prepping, waiting, dragging and the console bombs. Keep in mind, The Switch was low key rushed to market and that became a huge success.
 
Last edited:
Its actually funny how many rumors have a boring part and an exciting part and every single time the boring part is the one that’s happening and the other is not.

Partner Direct in February, Switch 2 reveal in march. Y’all can take a wild guess which one is happening and which one is not.
 
This is Nintendo, no one is getting in big trouble for this.

"Delayed" was Nintendo's favorite word in the 1990s, lol.

Nintendo's own hardware head I believe before the GameCube launch even outright said "As always with Nintendo, the hardware is ready, the software is not".

If this Switch 2 delay is legit, it seems like this is now 3/4 last consoles that have had the same exact thing happened. 3DS was supposed to launch holiday 2010, it got delayed into early 2011. Switch was supposed to launch holiday 2016, it got delayed to March 2017. Switch 2 seems like it's happened again. Wii U is the only one that made its holiday release window ... though it also bombed, lol.

Fun fact: Even going before that, the only reason the Game Boy ever existed is because software delays caused the Super Nintendo/Super Famicom (supposed to launch in 1989) to be delayed. Yamauchi had actually full on cancelled the Game Boy, but the team working on it simply kept working on the project behind his back. When faced with the Super Famicom delay, only then did Yamauchi agree to allow the Game Boy to be released, lol.

If a company could get married, Nintendo would be late to its own wedding.
Would be very interesting to know why Nintendo, even though they merged their handheld-console development together still are unable to meet their original release plans, the merger was supposed to streamline development to such degree that these sort of delays would no longer happen. Something has gone seriously wrong. I can only guess that for Nintendo jumping from Switch to Switch 2 specs have been more challenging than they thought it would be.
 
y'know I was actually sort of dreading the hardware reveal because of all the rumors sounding very much like something I don't want but the prospect of a year of Nintendo coasting with no interesting releases has me feeling even worse
 
I was listening to Nate’s podcast and didn’t think much of it (What MVG said). Now I’m starting to think there might be some sense to it. Furukawa is probably shaking in his boots to launch a new console. That’s why he‘s insistently dragging the switch life cycle as long as possible. Extending it as long as possible. He’s scared. The Switch was essentially handed to him. This man has not launched a new console. They’re trying to get everything right.

It would be hilarious if all the prepping, waiting, dragging and the console bombs. Keep in mind, The Switch was low key rushed to market and that became a huge success.
the frustrating part is how by all accounts the hardware will be very capable & Nvidia has given them the ultimate lay-up. yet T239 is taped out in 2022 and it might be going on 3 years before they have a system using it.
 
They should've fomulated a plan for the successor console as soon as the Switch launched.

Instead they wasted time releasing more 3DS games.
What could have happened is that the Switch had so much better legs than Nintendo ever thought it would have had which led them to go down a route of pushing the Switch 2 more and more inte the backburner, until it turned out they pushed it too far back to get it ready when needed. That could explain all those cancelled Switch pro rumours from before, the Switch pro was something they originally planned to release but the great Switch sales made them think a pro was unneeded. But with the delay of the Switch 2 a pro would have been very much needed right now, to play Nintendo games at a better fps than we currently can play them.
 
0
If it is a pure software delay, Shinya Takahashi will be in trouble.
Actually it can be logistic or hardware production problem. BTW I just having fun about those rumor, even march reveal is a rumor too :) Nintendo havent announce anything yet.
 
the frustrating part is how by all accounts the hardware will be very capable & Nvidia has given them the ultimate lay-up. yet T239 is taped out in 2022 and it might be going on 3 years before they have a system using it.
It might sour relations between Nintendo and Nvidia a bit, unless Nintendo somehow manages to hit the jackpot with the Switch successor again.
 
They should've fomulated a plan for the successor console as soon as the Switch launched.

Instead they wasted time releasing more 3DS games.
That’s not how that works lol, especially in a company with as many moving parts and employees like Nintendo. Their hardware teams absolutely began working on it the minute the Switch 1 was done, and if the delay is apparently software-related, their main teams have probably been working on games for the console since at least they finished their biggest titles on Switch 1.

But things happen, especially if some of these games were in production during COVID.
 
To me this feels like the release window was not known by these sources until now, and its difference from the "expected" 2024 is being taken as a delay. No report previously came out and said "Nintendo told publishers the launch would be X" like they are now. If this was something so easy for multiple outlets to report, then it shouldn't have ever been "expected" with an unclear late H2 window and comments of uncertainty regarding earlier or later 2024 possibilities.

