darthdiablo
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Probably worth asking, but does this mean that Nintendo has a finalised design for the device, both in components and "look" of the system?* Hidden text: cannot be quoted. *
I feel like everything is done and nintendo is probably sitting on it waiting for the right time to launchProbably worth asking, but does this mean that Nintendo has a finalised design for the device, both in components and "look" of the system?
I don't know the specifics of a lot of the device parts, so this is an honest question.
Probably more of a LiC, Dakhill, Oldpuck, etc question, I'm not as familiar with manufacturing process, from concept design stage to the store shelves, I learned a lot from themProbably worth asking, but does this mean that Nintendo has a finalised design for the device, both in components and "look" of the system?
I don't know the specifics of a lot of the device parts, so this is an honest question.
Okay so LiC and I (I was bored) and a few others have been looking around since and it went from "Not Important, But Interesting." to "Maybe Important, and Interesting.", at least to me.
Please read LiC's post first as it is a direct continuation of the finds.
Since then, we've found the following:
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What the heck is CMB? It sure follows the usual names like with FRIC in LiC's post as well as the rest, considering the name we could potentially suspect an actual motherboard for a console, but I did find one case of "CPU" being used for something else: the N64 NSO controller has a PCB named "GREEN-CPU-10" which does not help, but it's rather unlikely to be one of those, not to mention it is oddly close to CKUI for having a C.
The revision X2, X4, X5 do follow in a relatively constant pace, so at this point we could definitely be around X8 or X9 as of the point of the CKUI devices in August 2023.
I did some additional searches related to the identifier at the start, basing from the latest results:
And it is reliably those Switch systems, and cartridges too which I did not list but appears a lot as well. It is at least showing how these consoles are definitely still showing up a lot on shipping records as of August 2023.* Hidden text: cannot be quoted. *
And then after a lot of weird searches we found these:
There's more to it, but CMB comes back with another familiar identifier that LiC found with NL-AM06, as explained, a rabbit hole of its own of Nintendo related and Hosiden related products, and then CMBG is seen, also with a similar naming scheme.* Hidden text: cannot be quoted. *
I believe these to be related to assembly, so that's kind of interesting in its own right, but then another ID with HGU shows up, which we've been looking at like crazy, finding reliably a lot of Switch related products among those IDs, but HGU100x is something that doesn't seem to correspond to much of anything known.
With CMBG_V_MP_X3, well, MP is also usually known for simply meaning Mass Production on Nintendo devices so that's something to ponder about.
So we mostly find plastic covers and stuff like that on HGU1000, HGU1001 and HGU1010. But if you were wondering if those were a red herring...
There isn't really more doubts about Nintendo on this. But upon checking even more...* Hidden text: cannot be quoted. *
There's actually more than this, but I think it doesn't take someone with rocket science to figure out these are tools for manufacturing and testing for HGU1000. I won't bore you more with that stuff but* Hidden text: cannot be quoted. *
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Everything with CKUI, CMB (which we have no actual clue of their meaning), falls on similar dates, with similar identifiers that make them related to Nintendo, especially with a lot of descriptions that points at a game console...
I tried to compare to the Switch OLED, and sure enough, similar equipment does show up, as early as 2021-04-15 that I could find, as a reminder, the Switch OLED came out in October 2021.
If you do the math, I couldn't find anything earlier than 2023-08-15 at the moment for this HGU1000, but sure enough, manufacturing might be imminent and calculating a release date would fall into a pretty early 2024 timeframe.
But I couldn't find results for the original Switch, or the newer Switch, or Switch Lite to compare to, so this needs to be taken with a pinch of salt.
For all we know, manufacture could take more time until release, and if HGU1000 is indeed what we think it is, there's many IFs here to take into account, but that's probably the closest thing to say that manufacture is right around the corner.
...so much for a rabbit hole of public shipping record information.
