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StarTopic Nintendo Direct Speculation |ST4| Tears of the Speculation

What team are you joining?

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MisterSpo said:
In the Good reality, we get New Super Mario World: a brand new take on 2D Mario which uses the 3D World visual style from Mario Maker 2, features new power ups and enemies, a more sophisticated world map with short cuts and secret levels, and which includes an exciting mix of themed worlds. It has a big band soundtrack.

In the Bad reality, we get New Super Mario All Stars: NSMB, NSMB 2, and NSMB Wii. No bonus content. No remastered soundtrack. If you don't have fun playing the games, Miyamoto pelts you with rotten fruit.
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Don’t forget about the Based reality, in which we get both. We get a new 2D Mario that everyone is happy with, and I get to revisit some of my favorite Mario games despite already owning all 3 of them.
 
LukasManak22 said:
I promised one more giveaway so here we go.

Predict the exact length of the next Nintendo Direct. $5 US eShop giftcard giveaway.
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Let's try to guess the exact length of the next Nintendo Direct presentation. We are talking about US version of Nintendo Direct here since the japanese one will actually have the different length as always. What I mean is the Nintendo Direct upload video that will be there after the presentation. So the whole thing from the intro to the final Nintendo logo.
______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

I am being generous here and listing you some of the recent Directs and their durations:

September 2019 - announced as roughly 40 min. - Ended up being 38:45.
February 2021 - announced as roughly 50 min. - Ended up being 50:46.
E3 2021 - announced as a roughly 40 min. - Ended up being 38:51.
September 2021 - announced as a roughly 40 min. - Ended up being 40:35.
February 2022 - announced as a roughly 40 min. - Ended up being 40:48.
September 2022 - announced as a roughly 40 min. - Ended up being 45:22.

What are the rules?

You have to quote this post (so I can find your guess easily) and type the exact length you think the Direct will have. For example: 42:22. Your first number being minutes and the second one being seconds. Or just type it as a 42 minutes and 22 seconds. Just type it somehow that I can understand it. If you type in something like "42 minutes" and you are not typing seconds that means your response is 42:00.

If you don't quote this message you are not participating. I will not search many pages just to find your guess. Shoutout to bellydrum for doing the sweet every quote message button.

The person who will guess the exact length or the nearest one will get the giftcard. If more people guess the exact length (it could happen lol) than one of these will be selected by random selection.

You can send your guess until Sunday, February 5th, 12pm UTC. You can edit your guess until this end date.


Good luck.
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48:24
 
NabiscoFelt said:
I mean It Takes Two won 2021 and that's certainly not AAA
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Yeah, but 2021 was a brutal year for typical awards games, lol.

Forza Horizon 5, Psychonauts 2, Rift Apart, Deathloop, Metroid Dread, Monster Hunter Rise, Hitman 3, and Guilty Gear Strive were the only fantastic reviewed original AAA games and those aren't the types of games that usually win GotY (which are either linear cinematic or open world)
 
NateDrake said:
You wouldn't be getting any Direct predictions from me this week.
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baby-cry.gif
 
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Mbolibombo said:
It Takes Two might not be a AAA games - but visually it's up to par or better than most AAA game and when it's paired with strong gameplay, that carries a long way.
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I mean

That also applies to the two games mentioned in the post I replied to. So, kinda my point?
 
LukasManak22 said:
I promised one more giveaway so here we go.

Predict the exact length of the next Nintendo Direct. $5 US eShop giftcard giveaway.
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Let's try to guess the exact length of the next Nintendo Direct presentation. We are talking about US version of Nintendo Direct here since the japanese one will actually have the different length as always. What I mean is the Nintendo Direct upload video that will be there after the presentation. So the whole thing from the intro to the final Nintendo logo.
______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

I am being generous here and listing you some of the recent Directs and their durations:

September 2019 - announced as roughly 40 min. - Ended up being 38:45.
February 2021 - announced as roughly 50 min. - Ended up being 50:46.
E3 2021 - announced as a roughly 40 min. - Ended up being 38:51.
September 2021 - announced as a roughly 40 min. - Ended up being 40:35.
February 2022 - announced as a roughly 40 min. - Ended up being 40:48.
September 2022 - announced as a roughly 40 min. - Ended up being 45:22.

What are the rules?

You have to quote this post (so I can find your guess easily) and type the exact length you think the Direct will have. For example: 42:22. Your first number being minutes and the second one being seconds. Or just type it as a 42 minutes and 22 seconds. Just type it somehow that I can understand it. If you type in something like "42 minutes" and you are not typing seconds that means your response is 42:00.

If you don't quote this message you are not participating. I will not search many pages just to find your guess. Shoutout to bellydrum for doing the sweet every quote message button.

