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Discussion How much do you think Metroid Prime Remastered will sell?

How much will Metroid Prime Remastered sell?

  • >5m

    Votes: 26 7.2%

  • 4-5m

    Votes: 33 9.2%

  • 3-4m

    Votes: 63 17.5%

  • 2-3m

    Votes: 125 34.8%

  • 1-2m

    Votes: 103 28.7%

  • <1m

    Votes: 9 2.5%
  • Total voters
    359
I’m thinking between 1 and 2 million. Lack of sales from Japan is going to make breaking the 2M barrier tough imo, and I’m not thinking the game will have particularly strong legs since it’s a remaster that will appeal primarily to a “hardcore” gamer audience who will mostly buy the game within the first few months.

I do think Prime 4 has a chance to be a breakout success for the Metroid series, though.
 
0
Dekuman said:
I'm going all in .
4-5 millies!
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Me as well!

This game is literally selling out of its pre-order copies already, a week out from actual release, and it's literally one of the best of all-time. At 40$ new, I see it beating Dread!

After so many years of dormancy, it's great to feel this way again about Metroid.
 
0
1-2M.

I don't see it as a huge seller. Physical copies are limited. The shadow drop was cool but it's clearly not going to get a huge marketing push.

It's also a 20+ year old game. Yes, it looks great and still plays well, but I don't think that there's a massive market for it. I think Dread ends up selling more.
 
I'm not very optimistic. It's one of the best games ever made, but it's also a shadowdrop and it will release physically with zero fanfare and three weeks after its digital release.

I don't think it'll get to a million.
 
I'm guessing somewhere in that range between Origami King(lower end) and Tennis Aces(higher end) level.

Which would be stellar sales results for this series, but there's something different about this situation. I can feel it.
 
Even at 24 reviews the meta is still at 96. This is an essential switch game tier only BotW and Odyssey can match
 
Between 4-5 million units LTD. Anybody saying that the physical run is going to be limited is only kidding themselves. That may have been the case with a classic collection that Nintendo produced in under a year but for a remaster that was in development for years and worked on by hundreds of developers, doing a limited physical run would be madness. That is pretty much out of the question.

The lack of official marketing the game has received isn't an issue from where I'm sitting. The Prime series have had tremendous good WoM over the past 2 decades, especially after the series going dark for 6 years. Not just that, but during the release of Dread I saw a number of reactions that went "meh, it's not Prime 4 so who cares?". For whatever reason, the Prime series has become the 'mainline' Metroid series in peoples minds, in the way the 3D Zelda's have become the mainline Zelda's with the 2D series now seen as a more sub-series. So having a big remaster that's focused on overhauling the visuals plays very well to that crowd indeed.
 
One thing I'll say, don't underestimate how much just 'looking like' an FPS can draw attention, regardless of the inherent popularity of Metroid. Yes, I know Metroid Prime is not an FPS in the usual sense. But it's a sleek looking sci fi adventure with a cool first-person cannon that blasts missiles and lasers at aliens and looks like Halo, CoD, and DOOM on a surface level. I'm not saying this guarantees huge sales, but it will impact its perception to an audience entirely alien to this series. Like a Trojan horse to get folks to try the game out. Is it nebulous to say a game just 'looks' cool as shit? Yes. :p
 
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Tron1 said:
1.5 million
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why arent you the peak comedy of the forum
Serif said:
One thing I'll say, don't underestimate how much just 'looking like' an FPS can draw attention, regardless of the inherent popularity of Metroid. Yes, I know Metroid Prime is not an FPS in the usual sense. But it's a sleek looking sci fi adventure with a cool first-person cannon that blasts missiles and lasers at aliens and looks like Halo, CoD, and DOOM on a surface level. I'm not saying this guarantees huge sales, but it will impact its perception to an audience entirely alien to this series. Like a Trojan horse to get folks to try the game out. Is it nebulous to say a game just 'looks' cool as shit? Yes. :p
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this is something i wanted to mention, i think so many people might buy the game solely because it looks good lmao
 
Changed my vote to 3-4M, which will put it on the same range as Dread probably is by now.

