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StarTopic Nintendo Direct Speculation |ST7| It’s Showtime People! Famiboards Productions Proudly Presents: What Lies Beyond The Door? Act II - Rebirth

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Will be interesting to see how Nintendo handles next gen/current gen development, like which games will be Switchquel exclusive and which will be available for both.

Switch install base would be hard to ignore I reckon.
 
February Switch focused direct
February Pokémon presents
Nothing in June (E3 is dead)
September Partner mini
October Metroid Prime 4 direct
December switch 2 announcement at game awards
E3 didn't happen last year and we still got a June Direct. Don't lose hope!
 
Will be interesting to see how Nintendo handles next gen/current gen development, like which games will be Switchquel exclusive and which will be available for both.

Switch install base would be hard to ignore I reckon.
If I had to guess, cross-gen titles will really depend on how Nintendo values their series/franchise. For example, we know that Nintendo told Ubisoft to not launch M/R Sparks of Hope on current gen hardware because they like only doing one Mario title per series per system with few exceptions. So stuff like 3D Mario, Mario Kart 9, Luigi's Mansion 4, Mario Maker 3, Super Mario Bros Wonder 2, etc will be exclusive for Switch 2. Meanwhile, we've already gotten multiple Fire Emblem games for the current system, so it makes sense for Genealogy of the Holy War to be cross-gen.
 
Either that or we aren't getting a June Direct 😏
  • January / February : Switch 1 Direct
  • March : Switch 2 Reveal
  • June : Switch 1 & 2 Direct
  • September : Swtich 2 release & new Switch 1 & 2 Direct
  • November : New 2D Turrican on Switch 2, much better than Super Mario Wonder, Nintendo is ashamed and buys Factor 5. Mankind is saved.
 
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The Return of the King

—————

In all seriousness, are we expecting Switch 2 games to be $69.99?
Well, Switch launched with €70 games over here, so, yep. Nintendo's flexible with pricing, even on retail games, so I'd expect it to be similar to now, varying from 30-70 depending on the release, but with more $70 next generation than we have now. (Keeping in mind that the Euro is stronger than the Dollar, but our prices include sales tax, Nintendo Switch has three €70 games from Nintendo: Breath of the Wild, Super Smash Bros. Ultimate and Tears of the Kingdom.)
 
That is one way to burn down Famiboards.

DTND0RNW0AYMtj1
 
Will be interesting to see how Nintendo handles next gen/current gen development, like which games will be Switchquel exclusive and which will be available for both.

Switch install base would be hard to ignore I reckon.
Scale of switch games are already pretty large to the point that 4K/60fps upgrades for a Switch 2 would be enough i think.
 
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I am team February for a Direct and Switch 2 being another month. I don't think Nintendo is going to blend Switch and Succ marketing together until after the new system has launched.
 
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I want to believe in Team January but it'll likely be a February direct as usual. Hopefully with FE4 remake opening and Prime 4 closing as this is likely the last main Switch era direct before the eventual reveal of Switch 2 this spring.
 
If we get a Switch-exclusive February Direct and it DOESN'T show Metroid Prime 4, I'm going to have a word with Nintendo.

That word being "WHYYYYY?"
 
All I know is that Team January always wins

But yeah Direct is probably February unless it's a Mini
 
If we get a Switch-exclusive February Direct and it DOESN'T show Metroid Prime 4, I'm going to have a word with Nintendo.

That word being "WHYYYYY?"


More seriously, IMO :
If MP 4 isn't part of the last Switch 1 only Direct, I totally see it being a Redrakted exclusive. Not cross-platform, nah, full Switch 2.

Don't give me that "bu... but Metoroido Dureado was shown four months before release !!!" doodoo, because Dread was never confirmed before.

Metroid Prime 4 was announced in June 2017.
January 25th 2024 will mark the 5th (five, like Factor 5) anniversary of the official restart announcement.
Nothing leaked aside for "It looks superb, which is apparently surprising considering Retro Studios is working on it, who knew ?!".
No-thing. Not even a pixel. Not even a concept art. Not even a screenshot. Absolute void.

If they can't even show a single pixel of Sylux's bubble butt, then I don't see how it could be a Switch 1 game.
 


More seriously, IMO :
If MP 4 isn't part of the last Switch 1 only Direct, I totally see it being a Redrakted exclusive. Not cross-platform, nah, full Switch 2.

Don't give me that "bu... but Metoroido Dureado was shown four months before release !!!" doodoo, because Dread was never confirmed before.

Metroid Prime 4 was announced in June 2017.
January 25th 2024 will mark the 5th (five, like Factor 5) anniversary of the official restart announcement.
Nothing leaked aside for "It looks superb, which is apparently surprising considering Retro Studios is working on it, who knew ?!".
No-thing. Not even a pixel. Not even a concept art. Not even a screenshot. Absolute void.

