wolftendo
Shiny hunter wolf
- Pronouns
- He/Him
What are the odds that Pokemon will release a new mainline game on the first year of a console? AFAIK that has never happened. These are the first mainline games (including remakes and third versions/sequels) that have released in each console starting from GBA:If Redrakted is launching next year, I'd imagine that the big exclusive would be a 3D Mario. Though I wonder how well it will sell in its first quarter if the system is expected to sell around 5 million units. No doubt it'll be an evergreen title, but it's still interesting to think about. Maybe a Holiday launch will help with that, but that would also put it next to Pokemon.
GBA (March 2001): Pokemon Ruby and Sapphire, Release date: Nov 2002.
DS (Nov 2004): Pokemon Diamond and Pearl, Release date: Nov 2006.
3DS (Feb 2011): Pokemon X and Y, Release date: Oct 2013.
Switch (March 2017): Pokémon: Let's Go, Pikachu! and Let's Go, Eevee!, Release date: Nov 2018.
Almost all the first games are new generations, and the shortest timeframe from the release of the console to the release of the game is 1 year 8 months. The 3DS even had a timeframe of 2 years and 8 months. So under this timeline, the earliest I see a mainline Pokemon game coming for Switch 2 is Holiday 2025, and given recent generation trends (3DS and Switch) the earliest I see a new gen game (Gen X) is Holiday 2026.
Also, assuming that this year is only for DLC (kinda like how 2020 was) then that leaves next year as an unknown regarding what kind of game could be released during the holidays. It could be nothing, Pokemon has had several years without releases before, though there hasn't been a single year without mainline Pokemon games since 2015. A remake is another possibility that was floating around the internet, however, there is a pattern I want to bring to the table. Let's look at the release years of all the mainline Pokemon Remakes:
2004 FireRed and LeafGreen
2009 HeartGold and SoulSilver
2014 Omega Ruby and Alpha Sapphire
2018 Let's Go, Pikachu! and Let's Go, Eevee!
2021 Brilliant Diamond and Shining Pearl
2024 ???????????????????????
There is a 5 year gap between FRLG and HGSS, 5 years between HGSS and ORAS, and 7 years between ORAS and BDSP. The outlier is LGPE, but that is a different style of remake that is completely unrelated to the others, given the radically different, Pokemon GO-inspired catching mechanics and the simplified gameplay.
If anything, a game in the same vein as LGPE (Johto perhaps?) or a new, out of field mainline experience like Pokemon Legends: Arceus can fit snuggly in that year, and since GF won't need to target a higher end console they can keep a short development time for what would amount as their Switch swan song.
Fun fact: 2026 is exactly 30 years after the original Pokemon Red and Green release in Japan (1996), so they might use it as a celebration similar to how SM was a celebration of 20 years of the franchise.