WoM has been insanely good for it, it covers a niche that no other Nintendo franchise does really (realistic looking first person game), and it's literally the cheapest Nintendo made game available (same price as Switch Sport's, but its physical version will be cheaper than that).

Being the cheapest available Mario game made Mario + Rabbids Kingdom Battle sell like hotcakes, way beyond games of its genre are used to. I imagine Metroid Prime Remastered being the cheapest Nintendo first-party game available (at least the newest one) can make it sell great, moreso with that good WoM and glowing reviews.

Dread was a 60$ 2D game that managed to get to ~3M really fast. Prime Remastered being not only the latest Metroid available for people that liked Dread to get, is also setting the tone for what's to come with the game that was announced 6 years ago on Switch's first E3 that even people that never played Metroid ever got WOW'd by the announcement. And it's 40$, which means even a handful of people that never got Dread can get this. Double dips will happen, when Metroid Prime 4 is fully revealed and dated it will get another bump...

Btw, is the game still #1 on the US eShop? What position is it on japanese eShop?
 
meatbag said:
Yes
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Damn... It's selling super well I guess. Let's see how Kirby affects it. If it somehow stays at #1 after another 1st party game comes, I'll be sure it's gonna sell big.
meatbag said:
No idea, but MP Remastered is way more popular than expected since three days of preorders for the physical version are outpacing howver many months of preorders FFXVI got
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Damn². Yeah, I think we might even get surprised at 1st week sales on Famitsu lol. Also it having sold out already on various retailers is pretty telling. 1st quarter shipments by Nintendo are hardly anything conservative and we've seen Dread being very front loaded. It selling every single copy Nintendo was aiming to ship before it even releases is wild. I'm not scared of the shadow drop hurting sales anymore lol.
 
meatbag said:
Yes


No idea, but MP Remastered is way more popular than expected since three days of preorders for the physical version are outpacing howver many months of preorders FFXVI got
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Prime remaster outpacing xvi in Japan? Crazy if true
 
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I cannot see it at least match the original sales of Prime on Gamecube especially being a 40 euro/dollars

It might also be the first Metroid game that Nintendo officially tell us surpassed 3 mil copies(considering that by this point Dread have almost certain got to to 3 mil)
 
The game has been holding its position as 4th best selling on the brazilian eshop for a few days now. Seems slightly worse than how Dread did, but not by much.
 
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I feel 2-3 is the 'right' option, but I figured I'd go with the one that beats Dread, so 3-4 million is what I ran with.
 
0
  • It has one of the highest MC scores for nintendo games
  • it is a cheaper first party release
  • huge word of mouth
  • looks great
  • looks FPSisch
  • sold almost 3M on GC, a console that sold a fifth of switch
I cant take anyone serious that expects less then 2M.
personally i think 3-4M is where we should expect it.
Maybe not in the first year, but by year 2 it should be there.
 
Aether said:
  • It has one of the highest MC scores for nintendo games
  • it is a cheaper first party release
  • huge word of mouth
  • looks great
  • looks FPSisch
  • sold almost 3M on GC, a console that sold a fifth of switch
I cant take anyone serious that expects less then 2M.
personally i think 3-4M is where we should expect it.
Maybe not in the first year, but by year 2 it should be there.
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I think expecting anything 'year 2' from Metroid is a bit unusual, the series isn't known for its legs at all. I mean Dread almost immediately hit 3 million and then barely crawled passed 3 million, where it still likely sits today. I know this has more mass appeal in theory, but I still don't think it will do much beyond the first few months really, so we should know pretty quick. Obviously if Nintendo reveals Prime 4 later it might boost both games a bit, but the general idea should become clear soon.
 