It also feels like a tedious subject to discuss and a good reason to put this thread away for a while. Assuming the window is accurate (delayed or not), a little extra wait is a shame but no big deal from my perspective. No need to be dragged into a vortex of doom by people who think it is.
Basically this, too many people thought that the rumors were something else... You can't "go crazy" now that a HYPOTHETICAL launch window (end of 2024) has been internally postponed by 4-5 months.

I'm going to take a break from writing on this topic and wait for the dust to settle
 
i still feel like the best timeline is one where we had the T239 Switch last year w/ TOTK. we'd have the same games in the pipeline, plenty of cross-gen, third party titles and it might be time for a price-drop (presuming it launched at a higher price to allow for what would have been cutting-edge tech). a healthy place to be indeed.

obviously the missing piece of the jigsaw is how much they're trying to innovate/differentiate the new Switch and therefore it's lead software. but do they need to? i thought most people just wanted an upgraded device vs the huge wait.
 
Nvidia demoed DLSS to Nintendo as early as 2019, which is around the timeframe of when DLSS 1.0-2.0 was released (Feb 2019-April 2020). And that's just what we know from the leak, behind the scenes talks and planning would have probably occurred even earlier.
 
The software pipeline planning seems to be the route cause; ie Nintendo started too late to get their EPD teams to shift towards making Switch 2 games.

It will be funny what kind of panic ports Nintendo now releases to pan out their 2024 release schedule, funny to think that the port of WW / TP HD is probably going to be one of the major releases for the Switch this year.
 
In what way would it sour relations?
Nvidia wants to make profit, preferably as soon as possible. So does Nintendo, but Nvidia probably wants to knock it out of the park since they designed a custom chip this time. Releasing in 2025(which we don't even know if March is a lock), means Nintendo will have to compete with a possible PS5 Pro, consumers that will want to buy a GTA6 PS5/Xbox bundle, or even other handhelds. And yes, I do believe Nintendo is competing with others in the video game industry and is not operating in some untouchable niche market.

Also note that I said that it "might" sour relations "a bit". Nothing definitive. It all depends on how well the Switch successor is marketed, and how much consumers will want it.
 
People are saying May would be the latest we would have to wait for the Switch 2 to get acknowledged but didn't they say in February that they would have more info about their fiscal year plans by the end of March? I feel like we will hear something from them about new hardware by then.
 
The software pipeline planning seems to be the route cause; ie Nintendo started too late to get their EPD teams to shift towards making Switch 2 games.

It will be funny what kind of panic ports Nintendo now releases to pan out their 2024 release schedule, funny to think that the port of WW / TP HD is probably going to be one of the major releases for the Switch this year.
if it's literally that software is behind schedule then a few months isn't much. just based on past examples there could easily be further delays. maybe Q1 2025 is their most optimistic scenario as to not piss-off third parties too much.

#TeamH2-25
 
The software pipeline planning seems to be the route cause; ie Nintendo started too late to get their EPD teams to shift towards making Switch 2 games.

It will be funny what kind of panic ports Nintendo now releases to pan out their 2024 release schedule, funny to think that the port of WW / TP HD is probably going to be one of the major releases for the Switch this year.

I don’t understand why they wouldn’t be able to just release a couple of would-be crossgen games as Switch first games.

That is what I expect.
 
I don’t understand why they wouldn’t be able to just release a couple of would-be crossgen games as Switch first games.

That is what I expect.
if only there was some big open world game in the last year that would massively benefit from running with better fidelity.
 
I don’t understand why they wouldn’t be able to just release a couple of would-be crossgen games as Switch first games.

That is what I expect.

Ehhh, that wouldn't make a ton of sense if they wanted to beef up the Switch 2's release schedule.

"3D Mario isn't ready for this year so let's release DKC6 as a Switch 1 only release at first, harming our Switch 2 launch window."
 
It wouldn't lol.
Delaying a console into a year that will be in a much more competitive market, which could possibly result in lower sales, could be a little disappointing to Nvidia. I'm not saying it's destroying all business ties between Nvidia and Nintendo, but it goes against Nvidia's expectations, especially since they really care about T239 as it is a custom chip for Nintendo. I doubt Nvidia is jumping for joy at the news of a console delay lol.
 
Please read this staff post before posting.

Furthermore, according to this follow-up post, all off-topic chat will be moderated.
Last edited:


Back
Top Bottom