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Discussion According to @Brazil podcast 'X do Controle' Nintendo Switch 2 will release in march 2025 - Summary updated [Eurogamer is corroborating]

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Christo750 said:
The thing that hangs me up about this, if it's just a beefier Switch, you really don't need THREE showcases. Even if there were new features they just won't take that long to convey. And if the plan is support the Switch for one more year, right now the only games confirmed for Switch 1 are:

Luigi's Mansion 2 HD
Princess Peach Showtime
Paper Mario TTYD remake
(ASSUMED) a Pokemon thing in November.

This isn't just weak, it's worse than the Covid year. They gotta talk about something after March in February. I just don't buy a 2025 release.
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I mean he says there are other gmes he knows about just not "major" ones, whatever that means
 
something very serious, must have happpened for Nintendo to launch Switch sucessor in march of 2025, but let not make a fuzz all over this, we can survive another year of Switch
 
Christo750 said:
The thing that hangs me up about this, if it's just a beefier Switch, you really don't need THREE showcases. Even if there were new features they just won't take that long to convey. And if the plan is support the Switch for one more year, right now the only games confirmed for Switch 1 are:

Luigi's Mansion 2 HD
Princess Peach Showtime
Paper Mario TTYD remake
(ASSUMED) a Pokemon thing in November.

This isn't just weak, it's worse than the Covid year. They gotta talk about something after March in February. I just don't buy a 2025 release.
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Idk, the next few months are probably just weak? I think we'll get more Switch 1 games in June/September. Fire Emblem, Pokemon Mystery Dungeon, Kirby, Rhythm Heaven. June and September won't be "blowouts" imo. They'll be continual teases and announcements of stuff. Maybe it would be better to pack all that info into one presentation. But it's also worth mentioning that something could have forced their hand into a delay. Production and demand concerns, a launch game needing more time, anything. And if that happens, it's probably better to announce sooner than to try and just advertise an anemic Switch 1 lineup for a year.
 
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BassForever said:
My point is Switch 1 is slowing down anyways. As long as Switch 2 launches this FY (April 24-March 25), Nintendo is gonna get a big boost from its launch regardless. Switch 2 will sell out regardless of when it launches, so Nintendo will have a strong FY anyways.
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that would be fine if launching this FY meant by Q2 or Q3, but parking your money maker at the very end of the FY will not really help the bottomline much. according to Brazil’s assessment of the release, obviously.
 
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Nah, this is some educated guessing, but I don't believe it.

Still think reveal of the device (machine only, no games) will come at the of the next Direct next week, Switch 2 software Direct in March, and platform launch this summer.
 
Yeah no that doesn’t make any sense. It’s way too early to announce something for next year. Nintendo loves their tight marketing schedules, I really can’t see them doing this
 
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Reasons why Switch 2 is 2024:

Nintendo aren’t holding their usual early 2024 general direct to show off their Switch software for the year ahead.

In a relatively small window they’ve pushed out media for several of their 2024 games almost in ‘calm before the storm’ manner.

The rumoured March reveal date would mean a 2025 launch is a year away. Would Nintendo in this day and age reveal their new hardware 12 months before release?

They would basically have a Christmas 2024 where they have hardware that doesn’t sell in big numbers and most likely no big software.

If their own software isn’t ready, third parties, thanks to the success of Switch, will likely already have various big games ready to go.
 
Bonejack said:
One rumor that goes against all the others.

But we're not going to act like one of them has more specific weight and truth than the others, right?
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This one makes the most sense to me as I've been saying for over a year now. It's consistent with Nintendo saying Nintendo Switch is the focus in 2024 and the fact that we still have unrevealed Switch games in the pipeline like Metroid Prime 4.
 
Switchs lineup this year would obviously depend on when they decided on 2025. If it was a recent sudden decision or not
 
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BassForever said:
Oh no gang, the momentum of the 3rd best selling console of all time might be slowed down by the announcement of a successor launching in 2025, Nintendo should prevent this by launching the successor sooner so they kill the momentum even faster!!!??!?!
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Maybe because they would have new hardware to sell, and on a holiday season too, instead of aging hardware with no notable software and the knowledge of a new system coming replacing the old one
 
Brock Reiher said:
This one makes the most sense to me as I've been saying for over a year now. It's consistent with Nintendo saying Nintendo Switch is the focus in 2024 and the fact that we still have unrevealed Switch games in the pipeline like Metroid Prime 4.
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He said it was delayed so no it never made sense with what you said to begin with
 
Brock Reiher said:
This one makes the most sense to me as I've been saying for over a year now. It's consistent with Nintendo saying Nintendo Switch is the focus in 2024 and the fact that we still have unrevealed Switch games in the pipeline like Metroid Prime 4.
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I'm not arguing semantics with you if you choose to misunderstand so many of them willingly.
 