I think Metroid should be series that aims to go for the 3-4 milion mark, like Fire Emblem

Of course i still have to see if Nintendo have plans for franchise like Metroid and Fire Emblem on tv/movies

Because both series can get an incredile boost from media
 
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goldenpp72 said:
I think expecting anything 'year 2' from Metroid is a bit unusual, the series isn't known for its legs at all. I mean Dread almost immediately hit 3 million and then barely crawled passed 3 million, where it still likely sits today. I know this has more mass appeal in theory, but I still don't think it will do much beyond the first few months really, so we should know pretty quick. Obviously if Nintendo reveals Prime 4 later it might boost both games a bit, but the general idea should become clear soon.
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thats what im counting on, a handful of sales (some will find even 40$ to much for a remastere) and a push after MP4 is revealed, another when its out (and people want to experience the first one after being suprized by the forth).
i expect the first 2-3 in the first 6 months, and then another 0.5-1M in the 18 months after that.

A also think we need to look at 2D metroid and 3D metroid as separate series. While they have overlapping fan bases, they are not the same.
Dread is still waiting for its second push from a different title.
I feel MP1R has the upper hand here with MP4. (but yeah, Dread will still get another push when MP4 releases, just a smaller one)
 
Aether said:
thats what im counting on, a handful of sales (some will find even 40$ to much for a remastere) and a push after MP4 is revealed, another when its out (and people want to experience the first one after being suprized by the forth).
i expect the first 2-3 in the first 6 months, and then another 0.5-1M in the 18 months after that.

A also think we need to look at 2D metroid and 3D metroid as separate series. While they have overlapping fan bases, they are not the same.
Dread is still waiting for its second push from a different title.
I feel MP1R has the upper hand here with MP4. (but yeah, Dread will still get another push when MP4 releases, just a smaller one)
Click to expand...

They aren't separate series like other games though, Metroid fans are desperate, starving, and will buy effectively anything mainline, the trick for Prime is that it has the potential to exceed the normal Metroid Fanbase, but I don't know if that's the case here. The series has a reputation for a reason, it's not newcomer friendly at all.
 
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Prime 4 will be the first newcomer friendly title for Metroid, like it happen with all modern iterations of different franchises

Even if it will probably be reduce to an even stronger hint system and checkpoints
 
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goldenpp72 said:
I think expecting anything 'year 2' from Metroid is a bit unusual, the series isn't known for its legs at all. I mean Dread almost immediately hit 3 million and then barely crawled passed 3 million, where it still likely sits today. I know this has more mass appeal in theory, but I still don't think it will do much beyond the first few months really, so we should know pretty quick. Obviously if Nintendo reveals Prime 4 later it might boost both games a bit, but the general idea should become clear soon.
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i never understood where people came up with this. If i so remember nintendo in 2002 revealed metroid prime only sold a bit more than a million copies, as such that implies that the game went to sell 2/3 of its total sales in the upcoming years.

We also dont know how much dread sold in 2022, we could have assumed the same for fire emblem 3h before the cesa white papers finally started showing up and that would have been blatantly wrong as 3h went to sell 1,6 additional millions in the years after its launch.

So can we stop saying this lmao.
 
Mr Doggo said:
i never understood where people came up with this. If i so remember nintendo in 2002 revealed metroid prime only sold a bit more than a million copies, as such that implies that the game went to sell 2/3 of its total sales in the upcoming years.

We also dont know how much dread sold in 2022, we could have assumed the same for fire emblem 3h before the cesa white papers finally started showing up and that would have been blatantly wrong as 3h went to sell 1,6 additional millions in the years after its launch.

So can we stop saying this lmao.
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Metroid Prime got deep discounted to death and even bundled if I recall, a practice Nintendo does not partake in this generation. Prime 2, Prime 3, Other M, Dread, Returns, etc, all sold by far their bulk very quickly and then dropped right off. Metroid Prime was Nintendo putting serious backing to try and turn the series into this big thing, part of the 'big 3' as it were at that time, it didn't work. The series still remains a hardcore niche series, it's just at the upper end of that.

Show me one Metroid game in the last 15 years that sold 'pretty good' over years, I'm more than happy to be proven wrong, but at this rate, Dread will never hit 4 million units despite hitting almost 3 million instantly, and that's the best selling game in the entire series.
 
