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StarTopic Nintendo Direct Speculation |ST8| Press Your (Nintendo Direct) Luck!

In theory the Wii U concept is great and was a pretty special idea back then. It should've worked. Nintendo just botched it.
I honestly think the flop with the Wii U was 100% because of Nintendos marketing. Most people thought it was an accessory to the Wii and omfg the ads Nintendo had on tv during that time were like Wii U deterrents, If I didint have a Wii U when I saw those ads I would have stayed clear of it for sure lol. Wii U is still my favorite console of all time. Nintendo of America reaaaaaaaaaalllllllly did botch the message with it though lol
 
It was like the antithesis of the Wii despite the name
If this isn’t the truth. I liked the Wii U (and I’ve been regularly using it lately due to the impending online shutdown) but the system itself is a bloated pig compared to the Wii…

The system has like double the footprint of the Wii. That was my first indication something had gone sideways, and that’s not a good first impression when you open the box.

The OS is painfully slow compared to practically every other Nintendo OS they’ve done to date. The system routinely takes a minute or so to even boot, and retail games randomly take up to 2 minutes to even load their intros.

Getting into Wii mode is awkward and clunky compared to how well the Wii, DS, and 3DS handled backwards compatibility.

I could go on but the whole thing has always had this air that it was either rushed to market or a completely different company the a lot of the design work on it. Marketing was surely a factor but it wasn’t the only one.
 
I had a dream the other night that there was a Nintendo Direct and they revealed a game called Super Luigi 3D World and it was a co-op game starting Luigi and Daisy.
 
The one silver lining about depression is that, when you're waiting for an event like a Direct, you lose all concept of time and the idea that a direct could be 2-3 weeks away is just baffling to me compared to how distant it felt back in mid-Feb.
 
I’ve been in FF7 Rebirth heaven for the past few weeks and kinda ignored Nintendo speculation…. Is there anyone who can catch me up 😭
wow.jpg
 
At this point we're basically in a holding pattern to see if there is an Indie world in the next week or so. Part of the reason we expect an April direct is Brazil's rumor which included an indie world in March (along with the delay and partner show case from February).
 
I have never seen a Nintendo Direct Speculation thread this quiet before.

There really is no hope right now, is there?
Yeah, speculation in general has been dead for awhile, don't remember the topics moving fast since the delay rumors.

I hope it's the calm before the storm and the April Direct is worth the wait!! 🙏🏻
 
I have never seen a Nintendo Direct Speculation thread this quiet before.

There really is no hope right now, is there?
It does feel like this speculation thread came a bit early. Had it waited till after the rumored indie world (assuming that does happen soon), then the fires of "Brazil is right again, April direct soon!" would have driven dozens of pages of speculation.
 
At this point we're basically in a holding pattern to see if there is an Indie world in the next week or so. Part of the reason we expect an April direct is Brazil's rumor which included an indie world in March (along with the delay and partner show case from February).

If there's no Indie World next week, that doesn't mean there won't be a Nintendo Direct next month.
Only Brazil thinks there will be an Indie World. Necro, for example, has just "confirmed" a Direct.

There really is no hope right now, is there?

It's complicated to hope without any information
 
If there's no Indie World next week, that doesn't mean there won't be a Nintendo Direct next month.
Only Brazil thinks there will be an Indie World. Necro, for example, has just "confirmed" a Direct.
necro hasn't been proven to be a reliable source yet
 
I honestly feel like holiday 2024 shapes up super nicely for both Metroid Prime 4 and a new Donkey Kong game just like holiday 2023 looked super likely for a new 2D Mario before Wonder was announced.

Y'know vibes only.
 
I honestly feel like holiday 2024 shapes up super nicely for both Metroid Prime 4 and a new Donkey Kong game just like holiday 2023 looked super likely for a new 2D Mario before Wonder was announced.

Y'know vibes only.
There has to be something this holiday, so I'm excited to see what it is. One more week of March (and the fiscal year) and then we'll finally be in the (fiscal) year of the Switch 2, and likely within ~a month of it being officially acknowledged in some way or another
 
There's a very real possibility we get nothing until June.
I don't think June is likely. I don't think Nintendo would get to the point where they only have a single remaster (Luigi's Mansion 2) on their release schedule. May feels more likely to me.
 