Racalia said:
Andy Robinson said in the Nintendo Pipeline Discord server that he heard something similar.
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I was wondering if we would see this corroborated soon or if this was going to be a rumor coming from one source. I guess the former. Ouch.
 
dsm said:
Maybe because they would have new hardware to sell, and on a holiday season too, instead of aging hardware with no notable software and the knowledge of a new system coming replacing the old one
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If their hands were forced into a March delay, either they have the option of dealing with this or doing an extremely short January reveal -> March release.
 
Quoted by: dsm
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That would be devastating to the industry. If all three consoles are seeing declines and growth in the overs industry stagnate even more.
 
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lollllllll that's so funny.
I wanna see how long new hardware from Nintendo can keep getting pushed back for.
First we were sure something was coming out in 2021, then for sure 2023, then it just had to be 2024, now 2025. I wanna see if we can get to 2026 without anything from them.

It's genuinely hilarious. Especially for someone who's wanted something more powerful since 2019.

Also Nate's been "speculating" this for absolute ages, so I'm not sure why people are surprised.
 
Does this guy have a good track record or are we just going into a frenzy every time some random "insider" makes a prediction?
 
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I see a lot of people mentioning that holiday 2024 is what all the rumors have suggested, but can someone fill me in on what those sources are? Afaik, holiday 2024 has only been presented thus far as informed speculation. Nate only ever seemed reasonably confident in March being a reveal month (before that, he was just confident that there was something connected to March). Other things like Bloomberg saying holiday 2024 always seemed like analyst predictions.

I guess what I'm saying is, from my POV Brazil's report is the first time someone is presenting their findings from sources on a specific release window, and what they're saying is early 2025. It seems reasonable to me that maybe at some point it was late 2024 and not early 2025, but now it's changed. It also doesn't seem too crazy to me that they may announce it a year out. If someone else mentioned release windows before now, please do let me know!

One point I'd like to offer is that the 3DS and 2DS models were sold by Nintendo in the lead up to and a year into switch release. Enthusiasts online didn't care, but parents saw a deal on hardware that was on the way out and snapped it up for holidays and birthdays at good prices and on sale. I could see that being a potentially similar strat here.
 
Partner Showcase in February combined with 2025 hardware confirmation = a completely happy time to be in Nintendo Town.

Looking forward to it!

starts preparing to emigrate
 
Brock Reiher said:
This one makes the most sense to me as I've been saying for over a year now. It's consistent with Nintendo saying Nintendo Switch is the focus in 2024 and the fact that we still have unrevealed Switch games in the pipeline like Metroid Prime 4.
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Actually, Nintendo said Switch would be the focus going into 2024. I would imagine they would’ve chosen different wording if Switch was going to be the only focus for the entirety of 2024.
 
Sure, I can see a March 2025 release.

I can't see that  and a March 2024 reveal though. That's a long marketing cycle that Nintendo usually avoids these days.

Though I guess it could be a very low key reveal with something more substantial coming in the summer - a "proper" reveal, so to speak.
 
I've had to basically train myself not to pay much attention to leaks, as they're often wrong (not calling anyone out, just speaking generally) especially where the successor to the Switch is concerned, but just speaking about this generally -

If they were to announce a Switch 2 next month with a release date that was a year away, it would suck all of the wind out of its sails. Like, I wouldn't walk away from that announcement excited for what's coming - I'd walk away from it confused as to why they wasted my time announcing it so early. Why not just announce it in September at that point? I'd probably just end up shelving my Switch and not buying Nintendo games for a year because I'd know for a fact then that new hardware was coming so what's the point? I know I don't speak for everyone, but I also know I wouldn't be alone in that. It just seems nonsensical from a business perspective.
 
GamerJM said:
If their hands were forced into a March delay, either they have the option of dealing with this or doing an extremely short January reveal -> March release.
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Fair enough, are there any supply shortages at the moment? Even IF they release it in 2025 I'm not seeing it being announced so soon
 
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Nmanic said:
I see a lot of people mentioning that holiday 2024 is what all the rumors have suggested, but can someone fill me in on what those sources are? Afaik, holiday 2024 has only been presented thus far as informed speculation. Nate only ever seemed reasonably confident in March being a reveal month (before that, he was just confident that there was something connected to March). Other things like Bloomberg saying holiday 2024 always seemed like analyst predictions.

I guess what I'm saying is, from my POV Brazil's report is the first time someone is presenting their findings from sources on a specific release window, and what they're saying is early 2025. It seems reasonable to me that maybe at some point it was late 2024 and not early 2025, but now it's changed. It also doesn't seem too crazy to me that they may announce it a year out. If someone else mentioned release windows before now, please do let me know!

One point I'd like to offer is that the 3DS and 2DS models were sold by Nintendo in the lead up to and a year into switch release. Enthusiasts online didn't care, but parents saw a deal on hardware that was on the way out and snapped it up for holidays and birthdays at good prices and on sale. I could see that being a potentially similar strat here.
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Eurogamer specifically reported on holiday 2024 as Nintendo's target launch window, and went so far as to say Nintendo would launch sooner if feasible.
 
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