I feel like hardware-wise, it's finalised and has been for a while, hence why Nintendo was confident to show how powerful their tech was at Gamescom. As for the look... it could just be for the controllers because the Joycons do use a similar process when being made? I could honestly go either way on that, but it's nice to dream... soo... uhhh...Probably more of a LiC, Dakhill, Oldpuck, etc question, I'm not as familiar with manufacturing process, from concept design stage to the store shelves, I learned a lot from them
But I imagine we wouldn't see all those parts unless things are being "finalized" or close to being finalized. Especially when you start to see "injection molds" mentions.
It could be the piece of the Joy-con that goes inside the rail. 105 mm is slightly taller than current Joy-cons, but just right for fitting alongside the height of the new controllers we think we're seeing here (115 mm).* Hidden text: cannot be quoted. *
I think so. Everything seemed to follow similar steps to the Switch OLED so far.Probably worth asking, but does this mean that Nintendo has a finalised design for the device, both in components and "look" of the system?
I don't know the specifics of a lot of the device parts, so this is an honest question.
CMB is I believe a prototype PCB name, same for CKUI. I expect that to change on manufacture to another name.So we know the 3-letter code for the system now? "CMB"? Wonder if that's an abbreviation of the codename or if it's unrelated like how Switch is "HAC", but I respect why the codename isn't going to be public knowledge for a while.
Considering the Switch OLED was essentially filling the role that they wanted the Switch Pro to do, that adds up to me. Different leadership leads to different development timelines, what woulda thunk it.I think so. Everything seemed to follow similar steps to the Switch OLED so far.
You're saying this to a bunch of people who might as well be highly-trained professional goose-chasers at this point. Getting disappointed is our specialty.I just hope this isn’t a wild goose chase where this leads to nothing and people get highly disappointed because of it
The driver's not doing anything to the data, it's telling the HDMI hardware on the GPU (which the Switch does not use) to output using a color format that it shouldn't really know how to use, since it was only added to the spec with 2.0. The Switch outputs a DisplayPort signal which is converted to HDMI by fixed function hardware in the dock.Maybe I just don’t understand…I thought this was all about Nvidia drivers?
They essentially allow the “compression” of gaming data so that it’s small enough to pass through the narrow gb/s of HDMI 1.4 hardware to allow 4k/60hz gaming. Hardware that normally can only handle 4k/30hz of data or 1080p/60hz of data.
It shouldn’t matter whether the pass-through of the Switch dock chip is Nvidia hardware or not, it’s the data size and the software driver control that makes this work, that takes place well before it passes through the HDMI cable or the Switch dock.
Or am I reading you wrong? What am I missing here?
What abou this, maybe the FDE works with this technology
Considering the Switch OLED was essentially filling the role that they wanted the Switch Pro to do, that adds up to me. Different leadership leads to different development timelines, what woulda thunk it.
If the Switch 2 is using a similar timeline to the OLED (in addition to being basically finalised for a manufacturing to release pipeline), then we can make a lot of assumptions... albeit reasonably safe ones. The console itself is pretty much finalised with the exception of it's software (which, knowing Nintendo from the past couple of years, they're probably resting on a backlog of 50 games ready for the thing), the system will have a longer marketing pipeline than the OLED so we can expect to see it far sooner than when the Switch OLED was announced (reveal to release for the OLED was from July 6th to October 8th so around 3 months, we can expect around 4 to 5 months with the Switch 2), and that third parties will have around less than 6 months to get their games together for a launch window some time in... Q2 2024? Is that a correct assumption?
Granted, all of the above relies on the "imminent" comment you made and that a lot is probably subject to change. That being said, I am one happy man right now.
Seeing them all laid out like that, I think it's very likely it's the MK8 OLED bundle. KA looks to be the prefix for the base model (non-special edition), with KAA for white and KAB and for neon. Now we have KAC, so another base model, and the L in KACLA probably has to do with the fact it's a bundle.* Hidden text: cannot be quoted. *
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15mm would be an EXTREME amount of width to add to the part of the Joy-Con that sits inside the rail.It could be the piece of the Joy-con that goes inside the rail. 105 mm is slightly taller than current Joy-cons, but just right for fitting alongside the height of the new controllers we think we're seeing here (115 mm).
