I see what you are doing here.
The ol reverse-psychology switcheroo technique
Ok, I'll play along.
My thinking flows roughly:
a) the market for JRPGs is healthy on the switch. The switch is super popular. The switch is Uber popular in Japan
b) contrary to whimsy, Atlus likes to be profitable in their game releases, is comprised of individuals who ultimately are held responsible for positive RoI decisions, and will thus make logical decisions to deploy their production resources to the best of their ability
c) contrary to the weird "Atlus hates Nintendo" vibe being percolated, Sega in general and Atlus in particular have worked super well w/ Nintendo directly and on Nintendo platforms overall in terms of development support
d) Sega/Atlus want to grow their capabilities, as demonstrated by the multi-plat day/date release initiative for Soul Hackers 2
e) Persona is popular and will make lots of money while making lots of videogame players happy the more platforms it is available on
f) Persona games up thru 5 can run on switch hardware
g) Atlus has made the efforts to target or port to switch most of their recent output, to mostly positive results
h) Persona, until recently, was suspected of being Playstation-only. This notion has been emphatically shattered as of June 2022 (and maybe before)
i) an insider that I respect is confident Persona 3+4 will touch down on switch fosho (possibly cagey w 5 tho, aw)
j) the industry's most popular streaming event is barreling down at end of june. And it just so happens that release dates have not been given for the other platforms
So that's what has my hopes up for news in the Summer Direct.
I'll tell you what tho, this summer direct is kinda hinting at an overflow of JRPG goodness. Let's consider the potential appearances of:
- Xenoblade
- Fire Emblem
- Tactics Ogre OMGgggg
- FF Tactics
- Live a Live
- Dragon Quest 3
- Final fantasy 9
And now maybe Persona.
I dunno, maybe just me, that's kind of a glut of JRPG Juice. Something's gotta give?
So maybe Persona holds off til a later Direct where it can take center stage. Since I think we all agree that
Tactics Ogre Hnnnggg takes top priority followed by I guess Fire Emblem or Xeno. And then obligatory 2 or 3 other Square joints.
The issue with that is Atlus chose June to announce the port initiative which hints to me that at least the first of those Persona ports will drop soon. Curiously, they haven't said When, but I think there is shadow-drop potential here.
So My personal playbook:
1) Summer Direct, announce Persona 3+4+5
2) Shadoooow drooppp 3 , “stay tuned" for future release dates of the others
3) Fast-forward to Fall Direct, Shadoooow drooppp 4. And announce 5 release date for holiday
4) Profit
5)
Tactics Ogre!!!! sales announced to break 2 million. New Ogre Battle saga game is greenlit
I think that all sounds reasonable.