The person who will guess the exact length or the nearest one will get the giftcard. If more people guess the exact length (it could happen lol) than one of these will be selected by random selection.

You can send your guess until Sunday, February 5th, 12pm UTC. You can edit your guess until this end date.


Good luck.
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43:49
 
Cyrus said:
Don’t forget about the Based reality, in which we get both. We get a new 2D Mario that everyone is happy with, and I get to revisit some of my favorite Mario games despite already owning all 3 of them.
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I'll try to manifest this.
 
NabiscoFelt said:
I mean

That also applies to the two games mentioned in the post I replied to. So, kinda my point?
Click to expand...

I'm not trying to disagree with your point because I agree =)

My point was rather - It Takes Two looks like a AAA game because it's so visually impressive, so it still had that AAA-feeling. A luxury stylized games like Hi-Fi rush and probably something like Pikmin 4 would have..
 
0
NateDrake said:
Nintendo 2023 Predictions will come.
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How hard is it to do predictions when you know a bunch of the stuff that is going to happen? How do you balance that?
I see Greg Miller on KindaFunnyGames around E3 sometimes purposely get out of conversations cause he knows some of the announcements.
 
0
When the Nintendo Direct is announced, the thread here should have a poll over whether or not we think Metroid (in any form) will be shown.

My vote is no.
 
Joe said:
When the Nintendo Direct is announced, the thread here should have a poll over whether or not we think Metroid (in any form) will be shown.

My vote is no.
Click to expand...

When the direct is announced, this thread will quickly be thrown into the abyss :devilish:
 
JorgenRaft said:




It’s time we make Pikmin 4 be the Xenoblade 3 of this year where a highly regarded but niche Nintendo franchise becomes one of the 6 TGA GOTY nominations but has no chance at actually winning.
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Switch is going to end the generation with 2 titles with 89 MC this year - Zelda and Pikmin 😂
 
I work at Walmart and we just got a case of Nate the Hate Nintendo Predictions displays that say "Available Now" and the document that came with it said to display them on February 7.
 
MisterSpo said:
In the Good reality, we get New Super Mario World: a brand new take on 2D Mario which uses the 3D World visual style from Mario Maker 2, features new power ups and enemies, a more sophisticated world map with short cuts and secret levels, and which includes an exciting mix of themed worlds. It has a big band soundtrack.
Click to expand...
That sounds boring tbh. I really want whatever the next thing is to feel new. 3D Mario reinvents itself all the time, why is 2D Mario always the same thing?
 
LukasManak22 said:
I promised one more giveaway so here we go.

Predict the exact length of the next Nintendo Direct. $5 US eShop giftcard giveaway.
____________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Let's try to guess the exact length of the next Nintendo Direct presentation. We are talking about US version of Nintendo Direct here since the japanese one will actually have the different length as always. What I mean is the Nintendo Direct upload video that will be there after the presentation. So the whole thing from the intro to the final Nintendo logo.
______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

I am being generous here and listing you some of the recent Directs and their durations:

September 2019 - announced as roughly 40 min. - Ended up being 38:45.
February 2021 - announced as roughly 50 min. - Ended up being 50:46.
E3 2021 - announced as a roughly 40 min. - Ended up being 38:51.
September 2021 - announced as a roughly 40 min. - Ended up being 40:35.
February 2022 - announced as a roughly 40 min. - Ended up being 40:48.
September 2022 - announced as a roughly 40 min. - Ended up being 45:22.

What are the rules?

You have to quote this post (so I can find your guess easily) and type the exact length you think the Direct will have. For example: 42:22. Your first number being minutes and the second one being seconds. Or just type it as a 42 minutes and 22 seconds. Just type it somehow that I can understand it. If you type in something like "42 minutes" and you are not typing seconds that means your response is 42:00.

If you don't quote this message you are not participating. I will not search many pages just to find your guess. Shoutout to bellydrum for doing the sweet every quote message button.

The person who will guess the exact length or the nearest one will get the giftcard. If more people guess the exact length (it could happen lol) than one of these will be selected by random selection.

You can send your guess until Sunday, February 5th, 12pm UTC. You can edit your guess until this end date.


Good luck.
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29:17
 
Skies said:


Kit stating the obvious.

But nice to hear out loud from someone who would actually know.
Click to expand...