Edit: Either way, something to consider is that some of the dimensions are rounded. The ones for individual plastic pieces seem very accurate, but the more general ones like "controller" (or "controller protector" in this case) seem like they might be rounded to multiples of 5 mm, which is relatively a lot to round.
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I'm not sure where you're getting 15mm being added to the width.15mm would be an EXTREME amount of width to add to a Joy-Con.
105mm X 10mm X 15mm isn't similar to Joy-Con Strap, those ARE the dimensions of Joy-Con Strap.
The design process settles on what becomes, essentially, a beta of the physical hardware. Then you take that device to various parts manufacturers and get them to mass manufacture the parts of you've designed. This involves setting things like parts tolerances - how much variation in the size of widget X do you have? As parts come in you start to learn things - manufacturer A has real trouble delivering a plastic widget as thin as was initially designed, the yields on that aren't good. Part Q and Part Z both had 1mm tolerances in development, and it was fine, but when actually mass manufacturing those parts, it turns out that's not good enough, as most of the mass manufactured Q and Z don't actually fit together.Probably more of a LiC, Dakhill, Oldpuck, etc question, I'm not as familiar with manufacturing process, from concept design stage to the store shelves, I learned a lot from them
But I imagine we wouldn't see all those parts unless things are finalized or close to being finalized. Especially when you start to see "injection molds" mentions.
"the piece of the Joy-con that goes inside the rail"- either meaning the side of the Joy-Con with the rail connector is at least 10mm wide. It's possible that it goes deeper into the controller then the current one.I'm not sure where you're getting 15mm being added to the width.
And I just measured a Joy-con strap, and to me it's 99 mm x 11-12mm x 13 mm.
I mean, how do we know how deep the current rail piece goes inside the current Joy-con?"the piece of the Joy-con that goes inside the rail"- either meaning the side of the Joy-Con with the rail connector is at least 10mm wide. It's possible that it goes deeper into the controller then the current one.
If we apply rounding to the nearest 5mm, the current Joy-Con Strap isn't merely similar, but again, those exact dimensions. Not measuring the real, measuring the plastic housing from top to bottom.
Definitely more than 100mm in length, the plastic body, but not more than 107.5mm.
Thank you Oldpuck!The design process settles on what becomes, essentially, a beta of the physical hardware. Then you take that device to various parts manufacturers and get them to mass manufacture the parts of you've designed. This involves setting things like parts tolerances - how much variation in the size of widget X do you have? As parts come in you start to learn things - manufacturer A has real trouble delivering a plastic widget as thin as was initially designed, the yields on that aren't good. Part Q and Part Z both had 1mm tolerances in development, and it was fine, but when actually mass manufacturing those parts, it turns out that's not good enough, as most of the mass manufactured Q and Z don't actually fit together.
While all this is happening, your design and manufacturing team is actually figuring out how to put these pieces together, physically, in what order. Do we need a special tool to reach in between these two layers and click this bit together? Shit, this is really hard to replicate, do we need to redo part Q again? And a separate group is trying to figure out a testing methodology to actually verify that the device produced not only works, but is up to the build quality that Nintendo demands.
Finally, you take this design and your build instructions and your testing protocol to an assembler, the actual factory who makes the product. They watch you make a few of these things, try to make a few themselves, and begin working out how to scale that process over their whole facility en-masse. They suggest optimizations, while the engineers check their work.
Once that's nailed down, the newly trained assembly team trains the factory, generates an early production run, and Nintendo comes in to validate that the production run looks good. Often, in these cases, Nintendo will prioritize devkits. Devkits not only need to go out early, but because Nintendo is directly working with the development teams, if the build or production quality of a devkit kinda sucks, Nintendo can work with the developer directly to get things fixed.
Nintendo's primary assembler is Foxconn, but their secondary assembler (primarily for the US market) is Hosiden, with manufacturing lines in Vietnam.
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I was mainly giving an allowance of time on Nintendo's part for either delaying production from "now" to "very slightly later give or take a month" or due to an extended marketing cycle, but Q1 works for me also. Frankly, I'd prefer it, but it is how it'll be.* Hidden text: cannot be quoted. *
Assuming exactly same timeline (many reasons why we shouldn't as you acknowledged): March would be the release month, lol.* Hidden text: cannot be quoted. *
The next gen, which, by sheer coincidence, has a new Joy-Con rail part that has the same dimensions of existing Joy-Con Strap, to within 2.5mm?I mean, how do we know how deep the current rail piece goes inside the current Joy-con?
