If we want to see how the popular GOTY vote might split among the general audience, TGA's Facebook post could give us an early indicator.
You can see the likes for each game by clicking on the respective image of each post. Currently, TOTK has a massive lead among the games, with 4.1k likes on its post. In second place, Spider-Man 2 with 2.5k. Resident Evil 4 takes third with 2k. Baldur's Gate 3 lands in fourth at 1.8k. Mario Wonder takes fifth with 1.3k. Finally Alan Wake 2 is last, at 1.2k.
The usual caveat applies that this is just one segment of the audience; TGA voting is done via multiple platforms, the popular vote only determines 10% of the actual vote, and there's no guarantee that the people with FB accounts actually went onto the site itself to vote, but it does show us that general sentiment isn't as lopsided toward the core gaming favorite as some would expect.