Habla Kit.
ItWasMeantToBe19 said:
I mean, a third-party may hear from Nintendo that "hey, we're not doing any MONSTER games this Fall, feel free to target that release window" and then that third-party could pass that info along to journalists.
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The only years that didn't have a huge selling November game were 2020 and 2017.
2017 because Super Mario Odyssey released in October. 2020 because 3D All-Stars released in September + COVID delays of 3D World and imo MH Rise.
LukasManak22 said:
All this Nintendo might have weak 2nd half of the year is the most annoying thing I have seen in a while.
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Yeah, it's just an endless discussion that won't cease even when after the Direct comes. People will stretch the definitions of however the most they can.
LukasManak22 said:
Also the metric of what actually is small and big title is a funny one. Pikmin 3 Deluxe sold nearly 2 million copies. I have no doubt that 4 will do at least 3 million. Is it a small release? I don't really think so.
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Yes. I mean, Metroid Prime Remaster will be a remake of one of the most critically acclaimed games of all time that took like 4 years of development. I hardly see how that wouldn't be a major release at least in Nintendo's eyes - I mean, Nintendo DEFINITELY sees Metroid, Fire Emblem, Pikmin and Kirby to be major titles. Otherwise they wouldn't have had Metroid Dread as the launch title for Switch OLED. Nor bothered to get a top tier studio to make a remake of the first game and restart the development of the fourth.

Nintendo knows not everything will sell like Mario Kart, and the metric of 10M+ wouldn't even include literally all Zelda games not named BotW. Nor any Kirby game, despite the fact that steadily selling 2-5 million almost every year can be more profitable than selling 10M+ once in a generation.

Remasters wouldn't count... Not that it would happen, but stuff like an Animal Crossing remake or port or an spin off can be a house surprise hit that sells 10M like it's nothing - just like how Mario Party grown for never hitting 10M to selling more than every 3D Mario and Zelda not named Odyssey and BotW.

A brand new DK can definitely smash 10M too.
NateDrake said:
"Light" doesn't mean "weak" or any other descriptor you wish to replace it with.
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The thing is what does that even mean really?
One could argue that 2017 would be the weakest fall lineup of Switch era, with no November game, a Wii U port, Xenoblade Chronicles 2 that wouldn't be major and... Super Mario Odyssey. H1 of that year had Zelda, Mario Kart and ARMS. This year's H1 is having Fire Emblem, Kirby, Bayonetta spin off and Zelda. Only major game would be Zelda. Just like how the only major game of h2 2017 would be Odyssey, of 2021 be Pokémon and of 2021 Pokémon and Splatoon.

For core gamers, a H2 consisting of Metroid Prime Remake, Pikmin 4, F-Zero and Baten Kaitos can be a pretty great lineup, while for the sake of big selling games it would have none.
For core gamers, a H2 consisting of 2D Mario, Tomodachi Life and idk Nintendogs would suck, while sales wise it would be Switch's biggest holiday ever since 2019.
The thing about using Tears of the Kingdom as parameter of major is that it just happens to be at the same time a 20M+ seller, a big budget title, both casual mass appealing and core gamer favorite. We have at least one possible
 
0
Wockio said:
That sounds boring tbh. I really want whatever the next thing is to feel new. 3D Mario reinvents itself all the time, why is 2D Mario always the same thing?
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I would agree if the last 2D Mario wasn’t like a decade ago. I want to see if they even make one before I expect any kind of revolution.
 
0
God, I'm super looking forward to this direct for a whole bunch of reasons:
-New Zelda trailer - sure can't be a teaser, so probably the first proper one we get
-Potential new game reveal for the June-Sept period
-Seems like Advance Wars will be there (and while I don't buy/play remasters of games I've already played, brilliantly AW2 is the only AW I've never played, so it counts as new to me lol)
-It should confirm what direction they're taking the XC3 DLC
-Possible Metroid Prime sighting (either remake or 4)
-Possible Pikmin 4 sighting
-Maybe most pertinently to this forum, it'll offer enough hints to re-invigorate the speculation threads

This is actually as excited as I've been for a direct in a long, long time.

I feel like the release cycles of which games you're interested in determines your hype. When people are looking forward to and hyping up Smash, Kirby, Fire Emblem? Meh. I mean, great games, sure. But they don't get my heart racing, don't have me ticking of the days on a calendar. But Zelda, Metroid and Pikmin? This is MY time, lol.

Also, anyone else enjoy direct speculation far more now that Smash roster speculation is finished? Man I couldn't get down with it at all. It felt so omnipresent - for years!
 
Wockio said:
That sounds boring tbh. I really want whatever the next thing is to feel new. 3D Mario reinvents itself all the time, why is 2D Mario always the same thing?
Click to expand...
A full 2D Mario taking advantage of the 3D World gameplay mechanics would be unique. Long jumps, walking while crouching, rolling, and objects coming in from the background would all give a true new 2D Mario a unique feel regardless of if it had the 3D world art style or not. Yes it exists in MM2, but it's the most limited of the 5 themes and a full game built around it would be able to do so much more.
 
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