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More to the point, a 2017 data set from Nintendo laid out pretty clearly that there is a much larger market overall for the hybrid. This isn't about "more people like handhelds", it's "more people like versatility", which is why Switch has already outsold Wii U and 3DS combined and why the majority of owners in 2017 used it both docked and handheld.Q: But-
A: 50% of Nintendo's install base are majority handheld players, or handheld exclusive players. I'm not saying Nintendo will never release another TV only console. I'm saying that if they release a "Switch 2" it will not launch with a TV only version, because Nintendo would be shooting themselves in the foot sales wise. Half the people who own a Switch would not buy a TV only console. 75 million people bought the 3DS, 13 million bought a Wii U.
These WW stats are clear, but have unfortunately never been updated since this was released (I can only assume it's because the statistics haven't changed much). More than 50% of owners used their Switch as the versatile device it was marketed as. That 30% is why they made the Lite. But as of September 2022, Lite had shipped 19.32 million units, which is 26.59% of all Switches sold between Nov 1 2019 to Sept 30 2022 (72.66 million), meaning it's been able to effectively capture near the entirety of that 30% preference since its launch. Part of the reason for that is 43% of Lites bought were as the purchaser's secondary/replacement system, which is why Lite sales were additive, rather than redistributing existing sales figures across 2 products (part of this is likely attributable to Switch holding its resale value due to no price drops).
I bring this all up because... even at 18% of people buying a Switch and using it almost exclusively as a console, that'd be 20.5794 million units that could potentially sell (18% of the current install base). Priced low enough and you'd see a TV-only model bought as a secondary/replacement device in far greater numbers than either the Lite or the OLED as other Switch models find their way into the secondary market or given as hand-me-downs, while also having an even lower entry point for new customers that would overall (if the introduction of the Lite is anything to go by) be additive to hardware sales figures.
This seems like it would be true no matter when it were to be introduced, so (while I admit it's not super likely) launching new hardware with a hybrid and a TV-only model (that share uniform specs) side by side is something I could see happening, because the hybrid is an easy sell for people who want and value the versatility that the hybrid model offers and there's another cheaper option from day one for the 18% of buyers who don't.
I will agree, however, that a TV-only model would never launch on its own, it'd have to be paired next to a hybrid model. And it seems we can agree that it may not be a bad idea to introduce such a model in Switch's sunset years, either.
There's no maybe about it.Q: It could be cheaper!
A: Maybe? The Switch Screen costs 40 bucks to individuals, Nintendo probably gets a deal. But they'd need to package a Pro controller or equivalent, which also probably cost about that to make. But even if it was cheaper - do you think it would be a smart business move to launch a TV only console, make your most successful line of hardware sit idle for 8-9 years, then launch the first handheld in Nintendo's history that was more expensive than the TV console?
Take out the screen (which, I remind everyone here, is the second most expensive single part in the whole product), replace the battery with a much cheaper power supply unit, trade out pricier pair of Joycons for a cheaper Pro controller (or special-build a non-Pro controller with a 20hr Joycon battery in it instead?), take out the metal pieces of the chassis, the dock chassis, about 90% of the integrated circuits from the dock and a very minor IC reduction/swap in the device itself, add in an HDMI out to replace the USB-C port. The screen is one of the priciest bits and the battery is no slouch in cost either, so removing one outright and replacing the other with something far cheaper alone would undoubtedly bring you a substantial bit lower in cost than the Lite in terms of bill of materials, never mind the savings you gain from the rest.
EDIT: Forgot about audio, you can also remove the speaker assembly and headphone jack.
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