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Minus some stuff, I presume Switch 1 and 2 will run parallel, independent from one another. I doubt Nintendo will do or not do an April/May/June Direct because of the next gen console
 
Problem is I don't think we have any good examples of when Nintendo waited until the absolutely last month (June) where there is nothing announced beyond that point. I don't think Nintendo's going to wait that long.
twitter drops trailers for endless ocean, paper Mario and Luigi's mansion 2 is 100% possible considering like half of peach's showtime trailers were twitter drops
 
One more week of March (and the fiscal year) and then we'll finally be in the (fiscal) year of the Switch 2, and likely within ~a month of it being officially acknowledged in some way or another
I don't think June is likely. I don't think Nintendo would get to the point where they only have a single remaster (Luigi's Mansion 2) on their release schedule. May feels more likely to me.
My gut feeling right now based on what little I've kept up with the rumors:
  • Switch 2 launch was delayed 3-6 months for reasons that aren't entirely clear right now.
  • The planned February Direct got bifurcated. 3rd party stuff remained and they rebranded the presentation into a partner showcase because those games are coming regardless of what happens with Switch 2. First party stuff that was going to be announced/shown for the OG Switch in the February Direct moved to a combination of MAR10 Day and an April Direct.
  • The expected March reveal for the Switch 2 moved to mid-June to coincide with the usual summer announcements / Summer Geoff Fest
    • I could see Nintendo deciding to jump the line and do something in mid-to-late May to grease the wheels / build hype but I think that it'll be very small and more like a "This is Miyamoto. Please stay tuned." type message on Xitter
  • Some OG Switch announcements that were scheduled for the annual June/summer presentation were bumped up to April Direct to fill out the presentation and provide more focus on the new hardware come June.
  • I think there will be a follow-up presentation in the Fall that talks more about the Switch 2 software lineup (Switch had hardware announced in October and then initial software lineup was shown 3 months later in January).
  • So I think there's a possibility of two events in June: A small presentation on Switch 2 hardware and a General Direct for OG Switch. I think there's plenty of good reasons to keep the two separate.
I'm willing to entertain a mid-May Direct in lieu of an April Direct but Nintendo has absolutely NOTHING penciled in for the April (unless you count Endless Ocean due to how the calendar looks this year). PR needs something to talk about for April, and I don't think EO is going to give them enough material to run with.

Granted, looking at past years, Nintendo having nothing to release in a given month isn't unusual. Both 2022 and 2023 had the odd month where nothing released. Or one game came incredibly early in the month.

If we're following the usual "two weeks after a major release" theory... then the earliest an April presentation could be is 4/5 since we just got Showtime and Nintendo is putting some pretty hefty marketing behind it. A May Direct would have to follow Endless Ocean and that would be 5/16 at the earliest, but they also have to balance running a Direct right before TTYD so it's going to be a tough to sandwich it in between those two games.

Regardless of if it's April or May that'll let them get the June-August calendar filled in. Waiting until early-to-mid June is too late and by that point they're going to want to be talking about Switch 2 assuming the rumored timeline is still true.

tl;dr:
General Direct in April. Switch 2 Hardware Event in June. General Direct in June for the OG Fall lineup. Usual Direct in September as has been the case since 2017 for the OG Switch. Switch 2 Software Event in September.
 
Last year we only had Pikmin 4 scheduled for July before the June direct :D
Yup - isn't LM2HD release in June?

I know a month might not seem much, but in your example, there'a Direct a month before Pikmin 4's release date. I don't think we'll have to wait until June, the same month as LM2HD release date, for the next DIrect.
 
The one silver lining about depression is that, when you're waiting for an event like a Direct, you lose all concept of time and the idea that a direct could be 2-3 weeks away is just baffling to me compared to how distant it felt back in mid-Feb.
:(
 
Personally not feeling an indie world this week. Feels too late in the month. But who knows, patterns mean very little at this point, it seems.
Patterns don’t mean anything in transitional years. Them delaying the Switch 2 only added more uncertainty into what was uncertainty to begin with.
 