If they can't even show a single pixel of Sylux's bubble butt, then I don't see how it could be a Switch 1 game.


There’s a big chance it will still be cross gen. They might not have shown anything yet but they haven’t show anything of any other to be confirmed cross gen title yet either.
 
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We had a lot of wild fun predicting the Direct date in The Legendary Speculator Challenge last thread, but this time I want to open up the guessing game to as many people as possible! The Great Direct Date Guess Event is a badge challenge with two badges up for grabs! It’s very simple to participate, either reply to this post or AT message me in a post and tell me what dates you believe the Nintendo Direct will air and the Switch 2 will be announced in Pacific Time. If you do not reply or AT message me, I will not consider it an official entry. The deadline to enter is December 31st at 11:59 PM Pacific Time and you'll know I have accepted your prediction when I Yeah! your post. At that point I will screencap your answer and ultimately compile a chart in the OP to track participants, so make sure you’ve been added to it by January 4th. You do not have to predict both the Direct and the Switch 2 dates if you don’t want to, but there are no downsides to doing both. For The Great Direct Date Guess Event, you only need the dates to be clear (ie Wednesday January 3rd or Thursday February 4th), so you do not have to worry at all about predicting the time further otherwise.

If you believe an event would air or be announced at midnight Pacific time, for the purposes of proper guessing please put the second of the two days involved. For example, if you believe the Switch 2 will be announced at midnight between Tuesday January 2nd and Wednesday January 3rd Pacific Time, please put your guess down for January 3rd.

@Aurc is helping with creating the awesome badges for this event and we have one design ready to share right now! Winners of predicting the Direct air date will get the Direct Date Champion Badge!



Winners of predicting the Switch 2 Public Announcement Date will get the Switch 2 Date Legend Badge! (This includes a video, tweet, press release etc.) Like the Switch 2 itself, it is still being diligently worked on behind the scenes, but once the design is ready, I will share it in the thread and update this post! Thanks again Aurc for all of your help :)

So yes, please make sure to get your guesses in by December 31st at 11:59 PM Pacific Time! Have fun Fami!
February 13 for a general Direct, June 12 showcase, releasing in September
 
I just remember this time a year ago when there was "no big games after TotK and just ports/remasters till Switch 2".

Yet here we are a year later, having had two of the Switches biggest games dropped out of nowhere between Mario Wonder and a high quality remake of Mario RPG, and people are still saying "nothing till Switch 2". The goal post moving to try and discredit high quality remakes like Another Code R and Mario RPG is embarrassing.
I love Mario RPG and am really looking forward to Another Code R, but those are exactly the kind of releases that fit the “nothing major until Switch 2” line: Smaller-scale ports and remasters/remakes. I don’t think most people are goalpost-moving or anything. And that’s not downplaying or discrediting them, it’s just that most people mean “Big graphically-pushed games like 3D Mario, Metroid Prime, Mario Kart, Zelda, a new Monolith game, etc.” when they say Major - sort of a know it when you see it kind of thing. And not necessarily correlating with sales figures.
 
#TeamJanuary4lyfe

I pray this Direct thread will be filled of speculation on contents more than when it'll actually air.

Week 1 - What are you most looking forward to and hoping for from Nintendo in 2024?
I'm looking forward to more Gamecube ports, remasters and re-releases. For too long that library has languished and it's been overdue for a spotlight of refreshed games ever since Wii U that should have had GC VC. Not just the likes of Paper Mario TTYD and Luigi's Mansion, but I want to see the weird game like Custom Robo or Chibi Robo also get their time to shine. If GC NSO won't happen, then I sincerely hope more games beyond the Mario/Zelda/Metroid staples will get new life. StarFox Adventures/Assault should get their chance to shine once more. Kirby Air Ride shouldn't be locked to the console forever. And yes, F-Zero GX should get an HD remaster too.

You know what I really want though? That Nintendo is sure to never change? Direct announcements that are at least a week ahead of their scheduled airdate. I will forever loathe and despise how it's only a day or two at most, and it's why the E3 Direct Dream is dead. Never again will we get a full month's notice for a specific set date, and that makes me sad.

We had a lot of wild fun predicting the Direct date in The Legendary Speculator Challenge last thread, but this time I want to open up the guessing game to as many people as possible! The Great Direct Date Guess Event is a badge challenge with two badges up for grabs! It’s very simple to participate, either reply to this post or AT message me in a post and tell me what dates you believe the Nintendo Direct will air and the Switch 2 will be announced in Pacific Time. If you do not reply or AT message me, I will not consider it an official entry. The deadline to enter is December 31st at 11:59 PM Pacific Time and you'll know I have accepted your prediction when I Yeah! your post. At that point I will screencap your answer and ultimately compile a chart in the OP to track participants, so make sure you’ve been added to it by January 4th. You do not have to predict both the Direct and the Switch 2 dates if you don’t want to, but there are no downsides to doing both. For The Great Direct Date Guess Event, you only need the dates to be clear (ie Wednesday January 3rd or Thursday February 4th), so you do not have to worry at all about predicting the time further otherwise.