Well seeing as how I have to wait until March 27th despite pre-ordering the day of the direct, so now I have to double dip because I can't wait that long, I'd say it'll sell pretty well. I need this game physical but I can't wait that long FOMO and all that.
 
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Probably too early to speculate on Dread's legs. The game would have been heavily shipped during it's initial holiday quarter, which is why the subsequent quarter shipments were low. That's all the data we have, so it will be a little while until we have a better idea. Not saying it's had amazing legs or anything, but I don't think it hitting 4 million is out of the picture either. It continues to be priced at $50+ and it's deepest discount was $40 during the last BF, so it's not like Nintendo has looked to cut it's price. Should continue to get boosts with stuff like Prime remastered hitting.
 
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goldenpp72 said:
Metroid Prime got deep discounted to death and even bundled if I recall, a practice Nintendo does not partake in this generation. Prime 2, Prime 3, Other M, Dread, Returns, etc, all sold by far their bulk very quickly and then dropped right off. Metroid Prime was Nintendo putting serious backing to try and turn the series into this big thing, part of the 'big 3' as it were at that time, it didn't work. The series still remains a hardcore niche series, it's just at the upper end of that.

Show me one Metroid game in the last 15 years that sold 'pretty good' over years, I'm more than happy to be proven wrong, but at this rate, Dread will never hit 4 million units despite hitting almost 3 million instantly, and that's the best selling game in the entire series.
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It got discounted because it sold well to begin with, it was one of the premier gc titles. I wonder why nintendo didn't do that for echoes if that's the key for sales!

Why yes your argument makes so much sense we ve had several metroid games that sold decently in the last 15 years.

Other m.
Federation Force.
SR.

All big hits. Yeah no of course if a title doesnt have a large start ofc it wont have legs too. Your argument doesnt makes sense because we didn't have a metroid game that sold well in the last 15 years until dread came, and we have no numbers yet to determine its legs.
 
Mr Doggo said:
It got discounted because it sold well to begin with, it was one of the premier gc titles. I wonder why nintendo didn't do that for echoes if that's the key for sales!

Why yes your argument makes so much sense we ve had several metroid games that sold decently in the last 15 years.

Other m.
Federation Force.
SR.

All big hits. Yeah no of course if a title doesnt have a large start ofc it wont have legs too. Your argument doesnt makes sense because we didn't have a metroid game that sold well in the last 15 years until dread came, and we have no numbers yet to determine its legs.
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I'd happily make a monetary bet right now that Prime will easily sell the bulk of its sales within the first 6 months, nothing you just said makes any difference, especially with your point on 'it sold well so they dropped the price', that's literally not how the process works for dropping prices with Nintendo outside of it meeting some arbitrary number to be labeled as a players choice. You drop prices because the game is not selling much at the current price and you want to drive unit sales, by the time Prime 2 came out and cratered the system was basically headed towards the graveyard so they likely saw no purpose in trying further.

You can also bring up Prime 3 if you like, critically acclaimed, huge selling console, sold most of its bulk immediately, cratered shortly after. You also simply ignored Dread which also came out, sold a few million instantly, it had people going 'omg will Dread sell 6 million!?' because they assumed with such a strong start, it would keep going, especially since the reception for it was very strong.

It did not, it's still likely on the low end of 3 million, we might never see it reported again by Nintendo using their 'sold a million more units' metric.

Prime 1 was an anomaly for this series, Nintendo tried to position it as THE game for the system, it was among the biggest single pushes they tried for the Gamecube, likely to try and counteract their 'kiddy' image of the time, and it sold well immediately and entered discount territory later, something that isn't going to happen with Prime 1 Remastered. They will likely never formally drop the price of that game unless they introduce some kind of players choice line for the Switch, and even then, I'd not count on it.
 