My gut feeling right now based on what little I've kept up with the rumors:
  • Switch 2 launch was delayed 3-6 months for reasons that aren't entirely clear right now.
  • The planned February Direct got bifurcated. 3rd party stuff remained and they rebranded the presentation into a partner showcase because those games are coming regardless of what happens with Switch 2. First party stuff that was going to be announced/shown for the OG Switch in the February Direct moved to a combination of MAR10 Day and an April Direct.
  • The expected March reveal for the Switch 2 moved to mid-June to coincide with the usual summer announcements / Summer Geoff Fest
    • I could see Nintendo deciding to jump the line and do something in mid-to-late May to grease the wheels / build hype but I think that it'll be very small and more like a "This is Miyamoto. Please stay tuned." type message on Xitter
  • Some OG Switch announcements that were scheduled for the annual June/summer presentation were bumped up to April Direct to fill out the presentation and provide more focus on the new hardware come June.
  • I think there will be a follow-up presentation in the Fall that talks more about the Switch 2 software lineup (Switch had hardware announced in October and then initial software lineup was shown 3 months later in January).
  • So I think there's a possibility of two events in June: A small presentation on Switch 2 hardware and a General Direct for OG Switch. I think there's plenty of good reasons to keep the two separate.
I'm willing to entertain a mid-May Direct in lieu of an April Direct but Nintendo has absolutely NOTHING penciled in for the April (unless you count Endless Ocean due to how the calendar looks this year). PR needs something to talk about for April, and I don't think EO is going to give them enough material to run with.

Granted, looking at past years, Nintendo having nothing to release in a given month isn't unusual. Both 2022 and 2023 had the odd month where nothing released. Or one game came incredibly early in the month.

If we're following the usual "two weeks after a major release" theory... then the earliest an April presentation could be is 4/5 since we just got Showtime and Nintendo is putting some pretty hefty marketing behind it. A May Direct would have to follow Endless Ocean and that would be 5/16 at the earliest, but they also have to balance running a Direct right before TTYD so it's going to be a tough to sandwich it in between those two games.

Regardless of if it's April or May that'll let them get the June-August calendar filled in. Waiting until early-to-mid June is too late and by that point they're going to want to be talking about Switch 2 assuming the rumored timeline is still true.

tl;dr:
General Direct in April. Switch 2 Hardware Event in June. General Direct in June for the OG Fall lineup. Usual Direct in September as has been the case since 2017 for the OG Switch. Switch 2 Software Event in September.
What about the shareholder's meeting in May? Nintendo told us they'd share what their plans for the next fiscal year are then. To me that means we are either getting a general direct in April and a device reveal in May or we're getting a general direct in May and confirmation that the next device won't be due until after March 2025.
 
tl;dr:
General Direct in April. Switch 2 Hardware Event in June. General Direct in June for the OG Fall lineup.
Nah

Either they have a general direct in April for the Switch or one in June, not both. There's no way they'll do two full general directs within weeks of each other. Because of their circumstance, they're known to be comfortable taking a cycle off with their general directs if they don't have the material, like in 2022. At this point in the lifecycle, they don't have enough in the chamber to shotgun two full directs back to back.

And that's not taking into account if they'd reveal the Switch 2 in June. They wouldn't do two showcases back to back. They'll be spaced out
 
Nah

Either they have a general direct in April for the Switch or one in June, not both. There's no way they'll do two full general directs within weeks of each other. Because of their circumstance, they're known to be comfortable taking a cycle off with their general directs if they don't have the material, like in 2022. At this point in the lifecycle, they don't have enough in the chamber to shotgun two full directs back to back.

And that's not taking into account if they'd reveal the Switch 2 in June. They wouldn't do two showcases back to back. They'll be spaced out
Yeah I agree. One last Switch Direct (Mini or General) in either April or June, Switch 2 reveal in either June or September/October, and none of that too close to each other
 
Didn't Brazil say the indie world was "probably in March" or something like that? If so, then we shouldn't freak out if an indie world doesn't happen in march. It could be in the first week of April or something.
 