If you believe an event would air or be announced at midnight Pacific time, for the purposes of proper guessing please put the second of the two days involved. For example, if you believe the Switch 2 will be announced at midnight between Tuesday January 2nd and Wednesday January 3rd Pacific Time, please put your guess down for January 3rd.

@Aurc is helping with creating the awesome badges for this event and we have one design ready to share right now! Winners of predicting the Direct air date will get the Direct Date Champion Badge!



Winners of predicting the Switch 2 Public Announcement Date will get the Switch 2 Date Legend Badge! (This includes a video, tweet, press release etc.) Like the Switch 2 itself, it is still being diligently worked on behind the scenes, but once the design is ready, I will share it in the thread and update this post! Thanks again Aurc for all of your help :)

So yes, please make sure to get your guesses in by December 31st at 11:59 PM Pacific Time! Have fun Fami!
Casually throwing out Wed Jan 24th as my choice for Direct air date.

Although if we're following doctor's appointment theory, I'd say there's a damn good chance we get an announcement tweet Mon Feb 12th for the Direct on Wednesday the 14th
 
Everything that is 60 will be 70.
:(

I do not automatically subscribe to that thought. Nintendo has talked about dynamic pricing going forward. I think they will scale their game prices in a more varied way.

Will the next 3D Mario and Metroid Prime game be $70? Almost for sure, yes. Smash Bros? Yup!

Will Nintendo market previously $60 games like Mario Golf, Fire Emblem, Mario Party, and Yoshi's Crafted World to sell for $70? I doubt that. Also, I do not expect Nintendo to price remasters like Kirby's Return to Dreamland at $70 any time soon. If/when we get the fabled Wind Waker and Twilight Princess games, I don't see Nintendo going to $70 each for those.

I think $70 is going to be a bit more limited at the beginning, but it will probably become common throughout the generation.
Nintendo having a more dynamic pricing than Sony/Microsoft sounds like a nice differentiation strategy: "not all of our games are $70, but the ones that are are really the ball out of the park type of game".

A game that restarted development at least two years before any Switch 2 dev kit even existed isn't going to be next Gen only
Yeah, I don't know why people are expecting Prime 4 to be next gen exclusive. It was a game announced for Switch, and it'll release on Switch. If anything, it'll be cross-get (or not)
 
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Nintendo is dead if their 2024 is full of ports and remasters

now if you'll excuse me I need to go preorder The Last of Us Part 2 Remastered
 
My dream is for Nintendo to find out a better way to achieve something akin to the Wii-Mote pointer with Gyro controls.
 
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Nintendo is dead if their 2024 is full of ports and remasters

now if you'll excuse me I need to go preorder The Last of Us Part 2 Remastered

I'm fine with 2024 being a port/remaster heavy year if it means that Nintendo is stocking up for the Switch 2. I'm talking almost one new game a month for the first year or so.

Assuming we get the system in late 2024, if the first half of 2025 is quiet, then I will have questions.
 
I just realized, if Nintendo makes an unveiling event in March, there's a possibility the console could launch between the Summer and Autumn. Super Mario Wonder was revealed in the June Direct, for an October release: a five month time frame. If we're getting a new 3D Mario next year, it might get the same marketing period as Wonder: five months.

But back to the Direct: yes, 2024 is looking like just ports, remasters and remakes, but they can always reveal something in the January/February Direct (I agree with the fellow poster that said that we're getting a January Mini because of the Super Princess Peach demo that was going to be on the Nintendo Live event).

Or, just be a Wild Card: January Mini, February General #Chaos
 
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I do not automatically subscribe to that thought. Nintendo has talked about dynamic pricing going forward. I think they will scale their game prices in a more varied way.

Will the next 3D Mario and Metroid Prime game be $70? Almost for sure, yes. Smash Bros? Yup!

Will Nintendo market previously $60 games like Mario Golf, Fire Emblem, Mario Party, and Yoshi's Crafted World to sell for $70? I doubt that. Also, I do not expect Nintendo to price remasters like Kirby's Return to Dreamland at $70 any time soon. If/when we get the fabled Wind Waker and Twilight Princess games, I don't see Nintendo going to $70 each for those.

I think $70 is going to be a bit more limited at the beginning, but it will probably become common throughout the generation.
Not sure why Metroid gets the "honor" of being a $70 game in this scenario, it's no where near as big as Mario or Smash in your example lol.
 