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goldenpp72 said:
I'd happily make a monetary bet right now that Prime will sell by far the bulk of its sales within the first 6 months, nothing you just said makes any difference, especially with your point on 'it sold well so they dropped the price', that's literally not how the process works for dropping prices with Nintendo outside of it meeting some arbitrary number to be labeled as a players choice. You drop prices because the game is not selling much at the current price and you want to drive unit sales, by the time Prime 2 came out and cratered the system was basically headed towards the graveyard so they likely saw no purpose in trying further.

You can also bring up Prime 3 if you like, critically acclaimed, huge selling console, sold most of its bulk immediately, cratered shortly after. You also simply ignored Dread which also came out, sold a few million instantly, it had people going 'omg will Dread sell 6 million!?' because they assumed with such a strong start, it would keep going, especially since the reception for it was veyr strong.

It did not, it's still likely on the low end of 3 million, we might never see it reported again by Nintendo using their 'sold a million more units' metric.

Prime 1 was an anomaly for this series, Nintendo tried to position it as THE game for the system, it was among the biggest single pushes they tried for the system, likely to try and counteract their 'kiddy' image of the time, and it sold well immediately and entered discount territory later, something that isn't going to happen with Prime 1 Remastered. They will likely never formally drop the price of that game unless they introduce some kind of players choice line for the Switch, and even then, I'd not count on it.
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Yeah... that's what i said. It sold well therefore it appeared in bundles, discounts and whatever. Something that didn't happen with prime 2 and prime 3.

Speaking of Corruption, your points also dont matter. The only times an ip that wasnt casual sold in the console was with zelda, and even then just the first game (twilight princess) for every other game the wii was a casual pool that despite its gigantic numbers never managed to attract anything but casuals.

About Dread, again, there are no metrics to determine this no matter what you say. Nintendo will certainly not report on it yes just like they never reported on fe3h's post launch sales despite it going on to have huge legs but i was never banking on them reporting it, instead waiting for the Cesa White Papers for 2022 which should drop soon enough.

As for MPR's sales, it released discounted. This is such an unusual tale for Nintendo that i dont think its possible to predict the outcome.
 
Mr Doggo said:
Yeah... that's what i said. It sold well therefore it appeared in bundles, discounts and whatever. Something that didn't happen with prime 2 and prime 3.

Speaking of Corruption, your points also dont matter. The only times an ip that wasnt casual sold in the console was with zelda, and even then just the first game (twilight princess) for every other game the wii was a casual pool that despite its gigantic numbers never managed to attract anything but casuals.

About Dread, again, there are no metrics to determine this no matter what you say. Nintendo will certainly not report on it yes just like they never reported on fe3h's post launch sales despite it going on to have huge legs but i was never banking on them reporting it, instead waiting for the Cesa White Papers for 2022 which should drop soon enough.

As for MPR's sales, it released discounted. This is such an unusual tale for Nintendo that i dont think its possible to predict the outcome.
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I'm pretty sure I can easily predict the outcome, Metroid fans will show up in droves and buy it immediately, a few stragglers and new users will show up, some general hype might give it some fumes, and it will not become any sort of relevant evergreen, because it's Metroid. That doesn't mean it didn't perform well, it's just not fair to make expectations for it that never suited the series up to this point. A Metroid game becoming a true evergreen would be a huge turn of events for the series, something that would require bringing in an audience well beyond the current fanbase, and I don't think a remaster of Metroid Prime is going to be the game that does that, Prime 4, unlikely but maybe, all depends on what it is. I personally think Nintendo is going to sell Prime 4 twice both on the original and then a successor platform, but that's just a guess.
 
goldenpp72 said:
I'm pretty sure I can easily predict the outcome, Metroid fans will show up in droves and buy it immediately, a few stragglers and new users will show up, some general hype might give it some fumes, and it will not become any sort of relevant evergreen, because it's Metroid. That doesn't mean it didn't perform well, it's just not fair to make expectations for it that never suited the series up to this point. A Metroid game becoming a true evergreen would be a huge turn of events for the series, something that would require bringing in an audience well beyond the current fanbase, and I don't think a remaster of Metroid Prime is going to be the game that does that, Prime 4, unlikely but maybe, all depends on what it is. I personally think Nintendo is going to sell Prime 4 twice both on the original and then a successor platform, but that's just a guess.
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That assumes there are millions of metroid fans which is an absurd notion. I bet there arent even 300k.

