It’s entirely dependent but we’ve seen even with record breaking profit, shares will still drop. Nintendo investors are mostly kept happy since Nintendo does a lot to keep them happy. More often then not those who have been in the game this long understand what they are getting into with Nintendo.
Not that I know of. I was just showing what the initials meant.
In that case, CHEERS TO FALL 2023!!!!
Mainly speculation based on:
I'd never ignore your insightful posts
I think you've neatly summarised why Nintendo seem so uncertain about how to handle the next system. I wonder if Nintendo think they are actually jinxed when it comes to following up successful systems?
September 2023 it is then
Shouldn't this say [redacted]?
simple answer would be they don't see holiday 2023 sales as worthwhile over system launch sales. sure the Switch is still selling well, but it's still a 7th holiday. there's a tipping point before a new system launch is worth more, and they might feel the time is now, and I would agree with that. Zelda being the last major hurrah would reflect that and they'll just let the Drake hype coast them to launch
This line of thought makes sense but in that case why not ensure the best of both worlds by releasing it this year and capturing all the Thanksgiving & Christmas sales?
Ever heard the question: Is the juice worth the squeeze?
On Nintendo's side it is a bit quieter than usual yes, but as I said above they have been keepig things clsoer to their chest for a while now.
I think that the only way Nintendo could recoup those costs through the holidays in this scenario would be to have a consistent flow of games through that period, being helmed by a marquis, system seller title. In this scenario, I can see them releasing a few remasters, Metroid Prime 4, and a 2D/3D Mario leading the way. I feel that, even if they were to reveal the [REDACTED] during the fall, the Switch would still sell well enough to where it wouldn't be overshadowed. (Not that I see this happening, mind you. Still betting my Famicoins on 2023, after all
)
But, what I want to know is if that's really necessary or beneficial for them when their current system is declining.
listening to Reggie's book about his career, he did mention in passing special editions were pretty much the last thing they tried with the Wii / DS prior to moving on. And we've come to the end of the road with special editions, outside of a potential Metroid Prim 4 SE Switch for which still doesn'th ave a date. All the signs are there that they will be transitioning to a new console.
In the Feb 2021 direct, Splatoon 3 came out 19 months later.
probably a noticeable bump, but it'd be bigger on software. April
People know of several first and third party games that wil be released in the coming months. I think the number of hardware sales lost from people looking only at Nintendo's current H2 announced lineup and deciding it is sparse is pretty low. A lack of H2 games announced now doesn't matter too much, becuase by the time we get to H2 more games will have been announced.
Splatoon 3 is why I said "since the Feb 2021 direct". Both BOTW2 and Bayonetta 3 were announced before the Feb Direct.
Which is why this year would be more ideal, as they can reap that sweet holiday revenue, regardless if the Switch's sales are low.For the record, if Nintendo announces hardware for H1 2024, let’s assume March if it’s for this new FY, the holiday this year will be bleak relative to their previous sales numbers of the previous years.
If they announce it for this year, the switch sales will still be pretty bleak, relatively speaking. A whole new console that can play the same games as the previous consoles and presumably has all the goodies plus guarantee of more games for years, vs a cheaper bundled offer that is at EOL
They’ll lose sales regardless if they get it out this year vs early next year.
With all this info, I think I'm quite convinced now Switch 2 is coming Mar '24.
Peak sales timeframe is only important to the family demographic and if you can manufacture enough units. Just like everything else these will be supply constrained, so launching in March or October will yield the same results - sell outs.
Nah, October will inherently yield better results by virtue of being near the holiday.
It is extremely unlikely that Tales of Arise will get a Switch port.
They literally said they're not planning an anime and someone at reddit pointed out that anime trademarks are co owned with the anime studio. Trademark is for Europe and definitely video game related. Either and improved version or a non-canon sequel like ToS Dawn of the New World. Both can be Switch titles.
Not cutting the price during record inflation is effectively a price cut, especially when your competitors are all raising their price.
The dock basically provides power and accepts a video signal in return. Theoretically all kinds of things could be made to plug into the existing docks, within those limits of how much power it can supply and how much of a video signal it can handle--and of course shape.
0 Mario platformers having a direct or numbered sequel coming more than 3 years after the previous is also a thing.
Can't sell more than 100%.
I do hope it's released this holiday.
Not joking no. Just saw similarities and drew a conclusion.
I actually always expected it to release Mar '24, but hoping for a nice surprise release holiday '23.
Thanks for keeping us updated. I think this makes sense given the timing of mass production is the next 2 to 6 months, if it's just colors/patterns, it is something that can be resolved in a matter of weeks. I expect mass production to start sometime this summer (June-September) and release within our 5 month window, likely end of this calendar year, but February or even March 1st is possible... I doubt December or January are viable months to launch hardware, so we are really just talking about late October/November, Feb or very eary March. This is also the only timeframe that works with the Pokemon leaker, who while not confirmed, is probably the strongest source for a launch before next FY.
Sony already did the "patch old games for 4K" when Pro came out.