Not sure why Metroid gets the "honor" of being a $70 game in this scenario, it's no where near as big as Mario or Smash in your example lol.

Retailers pulled all of the Metroid Prime 4 listings along the same time that they did with Zelda: TotK. The latter was later relisted at $70.

While one thing doesn't automatically mean the other will happen, that is enough bread crumbs for me to think something similar will happen.

Edit: We also have no idea what the full scope Metroid Prime 4 will have. It might be something very special.
 
Normally I'm over how old-game-port heavy the system can be sometimes but, if that's what 2024 mostly is until next gen, that's totally fine with me. Understandable if they just want to make sure everything is thrown on the system before they start to transition onto something new, and I'm ready to move on to the next system anyways. It'd still be a better final year than WiiU's.
 
Normally I'm over how old-game-port heavy the system can be sometimes but, if that's what 2024 mostly is until next gen, that's totally fine with me. Understandable if they just want to make sure everything is thrown on the system before they start to transition onto something new, and I'm ready to move on to the next system anyways. It'd still be a better final year than WiiU's.

We will have to wait until everything launches, but I think that when it is all said and done, the Switch will have the best final year of first party support in Nintendo's history.
 
I think it's hilarious to say Nintendo "doesn't have gas left in the tank (for a Switch 1 only direct)" when over the past few years some of their biggest games were announced less then 6 months from launch.

Mario Wonder
Switch Sports
Xenoblade 3
Fire Emblem Engage
Metroid Dread
Mario Strikers Battle League

Switch 2 is seemingly coming out later in 2024 than a lot of people thought. Nintendo between their first party offerings and their third party partners are going to have a ton of games to sell in 2024. This is especially true when Nintendo has become fairly notorious for holding back finished games to make sure there are no gaps. The idea Nintendo is about to have a barren 2024 until the successors launch is just silly and not accurate to how Nintendo has been marketing/releasing games for awhile now.
They definitely have gas in the tank, just not the in the tank named "reveal only for switch 1". I think they're holding back for advertising games for both switch 1 and switch 2.
 
If we somehow get Twilight Princess in 2024, that means it would have been released in the final years the Gamecube, Wii U, and Switch would/will be relevant. It also became a Nintendo Selects title in the last year of relevance for the Wii.

For some reason Nintendo seems to really like slotting Twilight Princess into the EOL of a console, and if it happens again with Switch then I know what i'm betting on for Switch 2's final year.
 
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If I had to guess, cross-gen titles will really depend on how Nintendo values their series/franchise. For example, we know that Nintendo told Ubisoft to not launch M/R Sparks of Hope on current gen hardware because they like only doing one Mario title per series per system with few exceptions. So stuff like 3D Mario, Mario Kart 9, Luigi's Mansion 4, Mario Maker 3, Super Mario Bros Wonder 2, etc will be exclusive for Switch 2. Meanwhile, we've already gotten multiple Fire Emblem games for the current system, so it makes sense for Genealogy of the Holy War to be cross-gen.
I mean did they really mean to NOT release on Switch at all or to hold back for Switch 2 and then release on Switch 1 AND 2? Imo the quote can be slightly ambiguous if I understood correctly
 
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They definitely have gas in the tank, just not the in the tank named "reveal only for switch 1". I think they're holding back for advertising games for both switch 1 and switch 2.
People here are going to be upset at how much Switch 1 "playable on Switch 2" Nintendo announces within the next year.
 
ugh looking at the sony discourse on this, it's gonna be insufferable
As long as Nintendo doesn't announce games for Switch 2 and then a few months later announce the Switch 1 versions in a Wired article, I think they'll be fine.
 
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Imagine the seething if Prime 4 isn't cross-gen 🤭🤭
I think people are over hyping themselves for Prime 4 even if it is cross gen. Prime 4 will be a Switch 1 game at its heart, much in the way BotW was a WiiU game at its heart. This isn't to say Prime 4 won't run better with either a native port or via some switch 2 enhancement patch, but I get the vibe some people here want Prime 4 to be the Switch 2's graphics showcase, and they're gonna get burned.


the meltdowns over presumed next gen exclusives being playable on current gen as well seem so hilarious in retrospective.
I can't believe how terrible Octopath Traveler 2, God of War Ragnarok, or Elden Ring were since they were on PS4 AND PS5. OT2 was even on Switch, completely unplayable!!!!
 
There’s almost always a February June and September direct for obvious reasons

February tells us about March to July

June tells us about July to November

September tells us about Novemeber to February

Now we know nothing about the schedule post March, except that there’s a Luigi’s Mansion 2 and a TTYD port coming

Both are ports so their sales potential is limited and neither were huge successes to begin with

So yeah, we are getting at least one big Switch title this year and it will either be announced at the winter or summer directs
 
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