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StarTopic Nintendo Direct Speculation |ST4| Tears of the Speculation

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Kevin said:
E3 is dead. Nintendo has no games.. Nintendo is doomed. Switch 2 was canceled but we all got a bowl of Orville Redenbacher popcorn.

Direct may or may not occur soony.
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Soony? I swear if we get a State of Play announcement tomorrow, it‘s partially your fault.
 
Barely Able said:
I’m picked 324, but if it is indeed the 9th I think we will be passed that with the way the thread is going.
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Yeah we need to keep the pace. So every day some Nintendo related doom news until the 9th. Either we will reach a new level as community or Famiboards will explode.
 
Raccoon said:
from my understanding criminally low

smoke is meaningless
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RealUncleNintendo said:
I’m just going to leave this here:


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I'm doing the same thing over and over and expecting the same results:
Hyping for fun and expecting games to eventually come out. Which seems to.. like.. happen. Every time. 😁

HockeyBird said:
The final showdown between Team January and Team February is about to begin

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Yall aren't gonna believe what song is playing on my YouTube rotation right now and I am not fuckin kidding
 
switchum said:
Nintendo has nothing to reveal today, but I do. I've spent the last 9 months writing a song about Nintendo and inspired in large part by Famiboards. I've worked harder on this than any project I've ever done, and there are people in three countries who have done work on it.

Finally, after delaying it for months, I can share the release date. I really hope you like it.

youtube.com/@switchum

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The reason for the date is because @switchum song is in Hogwarts Legacy.
 
If this is going to be the year we finally see Metroid Prime games on Switch (that's what we thought last year, and the year before, and... well, whatever) there are 3 options:

Option 1. Metroid Prime HD doesn't exist or it was cancelled, and we only see Prime 4. Knowing how different insiders talked about Prime HD being a thing, this doesn't seem to be the case.

Option 2. Prime HD and Prime 4 are shown on the same Direct, probably with a small teaser of Prime 4 and then the announcement of Prime HD. But not so fast: both games are big enough to start or close the Direct, so I don't see Prime HD (which is supposed to be almost a remake) appearing just as a little surprise after the Prime 4 teaser, neither Prime 1 starting the Direct and Prime 4 closing it.

Option 3. Prime 4 and Prime HD are revealed at different Directs. We get Prime HD first, plus a classic "Don't worry, Prime 4 is going well but we need more time". The space between both Directs could be 8 months (February - September), a year or even more, depending on the state of Prime 4... and Switch 2.

I think option 3 is the most likely to happen based on what we know.
 
Quoted by: LiC
1
Decided to plot a graph of Nintendo Direct Dates in the Switch Era (Winter and Fall Only) vs the First-Party releases closest to that direct. As it turns out, there's actually a decent mathematical correlation between them. As in, it makes a pretty good trendline.

image.png


Punching in the date of Fire Emblem: Engage's release date actually nets you a Direct date of February 1st which is hilarious and also interesting.

Of course, don't take too much stock into this as this is based off patterns that may or may not continue later. But, it is an interesting footnote.

Sauce for those curious: https://www.desmos.com/calculator/e2ogi6ltzj
 
chocolate_supra said:
Instead of going to E3 in southern California, Nintendo could host their own event a couple hours north in California's heavily farming-focused Central Valley!
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They could even bring out Farmer Luigi to celebrate "The Harvest Season of Luigi"
 
In regards to the brief chibi robo discussion yesterday I will never not feel like smashing my head against a wall whenever I think of how the series was handled. It sounds like it would be from a parody guidebook teaching you how to fail but those decisions were real.
 
epicmartin7 said:
Decided to plot a graph of Nintendo Direct Dates in the Switch Era (Winter and Fall Only) vs the First-Party releases closest to that direct. As it turns out, there's actually a decent mathematical correlation between them. As in, it makes a pretty good trendline.

image.png


Punching in the date of Fire Emblem: Engage's release date actually nets you a Direct date of February 1st which is hilarious and also interesting.

Of course, don't take too much stock into this as this is based off patterns that may or may not continue later. But, it is an interesting footnote.

Sauce for those curious: https://www.desmos.com/calculator/e2ogi6ltzj
Click to expand...
So what I'm getting is that you've mathematically proven the Direct is on February 1st.

stodesign12 said:
Option 3. Prime 4 and Prime HD are revealed at different Directs. We get Prime HD first, plus a classic "Don't worry, Prime 4 is going well but we need more time". The space between both Directs could be 9 months (February - September), a year or even more, depending on the state of Prime 4... and Switch 2.

I think option 3 is the most likely to happen based on what we know.
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They already did this once, they're not doing it again. It would be the equivalent of showing another TotK teaser last September, not giving it a title or release date, and announcing WWHD/TPHD instead. Bafflingly, some people expected that, but it was never going to happen after it already happened with SSHD, and neither is the Metroid Prime 4 version of it.
 