Didn't Brazil say the indie world was "probably in March" or something like that? If so, then we shouldn't freak out if an indie world doesn't happen in march. It could be in the first week of April or something.
Or that source was wrong, remember he said the switch 2 delay source and April direct source are not the same person
 
Didn't Brazil say the indie world was "probably in March" or something like that? If so, then we shouldn't freak out if an indie world doesn't happen in march. It could be in the first week of April or something.

I think he said “maybe” for indie world
 
Well at this point we got two Switch titles left that we know of (announced titles) a third if you want to count Endless Ocean. I would hope Nintendo has something more to share with us soon because man is this really looking like a boring year for Nintendo fans between Switch 2 constantly never appearing year after year and the missing in action General Direct. It's only March so I guess we still have time for some more exciting announcements to be made.
 
Well at this point we got two Switch titles left that we know of (announced titles) a third if you want to count Endless Ocean. I would hope Nintendo has something more to share with us soon because man is this really looking like a boring year for Nintendo fans between Switch 2 constantly never appearing year after year and the missing in action General Direct. It's only March so I guess we still have time for some more exciting announcements to be made.
Year after year? The Switch just turned 7 earlier this month. Why would a successful system like the Switch get replaced at like 4 or 5 years old? They did that for a failure like the Wii U but there was no reason to replace a successful system that still sells so soon.
 
Year after year? The Switch just turned 7 earlier this month. Why would a successful system like the Switch get replaced at like 4 or 5 years old? They did that for a failure like the Wii U but there was no reason to replace a successful system that still sells so soon.

Switch is old. I know some of you guys don't want to move on but some people do. Should have been a Pro console years ago or a successor by like year 5 or 6 at the latest. Sometimes you got to let go and move on. Either way, Switch is in it's 8th year of life and Nintendo has still yet to even confirm it's existence. I stand by my words. Off to a boring start this year so far for Nintendo fans. That being said, I suspect things will begin to pick up as we move towards summer or at least I hope they do.
 
Year after year? The Switch just turned 7 earlier this month. Why would a successful system like the Switch get replaced at like 4 or 5 years old? They did that for a failure like the Wii U but there was no reason to replace a successful system that still sells so soon.
Hardware production has to be planned so far ahead and requires so many different factories of so many companies in so many countries to all collaborate and line up in time, and the factory schedules have to be set literally years in advance, that no amount of success is gonna influence a hardware release schedule.

Whatever point in time the 2witch is set to release will have been set for years, and they can't just bump that back while the current console is still selling.
 
People really need to hammer it in their minds that whatever the Switch has sold thus far has never had any impact in the successor’s timeline.

And it’s not like Nintendo didn’t forecast how much they’d sell weekly/monthly/quarterly.
 
I believe the OG is going to have shelf support for at least 3 or 4 more years even if 1st party support dries up long before then. I also suspect a New 2ds xl / Wii Mini /NES top loader style revision to fill that "cheap entry level device" vacuum left by the Switch 2 at some point in time.

If I had to take a shot in the dark and humor myself here I'd say a PSTV style box that comes with a couple Joy Cons with only monitor support and/or a Switch micro that is more the size of the lite but comes with a little dock for TV output and has no detachable controllers (they'd sell the Joy cons/pro controller separately) and either one would cost a cool $150.
 
I know some of you guys don't want to move on but some people do. Should have been a Pro console years ago or a successor by like year 5 or 6 at the latest.
I'm absolutely looking forward to the Switch 2 because I can't wait to discover the innovations and experiences it will enable. But I don't really understand what you mean. That you are personally impatient "to move on", as many of us are, in no way means that anything is "owed" to us. Brands are not friends who owe us things. It sounds like claiming a right to consumerism.

There are people who care more about games and release schedules than hardware revisions, and they're no less legitimate than people who need something new. Nintendo has never done a mid-gen revision before, but even the majority of people who buy a Playstation or Xbox aren't necessarily interested in incessant revisions, as long as they have access to the games.
 


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