I don’t think it’s a 1:1 story though as the parts Nintendo needs will be different than the bigger beefier console chips in the X and 5.
I think a lot of the reasons to dismiss a PS5 Pro and Xbox Series XX also applies to why I've been so skeptical in a Switch Pro or Switch 4K within the next year.
Inflation + chip shortage absolutely applies to Nintendo, however, all the other reasons don't. Nintendo
can get cost savings/power bump because the X1 is ancient, relative to the current state of the art. Nintendo
does have a reason to release a refresh because they're not in a cross gen period. Nintendo
doesn't support 4k resolution yet. Nintendo
does have strong market presence with Switch, so they need to start selling new hardware to existing customers.
Ok so just guesswork and conjecture based on the same "source" claiming that development kits are ubiquitous enough for 11 developers (11!!) to have them, some since 2020, while being miraculously tight lipped.
First, the reason we say "11 developers" is because famously, they
weren't tight lipped about it. They talked to at least 3 press sources. Which caused such a huge reaction that Nintendo and Zynga made official statements, which they rarely do. Indicating that, assuming all three press sources weren't lying, things were about to come down hard on the leakers.
I know for a fact that at least 2 semi-regular posters in this thread have access to NDA'd material for in-dev Switch games. We'd eat up everything they said, and they're not using their real name in thread - yet they don't do it! Probably because keeping their damn mouth shut is key to being able to eat dinner every night. With Nintendo on high alert (as demonstrated by their public statements on the matter) you're not going to get a bunch of tasty leaks.
Switch/Wii U/Wii U devkits shipped to devs all ~2 years prior to hardware release.
If Nintendo were planning to release a Switch 2 in 2024, then devkits would be shipping around now and to a lot more than 11 developers. If 1) devs can't keep their mouth shut, and 2) Nintendo plans on no pro revision, just a classic 7 year console generation, then I guess we'll know any minute now?
Or, possibly, one of these 2 things isn't true.
What's weird about this moment in time isn't how
little we know it's
how much. The silence isn't unusual, is just exists in stark contrast to all the drops from last year, which were confirmed in surprising detail by the Nvidia hack.
Had Nvidia never been hacked this thread would be full of the same folks saying "how did you ever believe @kopite7kimi in the first place, that plans changed bullshit is just an excuse." "Nintendo would never build a high powered DLSS based device, that's not like them".
Crazy how those 11 developers have had development kits since last year, some since 2020, and absolutely NOTHING has leaked regarding those games
Crazy how? Do you care to list all the games that were leaked as in dev for Switch from third parties back in 2016?
and the only solid evidence we have of a new machine is from a hack, which confirms that Nintendo and Nvidia are indeed working on a new system (no shit).
It confirms the damn
part number which puts it in the group of SoCs that Nvidia put publicly into production in
March. This thread theorized that, in order to meet the feature set
and the timeline suggested by the various press reports last year, Nintendo/Nvidia had to be using Orin, a modified GA10B. Hack comes out, it's a modified GA10B. That is a
no shit moment.
I'm fully prepared to believe that Nintendo scraps or delays the project due to record inflation + chip shortage making the device unprofitable. But the idea that that there are no sources here, and that the hack confirms nothing is actively ludicrous.