Also, i didn't say (or implied) that mpr was going to be an evergreen title. I said that it could have surprising legs, fe3h isnt evergreen despite having sold 1,6 million copies since its launch.
 
Mr Doggo said:
That assumes there are millions of metroid fans which is an absurd notion. I bet there arent even 300k.

Also, i didn't say (or implied) that mpr was going to be an evergreen title. I said that it could have surprising legs, fe3h isnt evergreen despite having sold 1,6 million copies since its launch.
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The Metroid series still shares the same sort of slants any other series does, that being that the 'real' entries that appear on consoles sell the best because that's where the primary fanbase wants it to be. The portable Metroids always sold worse, so you could isolate that as the hardcore fanbase, but there is still a fanbase of likely over 1 million people who will show up for any main entry to the series on a console, even Other M sold around a million despite being despised by the very people who bought it.

What you said again makes no sense, there are likely 10-20 million people now who would buy a big 3D Zelda game no matter what in the current climate, but the people who will also go out and buy something like LA, likely more so defines who the actual very devoted fans are. That doesn't suddenly mean the other 20 million users are not Zelda fans, just that they only care about certain ends of it.

The reason Metroid mainline console entries almost always sell between 1-2 million units, is not because a million new people jump in every time, no.
 
goldenpp72 said:
The Metroid series still shares the same sort of slants any other series does, that being that the 'real' entries that appear on consoles sell the best because that's where the primary fanbase wants it to be. The portable Metroids always sold worse, so you could isolate that as the hardcore fanbase, but there is still a fanbase of likely over 1 million people who will show up for any main entry to the series on a console, even Other M sold around a million despite being despised by the very people who bought it.

What you said again makes no sense, there are likely 10-20 million people now who would buy a big 3D Zelda game no matter what in the current climate, but the people who will also go out and buy something like LA, likely more so defines who the actual very devoted fans are. That doesn't suddenly mean the other 20 million users are not Zelda fans, just that they only care about certain ends of it.

The reason Metroid mainline console entries almost always sell between 1-2 million units, is not because a million new people jump in every time, no.
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That is engulfs far too many people then. What defines a metroid fan? Potential buyers? People who bought several games in the franchise? Nintendo fans who like a more hardcore ip?

And honestly even that number is not quite right. We ve had fluctuations, prime 2, other m, sr, zm, ff didn't hit 1 million (at least according to nintendo's latest report)
 
Mr Doggo said:
We ve had fluctuations, prime 2, other m, sr, zm, ff didn't hit 1 million (at least according to nintendo's latest report)
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Prime 2 and Other M both passed a million. Samus Returns and Zero Mission released on dying consoles, remember that even Zelda struggled to sell so late into the GBA's life, same with Fire Emblem on the 3DS. Also using Federation Force ...

Mainline Metroid has been million sellers basically any time a platformer is relatively healthy. Even Echoes on the Gamecube sold a million.
 
AngryAlchemist said:
Prime 2 and Other M both passed a million. Samus Returns and Zero Mission released on dying consoles, remember that even Zelda struggled to sell so late into the GBA's life, same with Fire Emblem on the 3DS. Also using Federation Force ...

Mainline Metroid has been million sellers basically any time a platformer is relatively healthy. Even Echoes on the Gamecube sold a million.
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i dont know where you saw this. links please
 
Mr Doggo said:
i dont know where you saw this. links please
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www.installbaseforum.com

Nintendo software and hardware sales data from 1983 to present

I'm going to keep this thread updated with new, more up to date info whenever is possible. UPDATED WITH DATA UNTIL DECEMBER 2023 独創 What does the following data represent? The data here presented is either financial data or shipment data provided by Nintendo itself directly from Nintendo's...
www.installbaseforum.com www.installbaseforum.com
Actually, to be fair, I don't see Other M having sold a million on here, so maybe it didn't.
 
