That's not my intention in saying so and I am sorry that's the impression I've given. Whenever I used to speculate on potential outcomes that the community didn't like I was at times rudely shut down. When I am rudely shut down now I point out that, yeah, sometimes "pessimistic" things have turned out to be right. I think my mistake is in making it seem as though I am either clever or consistent; I have at times believed in all of the wrong years, even 2021. In the future I will avoid leaning on this argumentative crutch, as I don't like the "um actually I was right" tone I now see it gives; all I meant to point out is that the thread, of which despite my tone I have absolutely been a part, has frequently been
wrong.
To underscore this further. I do not think that believing in 2024 is foolish. I do not believe that believing in 2023, 2022, or even 2021 was foolish, regardless of hindsight. All I meant to argue is that rejecting any thoughts outside of the zeitgeist rude, dismissive, and again not consistent with the results said zeitgeist has yielded. There is definitely a point to be made that as time passes it is likelier and likelier to be sooner, and it is one that I wish I acknowledged more often.
More succinctly, I apologize for the impression of policing others' thoughts that I've given by bringing up the ways that the thread was wrong. In my mind I was just defending my own opinions and did not intend to assert definitively that 2024 will be like 2023. Despite my genuine guess of H1 2025 I in no way think 2024 is unreasonable or unlikely. I will try to engage in a more outwardly respectful manner in the future, even in the face of what I see as disrespect, but I hope that respect is also afforded to H1 2024 (what's up
@Concernt) and 2025 (hey
@Brock Reiher sorry for the notification).