Fake edit:
Seems bulky enough. If it sticks out a couple extra mm and goes inside an extra couple mm, it could easily be 10mm or 15mm. And if the Joy-cons are a little thicker (deeper), it could be 10 or 15mm in that dimension too (it's already about 8-9 mm).
I'm not sure why that's so surprising when we're talking about rounded numbers for things that were already very close each other in size and shouldn't be expected to change too much. On the subject of rounding, either by my dimensions of the ones from Nintendo (101 x 14.6 x 13.9), the current strap wouldn't round to 105 x 15 x 10, because that would be rounding some numbers up and some down arbitrarily.The next gen, which, by sheer coincidence, has a new Joy-Con rail part that has the same dimensions of existing Joy-Con Strap, to within 2.5mm?
I find that... An exceedingly difficult coincidence to swallow.
Also to note, Joy-Con Strap has 4 LED windows.
That logic does not follow. The new Joy-Con Strap does not need to be larger, it only needs to:In any case, the new Joy-con strap won't be the same size, because the controllers aren't the same size, because the console isn't the same size, because the screen is 8 inches.
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Everyone is trying to resist the temptation and everyone is also failing to resist.* Hidden text: cannot be quoted. *
In my limited experience, I've seen it take as long as a year. Look up any Kickstarter for a cool new product that looks like it should be simple to make, and read all the production updates and you can see what I mean.Thank you Oldpuck!
I'm mentally visualizing that process play out. Would that process (does this part mesh well with that part? Do we need to change tolerances, what order should we put things together in assembly? etc) mostly conclude in matter of weeks? Referring to the time period between the "beta" version of the final product and nailing down how the final assembly will unfold.
I imagine a month at most, barring too many unforeseen surprises with that process (which should be unlikely considering Nintendo already have experience with this in the past and already learned from lessons from the past)?
Like I said the, controllers are a different size. We can see that from other pieces of this data. Either of us could be right (more or less) about what this plastic piece is, but regardless, evidence is that the controllers have changed size a bit. Which shouldn't surprise anybody if we were accepting the rumor about an 8-inch screen.That logic does not follow. The new Joy-Con Strap does not need to be larger, it only needs to:
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When is the deadline for that theory again?so team November reveal & May launch (sorry i refuse to believe in March) is potentially very much back in business?
guess we'll know pretty damn shortly as a lot of things seem to be converging eg the amiibo restock theory.
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November seems to be the key month for hearing something official, if production is indeed starting before the holidays.When is the deadline for that theory again?
Im team expecting nothing to happen, for the record.
That's literally days away. Even as bold predictions go, that's BOLD.* Hidden text: cannot be quoted. *
Hoping your theory is gonna be right man, don’t want any hate coming your way if you end up being wrong. It’s either you’re heralded a genius or gonna be hated for whatever happens. Excited to see for the next few weeks.* Hidden text: cannot be quoted. *
A full video next month kind of has to happen at some point if this all ends up panning out, especially with the Amiibo restock leaks, since Metroid, Smash, and Zelda have nothing connecting to them (TOTK Link is already being restocked for the new Zelda and Ganon Amiibos, meaning the November 10th one with the Champions and such have nothing to do with that.)That's literally days away. Even as bold predictions go, that's BOLD.
Granted, it's entirely possible that Nintendo has a "First Look At Nintendo Switch 2" reveal video ready (especially since this Shipping Leak implies that the look of the Switch 2 is set).
It's very hard to believe we're in the "We can almost taste it" phase of this system, but here's to hoping.
Let's be honest, even if they're 100% on the money, someone is going to hate them.Hoping your theory is gonna be right man, don’t want any hate coming your way if you end up being wrong. It’s either you’re heralded a genius or gonna be hated for whatever happens. Excited to see for the next few weeks.