Yeah, I feel like that's a trap a lot of people fall into. They still have a lot of stuff they can have next year to easily fill out the lineup until 2025 if they really want to.
Notable rumors include:
- 2D/3D DK (I've mainly seen "3D" be rumored, though that could have been mistaken for DK Freedom, way back in Summer of 2020, lol. I saw talk of a Wario Land VB remake/remaster that was meant to be on the 3DS around the same time, and that ended up actually existing, though only in the form of a pitch.) (Wario Land Source)
- Twilight Princess and Wind Waker HD Ports
- Metroid Prime 4 (Rumored to be alongside the "Pro")
- Something relating to Smash Ultimate (Rumored to be alongside new hardware; we'll see if anything comes of it)
- Black and White Remakes
- F-ZERO GX Remake
- Fire Emblem 4 Remake
- Brand new 3D Mario (Unrelated to Odyssey, supposedly from 2019, rumored to be specifically for new hardware, though it could also be a Switch game if we somehow don't get new hardware next year.)
S
tuff that's due for next year:
- The next Mario Party
- Camelot's next game
- Mario and Sonic 2024 (If Camelot's game isn't a new Mario Sports game.)
With what we already know about 2024, we have five games slated for the year, first party wise. If we get even some of these next year, they can most definitely wait. The question is, what would they gain by doing so? If new hardware is backward compatible with the OG Switch, why would they feel the need to wait on releasing new hardware? It makes much more sense to me for them to try to get it out as soon as possible so they can meet the current hardware standards third parties have been developing with for over a decade now and so they can also innovate their games with more powerful tech.
My current thoughts are that we'll get a tease in November, a Switch-exclusive Mini in January, a Switch 2 Presentation in March, and a release in May. There's still a lot of stuff we're either meant to get that was rumored specifically for the Switch, like DK, or games that don't make sense to be a part of a big, next-gen push, like Mario and Sonic, for me to see the September Direct we got being the LAST Switch exclusive event. Maybe it was the last General, but I don't know why they would only start pushing for some of this stuff around the same time we would be getting a new 3D Mario revealed for new hardware. We got stuff like the LM2 Remaster revealed over a year from it's release specifically to avoid this issue... probably.
I realize I write really long messages sometimes lol, I apologize for that.