Djehuty said:
In regards to the brief chibi robo discussion yesterday I will never not feel like smashing my head against a wall whenever I think of how the series was handled. It sounds like it would be from a parody guidebook teaching you how to fail but those decisions were real.
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Mid-2010s Nintendo was on a different wavelength.
 
RealUncleNintendo said:
What if prime remaster was just a tech demo for prime 4 ?
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I don't know if you are joking, but I've been thinking that since the begining...

LiC said:
They already did this once, they're not doing it again. It would be the equivalent of showing another TotK teaser last September, not giving it a title or release date, and announcing WWHD/TPHD instead. Bafflingly, some people expected that, but it was never going to happen after it already happened with SSHD, and neither is the Metroid Prime 4 version of it.
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It's a completely different situation imo. Prime 4 is still a total mistery, while we already had 2 TotK trailers.
 
Joe said:
Mid-2010s Nintendo was on a different wavelength.
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They were marketing and making games for a different planet. Maybe this is controversial to say but the wii u absolutely deserved it’s failure imo, they mishandled it, had like 7 good games on it total, and marketed it to embryo’s.
 
stodesign12 said:
I don't know if you are joking, but I've been thinking that since the begining...


It's a completely different situation imo. Prime 4 is still a total mistery, while we already had 2 TotK trailers.
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No joke, if it’s not shown this direct that all it could have been and ever was. Someone might have seen it and thought it a remaster for a game. I really do hope I’m wrong…
 
UnassumingLocalGuy said:
Bummer that there are no more games after Tears of the Kingdom. Good news is we’re still getting Pikmin 4, it’s just being rebooted as a vacuum cleaner.
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And the Switch 2 is a car. Makes sense, since why do you need a new game system if there are no more games to release?
 
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epicmartin7 said:
Decided to plot a graph of Nintendo Direct Dates in the Switch Era (Winter and Fall Only) vs the First-Party releases closest to that direct. As it turns out, there's actually a decent mathematical correlation between them. As in, it makes a pretty good trendline.

image.png


Punching in the date of Fire Emblem: Engage's release date actually nets you a Direct date of February 1st which is hilarious and also interesting.

Of course, don't take too much stock into this as this is based off patterns that may or may not continue later. But, it is an interesting footnote.

Sauce for those curious: https://www.desmos.com/calculator/e2ogi6ltzj
Click to expand...
Math can’t be wrong. I believe the first has to happen. If it doesn’t happen, then math is my sworn enemy.
 
Baffled by people saying the game vouchers aren't that good of a deal, not worth it, etc.

Meanwhile, Sony and Xbox games have increased in price by $10 and I'm constantly hearing complaints that Nintendo games never go on sale.

Take the W, people. $20 is $20, at least the games don't cost more.
 
I'm thinking Partner Direct in February with a ToTK direct coming in March after the Mario movie.

Edit: General direct in September. Other games like Advance Wars are dropped on Twitter.
 
Yeah, I'm still not buying this whole Nintendo has no major Switch games to release after ToTK narrative.

Sure, maybe all the games being feed to them via their sources are "smaller" games, whether it be size of development of size of sales potential. But you telling me these sources 100% know Nintendo's full lineup for the next 12 - 24 months? You telling me there is zero chance that these sources simply just don't know about the next EPD title?

It's why I strongly dislike leak culture. We get people making near definite statements about information that is likely to be incomplete. It's the same thing with Metroid Prime Remake, Switch Pro, and Windwaker/Twilight Princess HD. People trying to stretch incomplete info to something concrete.

And that shapes the narrative within the community for the foreseeable future, where the information is distorted and parroted to a point where even sound logic to point against it is immediately met with "well this insider with this track record said this". I already mentioned the examples.

I don't know. I just wish people would be more responsible with how they handled the communication of this information.
 
Nintendo Direct got me losing my mind,
Speculation thread got me feeling unkind,
Wanna see leaks but wanna go in blind,
The next Style Savvy will save mankind

rapping-mario-mario.gif
 
Thing is, when they asked for clarification from the guy who said Nintendo has no big games after TotK he basically said only heavy hitters like Zelda, Mario Kart, Smash, Pokemon, Animal Crossing, 2d or 3d Mario which is like well no shit? Zelda just released and there won't be another Smash, Mario Kart, or Animal Crossing on this version/gen Switch. Pokémon is obviously DLC only this year except maybe some ports (like the GB games on NSO) or spin offs. So it's basically saying no mainline Mario or Zelda for awhile which again no shit? Still leaves a lot of franchises that doesn't fit his definition of big games. Hell, Metroid and Fire Emblem don't even count for his definition of big games.
 
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