Does anyone here have access to
TechInsights’ market analyses? There are reports from China claiming that the latest TechInsights console market analysis “estimates” that the Switch NG will be launched in “March or April next year”.
Here is one of the reports. My translation of relevant section (emphases mine):
“In 2022, Nintendo led the console hardware market with a 40% share, albeit down from 45% in 2021. […] Nintendo was able to maintain its lead due to the tremendous success of Switch OLED (launched in October 2021) between Q4 2021 and Q1 2023, with 15 million units shipped worldwide. Meanwhile, Nintendo’s global market share will drop sharply to 28% this year, ceding the number one position to Sony.
The trend will reverse in 2024, with the next-generation Switch 2 expected to be launched in March or April next year. TechInsights estimates that the release of the new model will boost Nintendo’s global market share back up to nearly 40 percent. However, that won’t be enough to dethrone Sony from the number one position.”
Note that the “market share” mentioned above refers to the number of units shipped. TechInsights reports usually are fairly reliable, however it isn’t clear from the regurgitated articles from China whether the Switch NG launch window is strictly their estimation or based on any industry information.