Mr Doggo said:
That is engulfs far too many people then. What defines a metroid fan? Potential buyers? People who bought several games in the franchise? Nintendo fans who like a more hardcore ip?

And honestly even that number is not quite right. We ve had fluctuations, prime 2, other m, sr, zm, ff didn't hit 1 million (at least according to nintendo's latest report)
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This is just a form of gatekeeping, or at least projected gatekeeping. It's attempting to very strictly assign the word fanbase into a very limited bin. I like Marvel movies for example, I've seen probably 80 percent of them. A few of the shows and movies don't appeal to me much though, and I'd say I've fatigued a bit from them. Was I not a 'fan' or am I not a fan because I don't consume all of the content? I don't think that's how it works.

Put it another way, there are X amount of people who keep eyes on the Metroid franchise, likely between 1-2 million people, but they won't consume every bit of it, only the stuff they feel hits the parameters they want from the series. In the case of Metroid, Metroid appeals very much to the 'hardcore enthusiast' type who would want the highest end experience they can get, and that fits with how Nintendo sprung for a full visual remake that looks incredible versus just dumping it out, they know they need to put their best foot forward here. I'm a pretty hardcore fan, I beat Metroid Prime Pinball, yet I haven't beaten 2 or 3 because I didn't care much for the first back in the day, despite being huge on Metroid and thinking Super is one of the best games ever crafted. I care about Prime 4 because I'm hoping they bring forward much of the evolution the medium and genre have seen to make it the best experience it can be, meaning I'm watching, and hoping.
 
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goldenpp72 said:
I'd happily make a monetary bet right now that Prime will easily sell the bulk of its sales within the first 6 months, nothing you just said makes any difference, especially with your point on 'it sold well so they dropped the price', that's literally not how the process works for dropping prices with Nintendo outside of it meeting some arbitrary number to be labeled as a players choice. You drop prices because the game is not selling much at the current price and you want to drive unit sales, by the time Prime 2 came out and cratered the system was basically headed towards the graveyard so they likely saw no purpose in trying further.

You can also bring up Prime 3 if you like, critically acclaimed, huge selling console, sold most of its bulk immediately, cratered shortly after. You also simply ignored Dread which also came out, sold a few million instantly, it had people going 'omg will Dread sell 6 million!?' because they assumed with such a strong start, it would keep going, especially since the reception for it was very strong.

It did not, it's still likely on the low end of 3 million, we might never see it reported again by Nintendo using their 'sold a million more units' metric.

Prime 1 was an anomaly for this series, Nintendo tried to position it as THE game for the system, it was among the biggest single pushes they tried for the Gamecube, likely to try and counteract their 'kiddy' image of the time, and it sold well immediately and entered discount territory later, something that isn't going to happen with Prime 1 Remastered. They will likely never formally drop the price of that game unless they introduce some kind of players choice line for the Switch, and even then, I'd not count on it.
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Switch has a different audience then the Wii (just look at software adoption, there where millions of wiis that did not see any other software then Wii sports and maybe mario kart), marketing over word of mouth and social media is way more prevelant
its easiere to just go to the eshop and check if out if youre interested later on.

I expect dread to cross the 4 millions LTS, and i expect Prime to be 3-4M LTS. Will it be the bulk at the start? yeah. Will there be no legs? i just dont think the current gaming landscape (social media, digital storefronts and sales) are comparable to physical retail space 1-2 decades ago. Heck, during the end of the GC times retails space for GC was cut down heavily since PS2 was just selling so much better.

you see indie games and older titles on the regular sell additional hundred tousands over a long period. Heck, just look at Hollow Knights sale over the years. Its an hard indie metroidvania game, without big marketing push. MP (and dread to an extend) will get additional sales when MP4 is released, and going by how it was presented and how it presumable will be looking i assume it will be positioned as a AAA graphics showcase for switch (as far as thats possible anyway)
 
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